Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.28K

Unrealized P&L

-$19

Hit rate

95.1%

Resolved

11,563

Trades

16,430

lifetime

Volume

$251.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

$83

5 positions

First seen

2026-06-30

last 11-03 20:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 90 days

Categories

Crypto

76% 96% +$615

Other

22% 93% +$476

Tech

1% 54% +$246

Politics

1% 36% -$71

Sports

0% 67% +$13

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

77 active days in 12wk • peak 1024 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (23) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027?	No		+60	$39	77¢	$46	+$7	09-14 15:07
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No		+40	$31	86¢	$35	+$4	09-14 21:32
GTA 6 launch postponed again?	Yes		+110	$10	2¢	$2	-$8	07-15 09:55
BNB Up or Down - November 3, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	—	+21	$20	1¢	$0	-$20	11-03 22:02
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes		+0	$3	2¢	$0	-$3	07-12 15:43

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	34	$1.3K	751	751	+0	Yes	+$8	08-13 18:28
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.40% before 2027?	1	$1.2K	1,284	0	+1,284	Yes	+$84	09-23 19:50
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 4.85% before 2027?	1	$1000	1,108	0	+1,108	Yes	+$108	09-16 19:53
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?	16	$872	1,130	1,130	+0	Yes	+$650	09-15 19:07
Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?	3	$790	445	445	+0	Yes	+$10	09-27 20:12
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?	7	$665	2,803	2,803	+0	open	—	07-28 00:40
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 360m and 370m?	12	$567	488	488	+0	Yes	+$18	08-03 17:13
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 350m and 360m?	7	$492	600	600	+0	No	+$0	08-01 22:46
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	13	$477	820	820	+0	Yes	+$83	08-27 08:06
Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?	12	$446	540	540	+0	Yes	+$0	08-08 17:00
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 12 and 14 million views on day 1?	4	$419	220	220	+0	Yes	+$4	08-16 14:48
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	3	$407	400	400	+0	Yes	+$195	08-19 13:32
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 4.80% before 2027?	1	$400	421	0	+421	Yes	+$21	09-14 19:51
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	2	$392	400	400	+0	open	—	10-28 13:02
Will iShowSpeed Win the 2026 Streamer of the Year Award?	8	$387	300	300	+0	open	—	10-02 07:25
Will Max Holloway fight Justin Gaethje next?	3	$378	629	629	+0	open	—	07-28 20:14
Titans vs. Giants	2	$338	200	200	+0	Giants	-$26	09-27 19:46
Will MrBeast's latest video get between 59 and 60 million views on day 3?	14	$336	227	227	+0	Yes	+$12	09-08 15:33
Will Euphoria be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year?	12	$314	600	600	+0	open	—	08-12 20:10
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	16	$303	411	411	+0	Yes	+$46	09-10 07:25
will spider man brand new day beat avengers endgames opening weekend record 20260731162713556	9	$303	214	214	+0	Yes	+$1	08-02 00:42
Will "Widow's Bay" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys?	5	$290	300	300	+0	No	+$0	08-12 00:24
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the October Meeting?	4	$286	305	305	+0	Yes	+$13	09-11 14:54
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	2	$261	150	150	+0	No	+$0	08-17 00:33
Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 86m?	20	$228	410	410	+0	No	-$1	07-22 14:21
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	11	$225	221	221	+0	No	+$52	09-08 12:34
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$220	257	0	+257	Yes	+$37	07-19 21:47
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	3	$208	118	118	+0	open	—	07-21 13:54
Will China GDP growth in Q4 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%?	2	$196	202	202	+0	open	—	10-27 18:23
will mrbeast say karl during his next youtube video 20260702154826872	26	$194	1,328	1,228	+100	No	-$47	07-25 15:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-03 22:02:43	BNB Up or Down - November 3, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0xff4ade…
11-03 21:38:55	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x133ac0…
11-03 21:33:25	XRP Up or Down - November 3, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x793d64…
11-03 21:33:01	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x29286b…
11-03 21:28:54	Hyperliquid Up or Down - November 3, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x0e6602…
11-03 21:28:37	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0xe302d8…
11-03 21:08:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x9b7b34…
11-03 20:47:48	BNB Up or Down - November 3, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x42f83e…
11-03 20:47:15	BNB Up or Down - November 3, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0xdc14a9…
11-03 20:13:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0xd97ead…
11-03 20:12:40	Hyperliquid Up or Down - November 3, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x1d68e2…
11-03 19:56:27	Hyperliquid Up or Down - November 3, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x24697e…
11-03 19:33:21	XRP Up or Down - November 3, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0x320c28…
11-03 19:33:09	XRP Up or Down - November 3, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x7a01e0…
11-03 19:22:00	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0xcb2eb2…
11-03 19:21:43	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0xea1ca5…
11-03 19:21:24	BNB Up or Down - November 3, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x9da731…
11-03 19:17:42	Hyperliquid Up or Down - November 3, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0xa3fc24…
11-03 19:07:52	BNB Up or Down - November 3, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0xeacc59…
11-03 19:07:27	BNB Up or Down - November 3, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	21	98¢	$20	0x8b2e18…
11-03 18:58:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x5a4e95…
11-03 18:58:22	XRP Up or Down - November 3, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	0	98¢	$0	0x1da8bb…
11-03 18:57:51	XRP Up or Down - November 3, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	16	93¢	$15	0x701ad1…
11-03 18:43:40	BNB Up or Down - November 3, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x0e56e6…
11-03 18:43:33	BNB Up or Down - November 3, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x96dfed…
11-03 18:42:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0x20474d…
11-03 18:42:15	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x08ec73…
11-03 18:32:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x088061…
11-03 18:28:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x354877…
11-03 18:23:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xdc2d91…
11-03 18:23:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x2f6f6b…
11-03 18:23:12	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x4e57c7…
11-03 18:23:01	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x0d87cb…
11-03 18:21:46	BNB Up or Down - November 3, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xe8d579…
11-03 18:19:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	98¢	$5	0xda665c…
11-03 18:07:12	BNB Up or Down - November 3, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x1e4124…
11-03 18:02:49	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xccb9fd…
11-03 18:02:37	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x843221…
11-03 17:37:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0xfaef90…
11-03 17:32:49	BNB Up or Down - November 3, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0xaa31ec…
11-03 17:22:09	XRP Up or Down - November 3, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xef8246…
11-03 17:21:58	XRP Up or Down - November 3, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	11	96¢	$11	0x80265c…
11-03 17:18:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0xd55b8a…
11-03 17:17:58	Hyperliquid Up or Down - November 3, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0x9acc66…
11-03 17:16:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x251963…
11-03 17:08:33	Solana Up or Down - November 3, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xbd29ec…
11-03 16:58:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0xa5ea99…
11-03 16:52:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x30c237…
11-03 16:52:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x3a95cf…
11-03 16:52:13	XRP Up or Down - November 3, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x485624…
11-03 16:43:10	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x4dd60e…
11-03 16:43:03	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0xa39c97…
11-03 16:42:52	BNB Up or Down - November 3, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xcd900d…
11-03 16:37:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x275fbe…
11-03 16:28:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x33213a…
11-03 16:28:09	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xdfe837…
11-03 16:22:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x47c742…
11-03 16:22:33	BNB Up or Down - November 3, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xba3122…
11-03 16:22:30	XRP Up or Down - November 3, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xcc2b5f…
11-03 16:18:28	Hyperliquid Up or Down - November 3, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0x07494e…
11-03 16:17:40	BNB Up or Down - November 3, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xafa2f6…
11-03 16:17:16	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xa164cc…
11-03 16:02:54	XRP Up or Down - November 3, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xf2903e…
11-03 16:02:34	BNB Up or Down - November 3, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xfe5a07…
11-03 16:01:19	Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	146	68¢	$98	0xd5e270…
11-03 16:00:19	Will MrBeast's next video get less than 70 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	381	7¢	$26	0xf618a2…
11-03 15:52:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x57249b…
11-03 15:47:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xdcab21…
11-03 15:37:34	XRP Up or Down - November 3, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x104e33…
11-03 14:02:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xd4fac0…
11-03 14:02:28	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x36537e…
11-03 13:52:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0xc5ad6c…
11-03 13:52:52	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0xdb147d…
11-03 13:46:33	XRP Up or Down - November 3, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0xe6c147…
11-03 13:32:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xecc042…
11-03 13:31:39	XRP Up or Down - November 3, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x4bad7b…
11-03 13:27:10	XRP Up or Down - November 3, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	21	98¢	$20	0x185ffc…
11-03 13:27:07	BNB Up or Down - November 3, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x893dc3…
11-03 13:26:58	XRP Up or Down - November 3, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xec56a7…
11-03 13:22:37	BNB Up or Down - November 3, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0xe01951…
11-03 13:22:21	XRP Up or Down - November 3, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x06fd51…
11-03 13:18:03	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0xa12eb3…
11-03 13:17:24	XRP Up or Down - November 3, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x21c26d…
11-03 13:13:52	Hyperliquid Up or Down - November 3, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x62a504…
11-03 13:13:46	XRP Up or Down - November 3, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x715e2b…
11-03 13:07:58	BNB Up or Down - November 3, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x9fb60b…
11-03 12:58:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0x27120b…
11-03 12:57:42	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x8810a4…
11-03 12:52:43	BNB Up or Down - November 3, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x45851c…
11-03 12:52:39	XRP Up or Down - November 3, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xfad354…
11-03 12:42:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x7bc4c2…
11-03 12:42:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0xd95c1f…
11-03 12:02:03	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0xb387b4…
11-03 12:01:54	BNB Up or Down - November 3, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xd580fb…
11-03 12:01:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x1eaa36…
11-03 12:00:45	BNB Up or Down - November 3, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xac9569…
11-03 11:53:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xf7d577…
11-03 11:53:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xc190f9…
11-03 11:43:42	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x586782…
11-03 11:42:37	BNB Up or Down - November 3, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xf0d532…