Realized P&L
-$31
Unrealized P&L
-$0
Hit rate
62.6%
Resolved
170
Trades
1,898
lifetime
Volume
$1.66K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$19
9 positions
First seen
2026-03-06
last 11-12 20:09
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 70 days
Categories
Politics
73% 60% -$5
Other
22% 60% -$25
Crypto
2% 25% -$3
Sports
2% 33% +$1
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
12 active days in 12wk • peak 73 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027? No +9 $6 96¢ $8 +$2 05-07 04:31
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No -4 -$4 98¢ $-4 $0 11-06 18:36
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30, 2027? Yes +3 $2 72¢ $2 +$0 11-12 20:09
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +6 $2 32¢ $2 $0 11-05 04:08
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 22? Yes +3 $2 48¢ $1 $0 11-11 14:27
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-02 House election by 0%-3%? No +2 $2 33¢ $1 -$1 09-22 23:51
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -0 $0 92¢ $-0 $0 06-17 05:43
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027? Yes +4 $2 4¢ $0 -$2 05-07 01:37
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 15? Yes +0 $0 72¢ $0 +$1 11-09 22:01