Realized P&L
-$297
Unrealized P&L
+$16
Hit rate
10.5%
Resolved
10
Trades
3,841
lifetime
Volume
$32.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$340
29 positions
First seen
2026-01-31
last 06-09 21:43
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Other
54% 67% +$4
Politics
27% 33% $-308
Sports
15%
Crypto
4% 100% +$7
Pop-Culture
0%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
82 active days in 12wk • peak 69 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026? No +63 $56 94¢ $59 +$3 06-03 13:14
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No +41 $36 90¢ $37 +$1 06-03 05:56
Will Russia capture Prymorske by September 30, 2026? No +40 $36 90¢ $36 $-0 06-02 16:24
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30? No +25 $20 97¢ $24 +$4 05-29 04:07
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? No -30 $-26 80¢ $-24 +$2 06-05 23:28
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? Yes -100 $-27 24¢ $-24 +$4 06-07 22:29
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No -19 $-18 90¢ $-17 +$1 06-01 18:35
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +19 $16 90¢ $17 +$1 05-28 20:45
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? No -17 $-14 76¢ $-13 +$1 05-29 21:41
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? Yes -18 $-13 69¢ $-12 +$1 06-09 19:08
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +15 $12 82¢ $12 +$1 06-04 12:51
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31? Yes +25 $14 45¢ $11 $-2 06-01 11:46
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +27 $10 36¢ $10 $-0 06-08 14:44
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +10 $8 78¢ $8 +$0 05-29 11:30
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027? No +8 $7 84¢ $7 $-0 06-01 08:07
Will Russia enter Shevchenko by June 30? Yes -31 $-4 20¢ $-6 $-2 06-06 22:56
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +5 $-0 90¢ $5 +$5 06-08 00:35
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by June 30? Yes +18 $5 22¢ $4 $-1 06-09 14:54
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes -30 $-4 12¢ $-4 +$0 06-02 22:42
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes -5 $-3 50¢ $-3 +$0 06-09 21:43
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? Yes +11 $2 22¢ $2 $-0 06-08 09:29
Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by June 30? Yes +9 $1 16¢ $1 +$0 06-07 21:57
Starmer out by December 31, 2026? No +4 $1 24¢ $1 $-0 05-31 19:35
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30? Yes -4 $-1 22¢ $-1 +$0 06-09 05:31
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30? Yes -32 $-1 $-1 +$0 05-29 00:58
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +14 $2 $1 $-1 05-30 09:16
Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by June 30? Yes +5 $1 11¢ $1 $-0 06-04 19:38
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30? Yes +60 $1 $1 $-1 06-06 23:26
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by June 30? Yes +20 $1 $0 $-1 06-07 16:42