Glossy-Metro — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$242

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$37

5 positions

First seen

2026-04-14

last 07-01 14:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

88% 0% $-2

Politics

9% — —

Crypto

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+20	$13	61¢	$12	$-1	07-01 12:27
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?	Yes	+15	$10	74¢	$11	+$1	07-01 12:24
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+15	$8	53¢	$8	$-0	07-01 12:25
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+18	$5	23¢	$4	$-1	07-01 12:26
Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+20	$2	10¢	$2	$-0	07-01 12:26

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?	1	$23	23	+23	open	—	04-14 12:01
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	1	$22	22	+22	open	—	04-14 12:01
Will Russia capture Havrylivka by April 30, 2026?	1	$22	22	+22	open	—	04-14 12:00
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?	1	$21	23	+23	open	—	04-14 12:00
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?	1	$21	23	+23	open	—	04-14 12:00
Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	1	$21	21	+21	open	—	04-14 12:01
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	1	$13	20	+20	open	—	07-01 12:27
will russia capture all of rodynske again by september 30	1	$10	17	+17	open	—	07-01 12:30
will russia capture all of chasiv yar by december 31	1	$10	15	+15	open	—	07-01 12:32
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?	1	$10	15	+15	open	—	07-01 12:24
will russia enter dobropillia by december 31	1	$10	16	+16	open	—	07-01 12:23
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?	1	$8	15	+15	open	—	07-01 12:25
will russia capture rai oleksandrivka by september 30	1	$8	20	+20	open	—	07-01 14:01
will russia capture lyman by september 30 2026	1	$7	19	+19	open	—	07-01 12:27
will russia capture all of chasiv yar by september 30	1	$7	17	+17	open	—	07-01 12:32
will russia capture all of rodynske again by july 31	1	$5	20	+20	open	—	07-01 12:30
will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	1	$5	15	+15	open	—	07-01 12:24
Octra FDV above $200M one day after launch?	1	$5	71	+71	open	—	04-17 10:57
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?	1	$5	18	+18	open	—	07-01 12:26
Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026?	1	$2	20	+20	open	—	07-01 12:26
Trump out as President by April 30?	1	$1	167	+167	open	—	04-17 10:16
Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?	1	$1	71	+71	No	$-1	04-17 10:39
Will MegaETH launch a token by June 30, 2026?	1	$1	10	+10	open	—	04-17 10:40
USD.AI FDV above $200M one day after launch?	1	$1	10	+10	open	—	04-17 10:42
Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	1	$1	333	+333	No	$-1	04-17 10:21
Will MegaETH launch a token by December 31, 2026?	1	$1	39	+39	open	—	04-17 10:40
Will MegaETH launch a token by September 30, 2026?	1	$1	16	+16	open	—	04-17 10:40
USD.AI FDV above $150M one day after launch?	1	$1	36	+36	open	—	04-17 10:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-01 14:01:38	will russia capture rai oleksandrivka by september 30	Yes	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0x47e778…
07-01 12:32:47	will russia capture all of chasiv yar by december 31	Yes	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x9bbdd7…
07-01 12:32:38	will russia capture all of chasiv yar by september 30	Yes	BUY	17	41¢	$7	0x185378…
07-01 12:30:56	will russia capture all of rodynske again by july 31	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x8d8d03…
07-01 12:30:47	will russia capture all of rodynske again by september 30	Yes	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x374649…
07-01 12:27:26	Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0x00018c…
07-01 12:27:07	will russia capture lyman by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	19	36¢	$7	0xa4478c…
07-01 12:26:35	Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	27¢	$5	0x5bfd86…
07-01 12:26:10	Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xd71acc…
07-01 12:25:28	Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	55¢	$8	0x326ee5…
07-01 12:24:34	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?	Yes	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x332d84…
07-01 12:24:25	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	Yes	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x9f250a…
07-01 12:23:17	will russia enter dobropillia by december 31	Yes	BUY	16	59¢	$10	0x00a645…
04-17 10:57:32	Octra FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x31a2f6…
04-17 10:42:00	USD.AI FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xd4429b…
04-17 10:41:50	USD.AI FDV above $150M one day after launch?	No	BUY	36	3¢	$1	0x600319…
04-17 10:40:44	Will MegaETH launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x82c510…
04-17 10:40:36	Will MegaETH launch a token by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0x48e3ce…
04-17 10:40:26	Will MegaETH launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	39	3¢	$1	0xd0a214…
04-17 10:39:10	Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?	Yes	BUY	71	1¢	$1	0x248163…
04-17 10:21:08	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0xfe8aff…
04-17 10:16:46	Trump out as President by April 30?	Yes	BUY	167	1¢	$1	0x5be3d2…
04-14 12:01:57	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?	No	BUY	23	98¢	$23	0xe180f5…
04-14 12:01:43	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0x93a901…
04-14 12:01:31	Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	No	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0x184599…
04-14 12:00:59	Will Russia capture Havrylivka by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0xab3315…
04-14 12:00:43	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?	No	BUY	23	90¢	$21	0x325327…
04-14 12:00:17	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?	No	BUY	23	93¢	$21	0x7bda41…