Unkempt-Letter — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$124

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

77.0%

Resolved

1,157

Trades

1,175

lifetime

Volume

$5.94K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-28

last 10-15 11:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 30 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 77% +$101

Other

1% 50% +$23

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No		+1	$1	82¢	$1	+$0	10-15 11:23

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
dota2 gl xtreme 2026 07 08	3	$60	103	+103	Xtreme Gaming	+$43	07-08 09:05
dota2 rnx pari 2026 07 09	3	$20	150	+150	PARIVISION	-$20	07-09 14:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	2	$12	13	+13	Down	+$1	05-14 23:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	2	$12	12	+12	Up	+$0	05-14 14:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	2	$12	17	+17	Up	+$5	05-14 21:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	2	$12	13	+13	Down	-$12	05-15 00:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	2	$12	13	+13	Down	-$12	05-14 20:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	2	$11	13	+13	Up	-$11	05-14 18:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	2	$11	12	+12	Down	+$0	05-14 18:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	2	$11	15	+15	Up	+$4	05-14 22:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	2	$11	12	+12	Up	+$1	05-14 14:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	2	$10	13	+13	Up	-$10	05-15 01:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	1	$7	8	+8	Down	+$1	05-12 20:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	2	$7	9	+9	Up	-$7	05-12 21:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	1	$7	7	+7	Up	+$0	05-12 09:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	1	$7	9	+9	Up	-$7	05-14 07:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	1	$7	8	+8	Up	-$7	05-14 08:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	1	$7	8	+8	Down	+$2	05-13 05:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	1	$6	9	+9	Up	+$2	05-14 06:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	1	$6	7	+7	Down	+$0	05-12 16:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	1	$6	7	+7	Down	+$0	05-15 05:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	1	$6	8	+8	Up	+$2	05-13 03:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	1	$6	6	+6	Up	+$0	05-13 00:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	1	$6	8	+8	Down	+$1	04-30 21:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	1	$6	8	+8	Down	+$2	05-12 10:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	1	$6	7	+7	Down	+$1	05-13 12:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	1	$6	7	+7	Down	+$1	05-15 08:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	1	$6	7	+7	Down	+$1	05-13 05:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	1	$6	8	+8	Up	+$1	05-13 06:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	1	$6	8	+8	Down	-$6	05-14 17:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-15 11:23:00	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x0d54ce…
09-18 17:37:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x75533a…
08-24 06:36:34	Vesuvius eruption with 1+ VEI in 2026?	No	SELL	3	92¢	$3	0x594c3c…
08-24 06:35:36	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x0dbb6a…
07-09 14:54:11	dota2 rnx pari 2026 07 09	REKONIX	BUY	50	13¢	$7	0x85a186…
07-09 14:53:31	dota2 rnx pari 2026 07 09	REKONIX	BUY	50	13¢	$7	0x6409a5…
07-09 14:52:13	dota2 rnx pari 2026 07 09	REKONIX	BUY	50	13¢	$7	0x1c10e6…
07-08 09:05:08	dota2 gl xtreme 2026 07 08	Xtreme Gaming	BUY	50	58¢	$29	0xdd7b69…
07-08 08:58:56	dota2 gl xtreme 2026 07 08	Xtreme Gaming	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xe89bea…
07-03 03:03:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-03 03:00 UTC	Down	BUY	6	44¢	$3	0x5d773a…
06-05 07:05:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-05 07:00 UTC	Down	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xe2e7ab…
06-05 06:50:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-05 06:45 UTC	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x55d442…
06-05 06:35:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-05 06:30 UTC	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x08e45f…
06-05 06:20:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-05 06:15 UTC	Down	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x176a46…
06-05 06:05:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-05 06:00 UTC	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x47145f…
06-05 05:50:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-05 05:45 UTC	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x6d4c83…
06-05 05:35:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-05 05:30 UTC	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x379e17…
06-05 05:20:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-05 05:15 UTC	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x2f0f2e…
06-05 05:05:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-05 05:00 UTC	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x1e6129…
06-05 04:50:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-05 04:45 UTC	Down	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x57e802…
06-05 04:35:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-05 04:30 UTC	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xbd6839…
06-05 04:20:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-05 04:15 UTC	Down	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x88009e…
06-05 04:05:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-05 04:00 UTC	Down	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x8c1e07…
06-05 03:50:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-05 03:45 UTC	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xf4ac46…
06-05 03:35:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-05 03:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xb7a63e…
06-05 03:20:07	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-05 03:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x0d1237…
06-05 03:05:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-05 03:00 UTC	Down	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x320e89…
06-05 02:35:10	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-05 02:30 UTC	Up	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xf54d86…
06-05 01:50:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-05 01:45 UTC	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x954e99…
06-05 01:35:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-05 01:30 UTC	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xfefd57…
06-05 01:05:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-05 01:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xfcf09c…
06-05 00:50:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-05 00:45 UTC	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x4286c4…
06-05 00:05:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-05 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xbabacb…
06-04 23:35:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-04 23:30 UTC	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x2f880a…
06-04 23:20:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-04 23:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x553232…
06-04 22:50:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-04 22:45 UTC	Up	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x92a5f9…
06-04 22:20:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-04 22:15 UTC	Up	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x1619e2…
06-04 22:05:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-04 22:00 UTC	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xc12263…
06-04 21:35:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-04 21:30 UTC	Down	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xfc6357…
06-04 21:20:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-04 21:15 UTC	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xa29286…
06-04 21:05:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-04 21:00 UTC	Up	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xd2e916…
06-04 20:50:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-04 20:45 UTC	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x64e5b5…
06-04 20:35:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-04 20:30 UTC	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xd964a5…
06-04 20:20:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-04 20:15 UTC	Down	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x0135d6…
06-04 20:05:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-04 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xb56098…
06-04 19:35:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-04 19:30 UTC	Down	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x9dbce7…
06-04 19:20:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-04 19:15 UTC	Up	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xc4e132…
06-04 19:05:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-04 19:00 UTC	Down	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x2e18e8…
06-04 18:50:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-04 18:45 UTC	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xaa62fa…
06-04 18:20:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-04 18:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x5fee4b…
06-04 18:05:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-04 18:00 UTC	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x4ac235…
06-04 17:35:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-04 17:30 UTC	Down	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x39be92…
06-04 17:20:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-04 17:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x7dc561…
06-04 16:35:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-04 16:30 UTC	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x03a60e…
06-04 16:20:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-04 16:15 UTC	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xf0b8df…
06-04 16:05:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-04 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x2331cd…
06-04 15:50:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-04 15:45 UTC	Down	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xf687d3…
06-04 15:20:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-04 15:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x06f58c…
06-04 14:50:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-04 14:45 UTC	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xc82985…
06-04 14:35:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-04 14:30 UTC	Down	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x46f4a1…
06-04 13:35:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-04 13:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x6879a8…
06-04 13:20:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-04 13:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xab0eb5…
06-04 12:50:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-04 12:45 UTC	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x5a099c…
06-04 12:35:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-04 12:30 UTC	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x80340b…
06-04 12:20:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-04 12:15 UTC	Up	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x496b88…
06-04 11:50:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-04 11:45 UTC	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x6d430b…
06-04 11:35:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-04 11:30 UTC	Down	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x1fcce2…
06-04 11:20:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-04 11:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xfe56c6…
06-04 11:05:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-04 11:00 UTC	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x8fbab4…
06-04 10:50:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-04 10:45 UTC	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x416530…
06-04 10:35:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-04 10:30 UTC	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x8d7e20…
06-04 10:05:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-04 10:00 UTC	Down	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x8398a3…
06-04 09:50:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-04 09:45 UTC	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xc9d607…
06-04 09:20:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-04 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xc5b85b…
06-04 09:05:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-04 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x4cb78e…
06-04 08:50:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-04 08:45 UTC	Up	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xfe6c0e…
06-04 08:20:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-04 08:15 UTC	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xa3c044…
06-04 08:05:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-04 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x2613fd…
06-04 07:50:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-04 07:45 UTC	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x4f6638…
06-04 07:35:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-04 07:30 UTC	Up	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x40d60b…
06-04 07:20:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-04 07:15 UTC	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xa5f45e…
06-04 06:50:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-04 06:45 UTC	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xca9ba4…
06-04 06:35:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-04 06:30 UTC	Down	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x7ba97f…
06-04 06:20:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-04 06:15 UTC	Up	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x486a34…
06-04 06:05:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-04 06:00 UTC	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xd7cf70…
06-04 05:50:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-04 05:45 UTC	Down	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x7c6895…
06-04 05:35:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-04 05:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xb4ed7a…
06-04 05:05:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-04 05:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x36552d…
06-04 04:35:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-04 04:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x4b829f…
06-04 04:05:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-04 04:00 UTC	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x2b7248…
06-04 03:35:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-04 03:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xb06503…
06-04 03:20:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-04 03:15 UTC	Up	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xf274e5…
06-04 03:05:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-04 03:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x6b0891…
06-04 02:35:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-04 02:30 UTC	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x58d923…
06-04 02:05:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-04 02:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x7b2fbf…
06-04 01:50:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-04 01:45 UTC	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xe02b7d…
06-04 01:35:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-04 01:30 UTC	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xe1a6d6…
06-03 18:05:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x19e379…
06-03 16:35:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x25d621…
06-03 16:20:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x86e9f5…