(anonymous) 0x57beef…16e140
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Realized P&L
-$174
Unrealized P&L
-$14
Hit rate
49.4%
Resolved
310
Trades
1,080
lifetime
Volume
$2.24K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$18
24 positions
First seen
2026-03-04
last 10-31 20:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 93 days
Categories
Other
46% 17% -$123
Politics
37% 15% -$71
Crypto
7% 10% -$38
Sports
6% 13% +$25
Tech
3% 100% +$17
Pop-Culture
1% 100% +$16
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
64 active days in 12wk • peak 35 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +378 $3 1¢ $4 +$1 07-23 15:45
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? Yes +70 $7 3¢ $2 -$5 09-04 04:18
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +44 $1 4¢ $2 +$0 10-28 00:27
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? Yes +25 $2 6¢ $2 -$1 08-07 05:18
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +32 $2 4¢ $1 -$1 10-28 00:23
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +53 $1 3¢ $1 +$0 08-11 08:57
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +15 $1 8¢ $1 +$0 10-27 01:43
Will XRP reach $2.60 by December 31, 2026? Yes +22 $2 6¢ $1 -$1 09-06 21:27
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes +20 $1 6¢ $1 +$0 10-27 19:47
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? Yes +50 $4 1¢ $1 -$3 08-12 12:42
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31? Yes +13 $1 4¢ $1 +$0 09-03 01:36
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +90 $2 0¢ $0 -$2 08-07 12:47
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? No +20 $1 1¢ $0 -$1 10-29 23:17
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? Yes +5 $0 3¢ $0 +$0 10-28 01:18
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? No +10 $0 2¢ $0 $0 10-31 03:05
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? Yes +20 $2 1¢ $0 -$2 10-06 05:08
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? Yes +20 $0 0¢ $0 $0 10-31 12:34
Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +10 $0 1¢ $0 +$0 10-30 12:16
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? Yes +5 $0 1¢ $0 $0 10-21 23:06
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? No +5 $0 1¢ $0 $0 10-27 15:28
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31? Yes +22 $0 0¢ $0 $0 10-27 02:38
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by October 31, 2026? Yes +11 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 10-30 15:15
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? Yes +10 $0 0¢ $0 $0 10-24 12:01
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? Yes +5 $0 0¢ $0 $0 10-24 06:09