Sane-Close — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$22

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

91.1%

Resolved

Trades

111

lifetime

Volume

$835

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 06-04 14:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

91% 91% $-16

Politics

6% — —

Other

4% 67% $-6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 50 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (22) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	1	$25	26	0	+26	open	—	05-04 18:12
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 4?	2	$23	25	0	+25	open	—	05-04 14:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2PM ET	2	$20	21	0	+21	Up	+$1	05-05 18:43
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	1	$18	21	0	+21	open	—	06-04 14:29
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	1	$17	18	0	+18	Down	+$1	05-05 19:25
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	2	$16	9	9	+0	Down	+$0	05-05 13:14
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5AM ET	2	$16	9	9	+0	Down	+$0	05-05 09:24
Bitcoin above 81,200 on May 5, 6AM ET?	3	$16	8	8	+0	open	—	05-05 09:59
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 3PM ET	1	$16	17	0	+17	Up	+$1	05-05 19:54
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	2	$16	16	0	+16	Down	+$0	05-05 09:27
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	1	$15	16	0	+16	open	—	05-17 15:33
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	1	$15	15	0	+15	Up	+$0	05-08 11:43
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 8?	1	$14	14	0	+14	No	+$0	05-08 11:56
Dogecoin Up or Down on May 8?	2	$14	16	0	+16	Up	$-14	05-08 13:17
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	1	$13	14	0	+14	open	—	05-11 08:02
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 7?	1	$13	13	0	+13	No	+$0	05-07 05:28
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 7?	1	$13	13	0	+13	No	+$0	05-07 05:29
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 8?	1	$13	13	0	+13	No	+$0	05-08 11:56
Bitcoin above 81,800 on May 5, 4PM ET?	1	$13	14	0	+14	No	+$1	05-05 19:22
Ethereum above 2,385 on May 5, 4PM ET?	1	$13	14	0	+14	No	+$1	05-05 19:24
Will Solana reach $95 on May 8?	1	$13	13	0	+13	No	+$0	05-08 11:36
Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on May 8?	1	$13	13	0	+13	No	+$0	05-08 11:35
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 May 4-10?	1	$13	13	0	+13	No	+$0	05-07 05:29
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 3PM ET	2	$12	6	6	+0	Down	+$0	05-07 19:59
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	1	$12	13	0	+13	open	—	05-04 09:05
XRP Up or Down on May 7?	2	$11	12	0	+12	Down	+$1	05-07 12:03
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 8?	2	$10	8	8	+0	Up	$-2	05-08 14:07
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 5?	1	$10	10	0	+10	Up	+$0	05-05 14:17
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11AM ET	2	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	05-04 15:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	2	$9	6	6	+0	Up	$-3	05-05 10:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-04 14:29:51	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	21	86¢	$18	0x453ef4…
05-17 15:33:19	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	16	93¢	$15	0x67d3c8…
05-11 08:02:39	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	14	96¢	$13	0xbdd1c3…
05-08 14:07:22	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 8?	Up	SELL	8	53¢	$4	0x87d11f…
05-08 13:17:51	Dogecoin Up or Down on May 8?	Down	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0x3b8cc3…
05-08 13:14:38	BNB Up or Down on May 8?	Down	BUY	7	89¢	$6	0x1c50e8…
05-08 13:14:01	Ethereum Up or Down on May 8?	Down	BUY	8	75¢	$6	0xe22c4c…
05-08 11:56:33	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 8?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0xa11d69…
05-08 11:56:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 8?	No	BUY	13	97¢	$13	0xa7594f…
05-08 11:55:32	Dogecoin Up or Down on May 8?	Down	BUY	8	73¢	$6	0x5781bd…
05-08 11:54:57	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 8?	Up	BUY	8	71¢	$6	0x727686…
05-08 11:46:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xd7c7e1…
05-08 11:43:45	XRP Up or Down - May 8, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x0a9e09…
05-08 11:43:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xf76b39…
05-08 11:42:39	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xb72f6c…
05-08 11:36:36	Will Solana reach $95 on May 8?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xf59242…
05-08 11:36:10	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 on May 8?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x0ef44e…
05-08 11:35:14	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on May 8?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xd8ba99…
05-07 19:59:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 3PM ET	Down	SELL	6	95¢	$6	0xa3f797…
05-07 19:58:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x619201…
05-07 12:03:31	XRP Up or Down on May 7?	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x702bc0…
05-07 12:02:45	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on May 7?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xbaaae7…
05-07 12:02:38	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on May 7?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x826cae…
05-07 06:50:54	BNB Up or Down - May 7, 1AM ET	Up	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xddf93e…
05-07 06:08:58	Solana Up or Down - May 7, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	9	94¢	$8	0x4c669b…
05-07 06:08:14	BNB Up or Down - May 7, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x973319…
05-07 06:07:06	XRP Up or Down on May 7?	Down	BUY	7	87¢	$6	0xbd98df…
05-07 06:06:01	Dogecoin Up or Down on May 7?	Down	BUY	7	92¢	$6	0xac1c9a…
05-07 06:03:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 8?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x622153…
05-07 05:58:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x71f105…
05-07 05:42:15	BNB Up or Down - May 7, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0xb6dcc3…
05-07 05:31:32	Will the price of Solana be above $90 on May 7?	No	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xb49100…
05-07 05:29:44	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 7?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xdd48fb…
05-07 05:29:19	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 May 4-10?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x2a4b99…
05-07 05:28:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 7?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x95d8bb…
05-05 19:54:14	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	17	96¢	$16	0xbb5dd3…
05-05 19:33:50	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0xd4d6dd…
05-05 19:27:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0x5b234e…
05-05 19:25:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	18	94¢	$17	0x17dd1e…
05-05 19:24:12	Ethereum above 2,385 on May 5, 4PM ET?	No	BUY	14	96¢	$13	0x618241…
05-05 19:22:20	Bitcoin above 81,800 on May 5, 4PM ET?	No	BUY	14	93¢	$13	0x26085c…
05-05 18:43:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	11	96¢	$11	0xfc8e30…
05-05 18:36:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0xe94816…
05-05 18:26:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0x6df471…
05-05 14:17:54	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 5?	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x651231…
05-05 13:59:40	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xf217b1…
05-05 13:57:44	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x99c02c…
05-05 13:29:14	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xf54e47…
05-05 13:14:36	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	SELL	9	95¢	$8	0x5b692f…
05-05 13:14:24	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	9	92¢	$8	0xe92612…
05-05 12:59:16	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0x352325…
05-05 12:44:16	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x734479…
05-05 11:57:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	96¢	$8	0x993a62…
05-05 11:38:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x302493…
05-05 11:28:46	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x996292…
05-05 11:13:58	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0x5e31a4…
05-05 11:13:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	93¢	$4	0xbaa4ab…
05-05 11:09:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0x9c18ce…
05-05 11:08:38	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x8d996d…
05-05 11:04:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0x06db42…
05-05 11:03:54	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xa907a8…
05-05 10:59:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	SELL	6	58¢	$3	0x60271f…
05-05 10:58:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	SELL	3	9¢	$0	0xe557f2…
05-05 10:57:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x019549…
05-05 10:56:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xabe161…
05-05 10:52:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0xc53c64…
05-05 10:49:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x6ece6f…
05-05 10:41:46	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x952129…
05-05 10:38:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	8	95¢	$8	0xbb0556…
05-05 10:25:28	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0xaf87c5…
05-05 10:22:14	Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x429337…
05-05 10:10:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x01c05a…
05-05 09:59:30	Bitcoin above 81,200 on May 5, 6AM ET?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x7dca83…
05-05 09:59:00	Bitcoin above 81,200 on May 5, 6AM ET?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x7e2d42…
05-05 09:38:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0x1c0e67…
05-05 09:36:26	Bitcoin above 81,200 on May 5, 6AM ET?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x1f0162…
05-05 09:27:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xd4ad38…
05-05 09:27:10	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x02f8e7…
05-05 09:24:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5AM ET	Down	SELL	9	92¢	$8	0x1d678f…
05-05 09:23:32	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xe15dc3…
05-05 09:21:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	9	90¢	$8	0xfc31d4…
05-05 09:19:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xac27d1…
05-05 09:11:50	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x6342bf…
05-05 09:11:38	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x76acdb…
05-05 08:59:36	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	95¢	$8	0x84659f…
05-04 19:07:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xf07178…
05-04 18:15:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xa3266e…
05-04 18:12:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0x5bb931…
05-04 18:04:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x282621…
05-04 17:56:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x48fe06…
05-04 17:55:36	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x2505de…
05-04 17:54:08	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc26545…
05-04 17:54:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x68200b…
05-04 17:43:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x1bcba5…
05-04 17:28:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	237	2¢	$5	0x10c7f4…
05-04 17:08:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x9090cf…
05-04 16:56:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xcd23cd…
05-04 16:21:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb46054…
05-04 15:53:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xece996…
05-04 15:43:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x3874f3…