Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.40K

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

95.1%

Resolved

11,186

Trades

15,975

lifetime

Volume

$243.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

$84

4 positions

First seen

2026-06-30

last 11-02 06:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 89 days

Categories

Crypto

76% 96% +$716

Other

22% 93% +$499

Tech

1% 54% +$246

Politics

1% 36% -$71

Sports

0% 67% +$13

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

77 active days in 12wk • peak 1024 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (23) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027?	No	+60	$39	77¢	$46	+$7	09-14 15:07
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	+40	$31	88¢	$35	+$4	09-14 21:32
GTA 6 launch postponed again?	Yes	+110	$10	3¢	$3	-$7	07-15 09:55
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	+0	$3	2¢	$0	-$3	07-12 15:43

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	34	$1.3K	751	751	+0	Yes	+$8	08-13 18:28
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.40% before 2027?	1	$1.2K	1,284	0	+1,284	Yes	+$84	09-23 19:50
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 4.85% before 2027?	1	$1000	1,108	0	+1,108	Yes	+$108	09-16 19:53
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?	16	$872	1,130	1,130	+0	Yes	+$650	09-15 19:07
Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?	3	$790	445	445	+0	Yes	+$10	09-27 20:12
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?	7	$665	2,803	2,803	+0	open	—	07-28 00:40
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 360m and 370m?	12	$567	488	488	+0	Yes	+$18	08-03 17:13
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 350m and 360m?	7	$492	600	600	+0	No	+$0	08-01 22:46
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	13	$477	820	820	+0	Yes	+$83	08-27 08:06
Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?	12	$446	540	540	+0	Yes	+$0	08-08 17:00
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 12 and 14 million views on day 1?	4	$419	220	220	+0	Yes	+$4	08-16 14:48
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	3	$407	400	400	+0	Yes	+$195	08-19 13:32
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 4.80% before 2027?	1	$400	421	0	+421	Yes	+$21	09-14 19:51
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	2	$392	400	400	+0	open	—	10-28 13:02
Will iShowSpeed Win the 2026 Streamer of the Year Award?	8	$387	300	300	+0	open	—	10-02 07:25
Will Max Holloway fight Justin Gaethje next?	3	$378	629	629	+0	open	—	07-28 20:14
Titans vs. Giants	2	$338	200	200	+0	Giants	-$26	09-27 19:46
Will MrBeast's latest video get between 59 and 60 million views on day 3?	14	$336	227	227	+0	Yes	+$12	09-08 15:33
Will Euphoria be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year?	12	$314	600	600	+0	open	—	08-12 20:10
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	16	$303	411	411	+0	Yes	+$46	09-10 07:25
will spider man brand new day beat avengers endgames opening weekend record 20260731162713556	9	$303	214	214	+0	Yes	+$1	08-02 00:42
Will "Widow's Bay" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys?	5	$290	300	300	+0	No	+$0	08-12 00:24
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the October Meeting?	4	$286	305	305	+0	Yes	+$13	09-11 14:54
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	2	$261	150	150	+0	No	+$0	08-17 00:33
Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 86m?	20	$228	410	410	+0	No	-$1	07-22 14:21
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	11	$225	221	221	+0	No	+$52	09-08 12:34
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$220	257	0	+257	Yes	+$37	07-19 21:47
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	3	$208	118	118	+0	open	—	07-21 13:54
Will China GDP growth in Q4 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%?	2	$196	202	202	+0	open	—	10-27 18:23
will mrbeast say karl during his next youtube video 20260702154826872	26	$194	1,328	1,228	+100	No	-$47	07-25 15:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-02 07:21:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x74b62e…
11-02 07:21:43	XRP Up or Down - November 2, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x987dd6…
11-02 07:21:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x4f4298…
11-02 07:21:42	XRP Up or Down - November 2, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xc426ea…
11-02 07:13:16	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x8576cb…
11-02 07:13:16	BNB Up or Down - November 2, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0x0dad77…
11-02 07:02:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x68ee56…
11-02 07:02:22	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0xb4b57f…
11-02 06:58:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x8b2659…
11-02 06:43:33	BNB Up or Down - November 2, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x8605c7…
11-02 06:42:57	XRP Up or Down - November 2, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	12	98¢	$11	0x5c9947…
11-02 06:42:57	XRP Up or Down - November 2, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x4d8923…
11-02 06:42:07	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0xef3f41…
11-02 06:42:03	Solana Up or Down - November 2, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x37d791…
11-02 06:41:58	Solana Up or Down - November 2, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x1d05dd…
11-02 06:39:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x7208be…
11-02 06:37:49	BNB Up or Down - November 2, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x3514ad…
11-02 06:33:57	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x7760b2…
11-02 06:08:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x094d0e…
11-02 06:08:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0xe6e2f4…
11-02 05:58:16	Solana Up or Down - November 2, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x7d3f76…
11-02 05:58:10	BNB Up or Down - November 2, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xf65e67…
11-02 05:48:55	BNB Up or Down - November 2, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xcc3be5…
11-02 05:43:46	BNB Up or Down - November 2, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xfa4bb1…
11-02 05:43:15	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x8954f4…
11-02 05:32:39	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x9d9bb3…
11-02 05:28:24	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x50c6ab…
11-02 05:27:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x7dee2d…
11-02 05:27:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x546828…
11-02 05:22:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x3040ce…
11-02 05:12:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x487392…
11-02 05:11:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0xc7943d…
11-02 05:08:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x1273bd…
11-02 05:03:30	BNB Up or Down - November 2, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xf7326a…
11-02 05:03:19	BNB Up or Down - November 2, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x023084…
11-02 04:43:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0xa5be74…
11-02 04:43:31	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x280509…
11-02 04:42:45	BNB Up or Down - November 1, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	18	95¢	$17	0x74af44…
11-02 04:38:09	XRP Up or Down - November 1, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xdbcf09…
11-02 04:38:07	XRP Up or Down - November 1, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x6c46a7…
11-02 04:37:54	BNB Up or Down - November 1, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x5a8683…
11-02 04:37:12	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	17	94¢	$16	0xcc68c5…
11-02 04:33:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xd0fb1a…
11-02 04:32:46	BNB Up or Down - November 1, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x35cab1…
11-02 04:28:37	XRP Up or Down - November 1, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x1e3ee2…
11-02 04:12:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0x0f3ae4…
11-02 04:07:36	XRP Up or Down - November 1, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x9e014d…
11-02 03:58:34	XRP Up or Down - November 1, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x5bd9cf…
11-02 03:58:09	XRP Up or Down - November 1, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x071df9…
11-02 03:57:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x9b2c4d…
11-02 03:57:45	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0xedddfb…
11-02 03:37:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x883cab…
11-02 03:37:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x7e6266…
11-02 03:34:10	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x14fb8d…
11-02 03:18:00	Hyperliquid Up or Down - November 1, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xc48394…
11-02 03:13:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x253982…
11-02 02:58:45	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x06bc2a…
11-02 02:58:42	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x7c0023…
11-02 02:43:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x58b3c1…
11-02 02:43:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x19aa4c…
11-02 02:42:42	Solana Up or Down - November 1, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	19	98¢	$19	0xe94a9d…
11-02 02:42:19	Hyperliquid Up or Down - November 1, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x4a05a3…
11-02 02:42:19	XRP Up or Down - November 1, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x2a9fa8…
11-02 02:37:12	XRP Up or Down - November 1, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x793410…
11-02 02:36:33	BNB Up or Down - November 1, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x4ed49f…
11-02 02:36:25	Solana Up or Down - November 1, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x452d8d…
11-02 02:18:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x7069aa…
11-02 02:17:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x9674ff…
11-02 02:17:27	Hyperliquid Up or Down - November 1, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xae2530…
11-02 02:13:30	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x6ac249…
11-02 02:12:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0xbc4df1…
11-02 02:07:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x93ca1b…
11-02 02:07:09	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x5beb13…
11-02 02:03:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x7ff58b…
11-02 02:03:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xc64643…
11-02 01:52:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x319886…
11-02 01:43:04	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xc41ca3…
11-02 01:38:34	XRP Up or Down - November 1, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x1b9a39…
11-02 01:38:30	BNB Up or Down - November 1, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x981778…
11-02 01:33:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0xc43d37…
11-02 01:32:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x10fb98…
11-02 01:22:42	Solana Up or Down - November 1, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	9	96¢	$9	0xb246b1…
11-02 01:22:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x80894b…
11-02 01:07:30	XRP Up or Down - November 1, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xb71f13…
11-02 00:53:54	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x178cc1…
11-02 00:48:24	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x68688d…
11-02 00:43:24	XRP Up or Down - November 1, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xb717eb…
11-02 00:31:40	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x68c34f…
11-02 00:31:24	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0xc42c4b…
11-02 00:27:15	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x54b117…
11-02 00:26:54	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x2ecd94…
11-02 00:23:03	BNB Up or Down - November 1, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0xe02942…
11-02 00:17:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x2dc8a5…
11-02 00:17:34	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	9	94¢	$8	0x5fbaa9…
11-02 00:17:33	XRP Up or Down - November 1, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xcd6066…
11-02 00:17:31	XRP Up or Down - November 1, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x41f089…
11-02 00:17:25	BNB Up or Down - November 1, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x8ec4ac…
11-02 00:12:51	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x7c260b…
11-02 00:12:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	18	94¢	$17	0xeeeed9…
11-02 00:12:09	XRP Up or Down - November 1, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0xc59728…