Unruly-Leader — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

38.0%

Resolved

Trades

1,422

lifetime

Volume

$4.57K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-26

last 07-05 20:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

39% 0% $-2

Crypto

32% — —

Sports

24% 40% $-2

Politics

5% — —

Tech

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	5	$208	1,611	1,611	+0	open	—	04-15 04:45
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	15	$83	126	126	+0	open	—	04-21 14:34
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)	3	$79	80	80	+0	open	—	05-19 16:41
elc ips bir 2026 04 06 ips	40	$64	160	0	+160	open	—	04-06 13:45
nhl nsh lak 2026 04 06	34	$63	111	0	+111	open	—	04-06 20:48
lol hle1 bro2 2026 04 01 game handicap away 1pt5	11	$62	195	0	+195	open	—	04-01 07:58
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	8	$62	81	81	+0	open	—	04-07 22:33
nba cle lal 2026 03 31	42	$51	110	0	+110	open	—	04-01 02:19
lol gen kt 2026 04 03 game1	2	$45	32	31	+1	open	—	04-03 10:23
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	2	$31	70	70	+0	open	—	04-07 22:04
mlb mia nyy 2026 04 03	2	$26	34	33	+1	open	—	04-03 10:23
spx up or down on april 2 2026	8	$26	32	20	+12	open	—	04-02 16:43
kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	2	$24	13	13	+0	open	—	04-07 22:19
CD Leganés vs. SD Huesca: O/U 1.5	2	$23	19	19	+0	open	—	05-18 20:59
nba chi nyk 2026 04 03 spread home 14pt5	2	$23	45	0	+45	open	—	04-03 21:51
btc updown 5m 1775052000	1	$23	25	0	+25	open	—	04-01 14:02
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	2	$22	17	17	+0	open	—	04-03 10:22
btc updown 5m 1775052300	1	$22	27	0	+27	open	—	04-01 14:07
btc updown 5m 1775052900	1	$21	80	0	+80	open	—	04-01 14:19
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	2	$21	54	54	+0	No	$-2	04-07 22:33
btc updown 15m 1775052000	1	$21	74	0	+74	open	—	04-01 14:10
sol updown 15m 1775052000	1	$21	65	0	+65	open	—	04-01 14:10
btc updown 5m 1775053200	1	$21	23	0	+23	open	—	04-01 14:22
GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Emiliana Arango vs Ella Seidel	2	$20	41	41	+0	open	—	05-19 16:28
lib gua1 flu 2026 04 07 flu	10	$20	26	25	+0	open	—	04-07 22:24
xrp updown 15m 1775053800	1	$20	134	0	+134	open	—	04-01 14:42
xrp updown 15m 1775052900	1	$20	94	0	+94	open	—	04-01 14:27
sol updown 15m 1775053800	1	$20	53	0	+53	open	—	04-01 14:42
cs2 hero bb3 2026 04 01	4	$19	41	0	+41	open	—	03-31 23:34
btc updown 5m 1775069700	1	$19	78	0	+78	open	—	04-01 18:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-05 20:42:53	btc updown 5m 1783284000	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x6410d9…
07-04 22:21:10	btc updown 5m 1783203600	Up	SELL	12	29¢	$3	0x9c5b53…
07-04 22:20:35	btc updown 5m 1783203600	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xee0d50…
07-04 22:18:05	btc updown 5m 1783203300	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x0ac409…
07-04 22:07:44	btc updown 5m 1783202700	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x9f7b1b…
07-04 22:04:50	btc updown 5m 1783202400	Up	BUY	300	2¢	$5	0x8989a6…
07-04 22:03:44	btc updown 5m 1783202400	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x31e991…
07-04 22:00:28	btc updown 5m 1783202100	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x8d12ff…
07-04 21:58:35	btc updown 5m 1783202100	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xfa4e52…
06-01 22:05:17	San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers	San Francisco Giants	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xf1594b…
06-01 22:05:03	Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins	Chicago White Sox	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xf25e40…
06-01 22:04:49	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x62757a…
06-01 22:04:11	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x3fe1b2…
06-01 22:03:39	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?	Yes	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xf9f165…
06-01 22:03:22	Iran closes its airspace by June 15?	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x6bceea…
05-29 21:57:51	Los Angeles Angels vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0xe3dded…
05-29 21:57:36	Los Angeles Angels vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Los Angeles Angels	BUY	14	42¢	$6	0x1b0bfc…
05-29 21:52:52	Spurs vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x7a5173…
05-29 21:52:43	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xd373dd…
05-28 22:14:40	Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox	Atlanta Braves	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x6213d2…
05-28 22:14:12	Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox	Boston Red Sox	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x8f7025…
05-28 21:55:06	Dota 2: Aurora vs Xtreme Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	Aurora	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x268fb8…
05-28 16:12:36	Counter-Strike: 9z vs Heroic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs	9z	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xd6e380…
05-28 12:39:49	Thunder vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x304aaf…
05-28 12:32:25	Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo	Jannik Sinner	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0xd5a513…
05-19 16:41:46	Spread: Knicks (-6.5)	Cavaliers	SELL	80	49¢	$39	0x54e41e…
05-19 16:28:49	GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Emiliana Arango vs Ella Seidel	Ella Seidel	SELL	41	1¢	$0	0xa2b904…
05-19 15:32:41	Spread: Knicks (-6.5)	Cavaliers	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x592e5e…
05-19 15:32:27	GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Emiliana Arango vs Ella Seidel	Ella Seidel	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0xda76e6…
05-19 15:32:25	Spread: Knicks (-6.5)	Cavaliers	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x970223…
05-18 20:59:13	CD Leganés vs. SD Huesca: O/U 1.5	Under	SELL	19	100¢	$18	0xf1da13…
05-18 18:23:42	CD Leganés vs. SD Huesca: O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0xe5cce9…
05-18 08:31:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x75a458…
05-18 08:31:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xfa4a46…
05-16 04:06:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xcf948b…
05-16 03:07:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x30b09b…
05-16 02:31:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x8c7502…
05-16 01:45:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x77e3ee…
05-16 01:38:14	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xfa1be7…
05-16 01:30:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xe6a3eb…
05-09 21:28:36	Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)	Pistons	SELL	11	33¢	$4	0x5fa2d1…
05-09 21:28:21	Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 212.5	Over	SELL	10	87¢	$9	0xe8e0a2…
05-09 18:28:18	Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 212.5	Over	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x6bc280…
05-09 16:21:45	Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)	Pistons	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x58bb81…
05-09 15:56:50	Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)	Pistons	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xcd5ed6…
05-08 01:28:43	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Pistons	SELL	8	92¢	$8	0x521641…
05-08 01:05:02	Spread: Pistons (-3.5)	Pistons	SELL	10	35¢	$3	0x09edf6…
05-07 21:50:21	Spread: Pistons (-3.5)	Pistons	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xd9b1e3…
05-07 20:12:03	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Pistons	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x02902e…
05-06 12:07:56	Will Drake release Iceman before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xaba18e…
05-06 12:07:50	Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xd51d90…
04-27 02:16:40	Spread: Rockets (-4.5)	Lakers	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x996bbc…
04-27 02:16:26	Spread: Rockets (-5.5)	Lakers	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x8b5e5d…
04-26 23:16:00	Spread: Celtics (-7.5)	Celtics	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x3a8e75…
04-26 08:59:52	Madrid Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Alex Michelsen	Alex Michelsen	BUY	9	26¢	$2	0x4c078d…
04-26 01:56:12	Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs	Team Falcons	BUY	3	49¢	$2	0x14f9ea…
04-26 01:56:08	Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs	Team Falcons	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xcbb214…
04-25 22:04:22	Spread: Knicks (-2.5)	Knicks	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x719b63…
04-25 20:29:06	Will Hellas Verona FC vs. US Lecce end in a draw?	No	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0xd30309…
04-25 19:33:58	Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs	Team Falcons	BUY	9	25¢	$2	0x62f762…
04-25 17:26:50	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-25?	No	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x68a819…
04-25 14:21:02	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x846fb3…
04-25 13:02:30	Spread: Tottenham Hotspur FC (-1.5)	Tottenham Hotspur FC	BUY	7	33¢	$2	0x759989…
04-25 12:32:04	Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)	Angers SCO	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xffb185…
04-25 06:03:12	North Korea missile test/launch by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0xbe91ab…
04-25 05:34:46	Fulham FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	11	21¢	$2	0x1c4e42…
04-25 02:26:46	Will Getafe CF vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0x9fc251…
04-25 00:58:46	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	86¢	$2	0x0b6ed5…
04-25 00:22:32	Lightning vs. Canadiens	Canadiens	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x16421f…
04-25 00:20:02	Lakers vs. Rockets	Rockets	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x35f9fd…
04-24 21:16:48	Will CA Barracas Central win on 2026-04-24?	Yes	BUY	12	10¢	$1	0x96d0bd…
04-24 20:59:22	lal bet rea 2026 04 24 draw	No	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xcf42e0…
04-24 20:07:38	fl1 sbr rcl 2026 04 24 sbr	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xc7df65…
04-24 19:46:08	Incheon United FC vs. Jeju SK FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x4ce518…
04-24 17:24:08	Dota 2: Team Liquid vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs	Team Liquid	BUY	4	44¢	$2	0x688be7…
04-24 15:53:26	Will there be exactly 2 major space weather events this week?	Yes	SELL	9	15¢	$1	0x37dd0a…
04-24 15:31:02	Will there be 8 or more major space weather events this week?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x093f53…
04-24 15:01:48	rou1 fcs fpp 2026 04 24 fcs	No	BUY	3	47¢	$1	0xa9a029…
04-24 14:24:24	Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Gujarat Titans	Gujarat Titans	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xa50068…
04-24 12:19:58	Will there be exactly 2 major space weather events this week?	Yes	BUY	9	26¢	$2	0xd53e93…
04-24 11:08:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	No	SELL	4	30¢	$1	0x11453b…
04-24 09:54:34	j1100 fct hol 2026 04 24 fct	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x1b619d…
04-24 09:46:32	epl sun not 2026 04 24 draw	No	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x2bff3a…
04-24 09:41:28	fr2 lav raf 2026 04 24 draw	Yes	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x91ae48…
04-24 05:34:32	deepseek v4 released by april 24	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xc8314c…
04-24 03:56:08	deepseek v4 released by april 24	Yes	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xa119fb…
04-24 03:31:38	DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?	No	BUY	22	5¢	$1	0x0cd357…
04-24 02:54:40	nba den min 2026 04 23	Timberwolves	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x14c133…
04-24 02:54:22	nba den min 2026 04 23	Timberwolves	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x715caf…
04-24 00:19:22	nba nyk atl 2026 04 23	Hawks	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0xa57566…
04-23 22:47:12	bun lei uni 2026 04 24 lei	No	BUY	8	32¢	$2	0xe1c4d0…
04-23 18:45:36	dfb stu scf 2026 04 23 total 1pt5	Under	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x23edff…
04-23 18:38:54	spx up or down on april 23 2026	Down	BUY	3	89¢	$2	0x68c92b…
04-23 18:32:50	spx up or down on april 23 2026	Down	BUY	3	89¢	$2	0x4e0047…
04-23 18:32:48	spx up or down on april 23 2026	Up	SELL	4	11¢	$0	0xe636a5…
04-23 17:04:18	spx up or down on april 23 2026	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xff94c0…
04-23 17:02:10	spx up or down on april 23 2026	Down	SELL	3	75¢	$2	0xf3c525…
04-23 07:23:16	ere goa az 2026 04 23 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	4	36¢	$1	0x8a561c…
04-23 06:54:48	lal ovi vil 2026 04 23 btts	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xaa80b7…
04-23 04:12:40	dfb stu scf 2026 04 23 spread home 1pt5	VfB Stuttgart	BUY	4	36¢	$1	0x12fc39…