Realized P&L
-$690
Unrealized P&L
-$3
Hit rate
60.8%
Resolved
1,838
Trades
4,985
lifetime
Volume
$41.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$276
16 positions
First seen
2026-01-31
last 10-29 17:30
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 138 days
Categories
Other
56% 50% -$50
Politics
29% 51% -$214
Sports
12% 47% -$512
Crypto
3% 65% +$87
Pop-Culture
0% 50% -$2
Tech
0% 100% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
17 active days in 12wk • peak 58 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026? No +71 $50 96¢ $68 +$18 08-13 10:25
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? No -61 -$41 95¢ $-58 -$17 05-29 21:41
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? No -53 -$45 94¢ $-50 -$5 08-13 06:32
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027? No -43 -$39 95¢ $-41 -$2 07-12 16:59
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes -20 -$8 68¢ $-14 -$6 07-02 19:56
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes -20 -$11 68¢ $-14 -$3 08-13 06:32
Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026? No -10 -$9 96¢ $-10 $0 05-26 15:58
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +11 $6 86¢ $10 +$4 07-12 07:27
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? No -5 -$4 92¢ $-5 -$1 05-20 16:03
Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026? Yes +71 $8 4¢ $3 -$5 05-26 17:32
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes -30 -$4 6¢ $-2 +$2 06-02 22:42
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +11 $6 14¢ $1 -$5 08-13 08:12
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes -20 -$15 4¢ $-1 +$14 08-13 06:32
US strike on Mexico by December 31? Yes -28 -$5 3¢ $-1 +$4 05-20 15:01
russia coup attempt in 2026 Yes +6 $1 4¢ $0 -$1 10-29 17:30
Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +50 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 06-18 02:00