Crushing-Coalition — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$6

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$323

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$32

7 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 07-01 14:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

61% — —

Politics

39% 0% $-6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions (7) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Russia capture Prymorske by December 31, 2026?	No	+7	$5	78¢	$6	+$1	07-01 12:58
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?	No	+7	$5	79¢	$5	+$0	07-01 12:58
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?	No	+6	$5	86¢	$5	+$0	07-01 12:59
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?	No	+7	$5	75¢	$5	$-0	07-01 12:58
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?	No	+7	$5	72¢	$5	$-0	07-01 12:58
Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by December 31, 2026?	No	+4	$3	91¢	$3	+$0	05-29 16:55
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?	No	+6	$3	47¢	$3	$-0	07-01 12:59

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will russia capture all of vovchansk by march 31	3	$23	16	16	+0	open	—	03-11 15:02
will russia capture kupiansk vuzlovyi by february 28	2	$19	10	10	+0	open	—	02-05 10:22
will russia capture all of kupiansk by march 31	3	$18	0	19	-19	open	—	03-08 09:39
us strikes iran by january 15 2026 652 612	3	$17	10	10	+0	open	—	01-15 18:22
will russia capture all of stepnohirsk by february 28 2026	3	$16	10	10	+0	open	—	02-24 16:01
will israel or the us target an iranian oil or gas facility 716	3	$15	14	14	+0	open	—	03-06 09:45
will russia capture kostyantynivka by january 31	2	$12	0	15	-15	open	—	01-09 01:06
will the us next strike iran on january 13 2026 et 111	2	$12	6	6	+0	open	—	01-14 15:30
will russia enter ternuvate again by march 31	4	$11	7	7	+0	open	—	03-09 22:57
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	3	$10	9	9	+0	open	—	02-28 16:17
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2027?	2	$10	10	10	+0	Yes	$-0	04-02 13:51
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	4	$9	10	2	+8	open	—	02-28 14:56
will france uk or germany strike iran by january 31	1	$8	9	0	+9	open	—	01-11 07:43
Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by May 31, 2026?	1	$8	8	0	+8	open	—	04-23 04:53
russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	1	$7	0	8	-8	open	—	01-04 16:26
will the government shutdown last 30 days or more 558 354 297 785 675	1	$6	200	0	+200	open	—	02-01 09:21
will russia capture all of prymorske by march 31 2026 597	1	$6	8	0	+8	open	—	02-05 10:29
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	4	$6	7	7	+0	open	—	02-28 14:55
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	1	$5	7	0	+7	Yes	$-5	04-02 13:53
trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	2	$5	4	4	+0	open	—	03-17 06:34
Will Russia capture Prymorske by December 31, 2026?	1	$5	7	0	+7	open	—	07-01 12:58
will russia capture hryshyne by march 31 2026 299	1	$5	13	0	+13	open	—	03-07 09:40
will russia capture all of kostyantynivka by september 30 2026	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	07-01 12:57
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?	1	$5	7	0	+7	open	—	07-01 12:58
will russia capture all of huliaipole by march 31	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	03-10 10:17
Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by December 31, 2026?	1	$5	8	0	+8	open	—	06-01 13:04
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by April 30?	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	03-11 15:03
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?	1	$5	7	0	+7	open	—	07-01 12:58
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?	1	$5	7	0	+7	open	—	07-01 12:58
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	07-01 12:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-01 14:12:19	will russia capture all of kupiansk by december 31 391	No	BUY	4	90¢	$4	0xd64c2e…
07-01 12:59:29	Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x635a75…
07-01 12:59:23	Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x2e32be…
07-01 12:58:58	Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x9ff170…
07-01 12:58:50	Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xcd68fa…
07-01 12:58:31	Will Russia capture Prymorske by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x6cf62d…
07-01 12:58:13	Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xecfa96…
07-01 12:57:59	will russia capture all of kostyantynivka by july 31 2026	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xf5cab0…
07-01 12:57:49	will russia capture all of kostyantynivka by september 30 2026	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x683742…
07-01 12:57:29	ukraine signs peace deal with russia by august 31 20260619003108240	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x8cc35c…
06-01 13:04:34	Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x41234c…
05-29 16:55:06	Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	4	85¢	$3	0x96339b…
05-01 08:14:08	Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by May 31?	No	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x9d3d8e…
04-23 04:53:44	Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	8	92¢	$8	0x390826…
04-02 13:53:17	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xdeae0d…
04-02 13:51:17	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2027?	No	SELL	10	48¢	$5	0x27be79…
04-02 08:22:45	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2027?	No	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x8f7d3a…
03-18 13:26:55	will russia capture all of rodynske by march 31	No	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xa703e8…
03-17 06:34:53	trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	No	SELL	4	85¢	$3	0x646f5f…
03-11 15:13:13	will russia capture hryshyne by march 15 2026 338	No	BUY	4	68¢	$3	0xebf8de…
03-11 15:11:15	trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	No	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x482dd5…
03-11 15:03:03	Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by April 30?	No	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x92ff44…
03-11 15:02:21	will russia capture all of vovchansk by march 31	No	SELL	12	96¢	$12	0x53c623…
03-10 10:18:01	Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	4	68¢	$3	0xfc2667…
03-10 10:17:13	will russia capture all of huliaipole by march 31	No	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x15bcb4…
03-10 10:14:45	will ukraine re enter obratne or temyrivka by march 31	Yes	BUY	10	27¢	$3	0xbb92b0…
03-10 10:11:37	will ukraine re enter uspenivka by march 31	Yes	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0xb46946…
03-09 22:57:15	will russia enter ternuvate again by march 31	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x99b6d9…
03-09 18:47:15	will russia enter ternuvate again by march 31	No	SELL	6	90¢	$5	0x6568fc…
03-09 14:34:11	will russia enter ternuvate again by march 31	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x13f795…
03-08 09:39:13	will russia capture all of kupiansk by march 31	No	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x2cd611…
03-08 07:15:45	trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 15th	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xa3b92a…
03-07 09:40:33	will russia capture hryshyne by march 31 2026 299	No	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xa18c52…
03-06 09:45:31	will israel or the us target an iranian oil or gas facility 716	No	SELL	7	75¢	$5	0xd9d4de…
03-05 22:10:45	will israel or the us target an iranian oil or gas facility 716	No	SELL	7	60¢	$4	0x07a6e4…
03-03 12:16:25	will israel or the us target an iranian oil or gas facility 716	No	BUY	14	40¢	$5	0x9da71f…
03-01 10:15:05	will russia capture all of vovchansk by march 31	No	SELL	4	77¢	$3	0x8c7d98…
02-28 16:25:15	will israel or the us target an iranian oil or gas facility 786	No	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xa0cec1…
02-28 16:17:15	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	SELL	4	95¢	$4	0xd2ef69…
02-28 15:34:21	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0x418bf5…
02-28 14:56:13	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x628550…
02-28 14:55:41	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	2	61¢	$1	0xf71ef9…
02-28 14:40:43	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	2	73¢	$1	0xa73af5…
02-28 14:38:17	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	3	57¢	$2	0xef7cf1…
02-28 10:40:13	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	SELL	2	89¢	$2	0x953ca2…
02-28 10:28:33	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	BUY	9	31¢	$3	0xa54a27…
02-28 10:22:49	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	3	54¢	$2	0x9a857a…
02-28 10:22:13	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	4	82¢	$3	0xdf5c73…
02-24 16:04:28	will russia enter ternuvate again by march 31	No	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x014205…
02-24 16:01:08	will russia capture all of stepnohirsk by february 28 2026	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x3770b8…
02-21 18:01:16	will russia capture all of stepnohirsk by february 28 2026	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x849a0a…
02-19 06:37:54	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	7	23¢	$2	0xc30b66…
02-19 06:37:30	US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x8e5eb8…
02-19 06:37:00	us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x179424…
02-19 06:35:14	will russia capture all of kupiansk by march 31	No	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0xdec149…
02-05 10:29:31	will russia capture all of prymorske by march 31 2026 597	No	BUY	8	72¢	$6	0x575042…
02-05 10:22:47	will russia capture kupiansk vuzlovyi by february 28	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0xda69cd…
02-01 09:59:12	will russia capture all of stepnohirsk by february 28 2026	No	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0xdde1e5…
02-01 09:21:46	will the government shutdown last 30 days or more 558 354 297 785 675	Yes	BUY	200	3¢	$6	0xc62281…
02-01 09:17:18	will russia capture kupiansk vuzlovyi by february 28	No	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0x34b917…
01-15 18:22:34	us strikes iran by january 15 2026 652 612	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xbb145e…
01-14 20:06:02	us strikes iran by january 15 2026 652 612	No	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0x1eaf2d…
01-14 15:31:38	us strikes iran by january 15 2026 652 612	No	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0x5dd2b2…
01-14 15:30:02	will the us next strike iran on january 13 2026 et 111	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x0ff764…
01-13 16:24:17	will the us next strike iran on january 13 2026 et 111	No	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0x5deffc…
01-11 07:43:26	will france uk or germany strike iran by january 31	No	BUY	9	91¢	$8	0xb96f1a…
01-09 01:06:24	will russia capture kostyantynivka by january 31	No	SELL	8	85¢	$6	0xf40e20…
01-05 07:21:43	will russia capture kostyantynivka by january 31	No	SELL	8	75¢	$6	0xf8987c…
01-04 16:26:45	russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	No	SELL	8	96¢	$7	0xe6290b…
01-03 11:34:05	will russia capture all of kupiansk by march 31	No	SELL	6	88¢	$5	0x9efd38…
01-02 10:48:53	will russia capture all of vovchansk by march 31	No	BUY	16	49¢	$8	0xda00a0…