Realized P&L
-$297
Unrealized P&L
+$46
Hit rate
10.5%
Resolved
10
Trades
4,321
lifetime
Volume
$35.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$467
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-31
last 06-30 12:25
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Other
55% 67% +$4
Politics
28% 33% $-308
Sports
14%
Crypto
4% 100% +$7
Pop-Culture
0%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
83 active days in 12wk • peak 60 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026? No +63 $56 91¢ $57 +$1 06-03 13:14
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30? No -50 $-43 99¢ $-49 $-6 06-13 18:55
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No +41 $36 92¢ $38 +$1 06-03 05:56
Will Russia capture Prymorske by September 30, 2026? No +40 $36 90¢ $36 $-0 06-02 16:24
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? Yes -48 $-38 74¢ $-36 +$2 06-24 13:51
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026? Yes -40 $-18 58¢ $-23 $-6 06-30 12:23
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30? No -22 $-25 99¢ $-22 +$3 06-10 07:42
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? No +22 $24 89¢ $20 $-4 06-29 23:13
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No -19 $-18 100¢ $-19 $-1 06-01 18:35
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes +71 $24 26¢ $18 $-6 06-27 18:08
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes -27 $-41 66¢ $-18 +$23 06-26 21:42
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +35 $11 50¢ $18 +$7 06-19 22:42
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? No +48 $13 34¢ $17 +$4 06-30 09:13
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027? No +19 $17 86¢ $16 $-0 06-28 13:32
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? Yes +59 $15 26¢ $16 +$1 06-30 15:32
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? No -17 $-14 74¢ $-13 +$1 05-29 21:41
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31? Yes +25 $14 50¢ $12 $-1 06-01 11:46
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? Yes +51 $8 18¢ $9 +$1 06-28 07:14
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +10 $8 86¢ $9 +$1 05-29 11:30
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No -5 $-10 100¢ $-5 +$5 06-16 17:15
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +5 $3 90¢ $4 +$1 06-22 23:56
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +20 $3 15¢ $3 $-0 06-29 18:29
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes -30 $-4 10¢ $-3 +$1 06-02 22:42
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30? No +2 $-12 97¢ $2 +$14 06-28 09:54
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No +1 $-2 100¢ $1 +$3 06-19 19:33
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes +10 $1 14¢ $1 +$0 06-26 05:58
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? Yes +5 $1 17¢ $1 $-0 06-29 06:55
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by June 30? Yes +24 $6 $1 $-5 06-18 23:50
Will Russia enter Shevchenko by June 30? Yes -21 $-3 $-1 +$2 06-15 20:53
Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by June 30? Yes -17 $-3 $-0 +$3 06-15 03:37