Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.43K

Unrealized P&L

+$3

Hit rate

95.1%

Resolved

11,109

Trades

15,879

lifetime

Volume

$241.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

$86

4 positions

First seen

2026-06-30

last 11-01 23:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 88 days

Categories

Crypto

76% 96% +$749

Other

22% 93% +$492

Tech

1% 54% +$246

Politics

1% 36% -$71

Sports

0% 67% +$13

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

77 active days in 12wk • peak 1024 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (23) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027?	No	+60	$39	77¢	$46	+$7	09-14 15:07
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	+40	$31	88¢	$35	+$4	09-14 21:32
GTA 6 launch postponed again?	Yes	+110	$10	4¢	$4	-$5	07-15 09:55
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	+0	$3	2¢	$0	-$3	07-12 15:43

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	34	$1.3K	751	751	+0	Yes	+$8	08-13 18:28
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.40% before 2027?	1	$1.2K	1,284	0	+1,284	Yes	+$84	09-23 19:50
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 4.85% before 2027?	1	$1000	1,108	0	+1,108	Yes	+$108	09-16 19:53
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?	16	$872	1,130	1,130	+0	Yes	+$650	09-15 19:07
Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?	3	$790	445	445	+0	Yes	+$10	09-27 20:12
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?	7	$665	2,803	2,803	+0	open	—	07-28 00:40
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 360m and 370m?	12	$567	488	488	+0	Yes	+$18	08-03 17:13
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 350m and 360m?	7	$492	600	600	+0	No	+$0	08-01 22:46
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	13	$477	820	820	+0	Yes	+$83	08-27 08:06
Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?	12	$446	540	540	+0	Yes	+$0	08-08 17:00
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 12 and 14 million views on day 1?	4	$419	220	220	+0	Yes	+$4	08-16 14:48
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	3	$407	400	400	+0	Yes	+$195	08-19 13:32
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 4.80% before 2027?	1	$400	421	0	+421	Yes	+$21	09-14 19:51
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	2	$392	400	400	+0	open	—	10-28 13:02
Will iShowSpeed Win the 2026 Streamer of the Year Award?	8	$387	300	300	+0	open	—	10-02 07:25
Will Max Holloway fight Justin Gaethje next?	3	$378	629	629	+0	open	—	07-28 20:14
Titans vs. Giants	2	$338	200	200	+0	Giants	-$26	09-27 19:46
Will MrBeast's latest video get between 59 and 60 million views on day 3?	14	$336	227	227	+0	Yes	+$12	09-08 15:33
Will Euphoria be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year?	12	$314	600	600	+0	open	—	08-12 20:10
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	16	$303	411	411	+0	Yes	+$46	09-10 07:25
will spider man brand new day beat avengers endgames opening weekend record 20260731162713556	9	$303	214	214	+0	Yes	+$1	08-02 00:42
Will "Widow's Bay" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys?	5	$290	300	300	+0	No	+$0	08-12 00:24
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the October Meeting?	4	$286	305	305	+0	Yes	+$13	09-11 14:54
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	2	$261	150	150	+0	No	+$0	08-17 00:33
Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 86m?	20	$228	410	410	+0	No	-$1	07-22 14:21
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	11	$225	221	221	+0	No	+$52	09-08 12:34
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$220	257	0	+257	Yes	+$37	07-19 21:47
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	3	$208	118	118	+0	open	—	07-21 13:54
Will China GDP growth in Q4 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%?	2	$196	202	202	+0	open	—	10-27 18:23
will mrbeast say karl during his next youtube video 20260702154826872	26	$194	1,328	1,228	+100	No	-$47	07-25 15:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-02 00:17:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x2dc8a5…
11-02 00:17:34	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	9	94¢	$8	0x5fbaa9…
11-02 00:17:33	XRP Up or Down - November 1, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xcd6066…
11-02 00:17:31	XRP Up or Down - November 1, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x41f089…
11-02 00:17:25	BNB Up or Down - November 1, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x8ec4ac…
11-02 00:12:51	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x7c260b…
11-02 00:12:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	18	94¢	$17	0xeeeed9…
11-02 00:12:09	XRP Up or Down - November 1, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0xc59728…
11-02 00:11:58	XRP Up or Down - November 1, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x0b2ef0…
11-02 00:07:43	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xa66de2…
11-02 00:07:40	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x57090f…
11-02 00:03:06	Hyperliquid Up or Down - November 1, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x5ad8ed…
11-01 23:53:40	XRP Up or Down - November 1, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	17	94¢	$16	0x203b18…
11-01 23:52:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x6d6337…
11-01 23:52:07	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0xb3d578…
11-01 23:51:58	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0xd8e7de…
11-01 23:48:55	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x7b3dcd…
11-01 23:48:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0x4386ef…
11-01 23:37:57	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0xc6a915…
11-01 23:37:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x759b12…
11-01 23:32:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0xc5fde7…
11-01 23:27:33	BNB Up or Down - November 1, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0x88f116…
11-01 23:12:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x47ef12…
11-01 23:12:22	XRP Up or Down - November 1, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x5ff02f…
11-01 22:56:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0x188053…
11-01 22:56:39	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xd28e09…
11-01 22:56:19	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x4906e0…
11-01 22:52:40	BNB Up or Down - November 1, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	15	94¢	$14	0xf130b5…
11-01 22:52:21	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	15	97¢	$14	0x6eb26e…
11-01 22:52:10	XRP Up or Down - November 1, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xd5757a…
11-01 22:52:10	XRP Up or Down - November 1, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xb28ea2…
11-01 22:51:45	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0xa65392…
11-01 22:48:10	BNB Up or Down - November 1, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0xbd13a0…
11-01 22:48:04	BNB Up or Down - November 1, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0xe5e820…
11-01 22:43:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x595109…
11-01 22:33:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xb94f91…
11-01 22:32:58	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0xe48477…
11-01 22:32:27	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0x23779d…
11-01 22:32:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0x53c6ab…
11-01 22:16:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0x018f0f…
11-01 22:16:43	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0xe68c03…
11-01 22:16:30	BNB Up or Down - November 1, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x315f97…
11-01 22:13:49	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xd5ab44…
11-01 22:13:49	Hyperliquid Up or Down - November 1, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x60a0c5…
11-01 22:13:45	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xf36a10…
11-01 22:13:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x608193…
11-01 22:03:49	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x71f46d…
11-01 21:58:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x6aa31d…
11-01 21:58:21	BNB Up or Down - November 1, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	14	95¢	$13	0xb34ba2…
11-01 21:58:15	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0xb6e87c…
11-01 21:44:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0xabddd9…
11-01 21:43:25	XRP Up or Down - November 1, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x61f0c8…
11-01 21:43:13	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x3cc762…
11-01 21:38:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x72c1fc…
11-01 21:38:45	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xf06840…
11-01 21:38:16	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x885850…
11-01 21:33:46	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xb77d47…
11-01 21:29:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xc4d66d…
11-01 21:23:36	BNB Up or Down - November 1, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x367a1d…
11-01 21:18:45	XRP Up or Down - November 1, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	4	98¢	$3	0x9ff9c7…
11-01 21:12:43	BNB Up or Down - November 1, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x95c04d…
11-01 21:12:22	Hyperliquid Up or Down - November 1, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x4afaaa…
11-01 21:08:46	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x16127e…
11-01 21:08:07	BNB Up or Down - November 1, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xf66447…
11-01 21:08:07	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0x856f8a…
11-01 21:08:01	BNB Up or Down - November 1, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x506e85…
11-01 21:03:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x9f80f5…
11-01 21:02:46	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0xb5d5af…
11-01 20:58:46	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x3ebddf…
11-01 20:58:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x176d24…
11-01 20:58:24	BNB Up or Down - November 1, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x2a1b5d…
11-01 20:58:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x5f80b0…
11-01 20:53:54	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x78c14b…
11-01 20:53:52	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x68c5a3…
11-01 20:48:16	XRP Up or Down - November 1, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x599eef…
11-01 20:32:34	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x17766f…
11-01 20:28:16	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0x7db8c9…
11-01 20:28:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xc02ad1…
11-01 20:27:54	XRP Up or Down - November 1, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x04487e…
11-01 20:23:55	Hyperliquid Up or Down - November 1, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xce1419…
11-01 20:23:27	XRP Up or Down - November 1, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xcd4b25…
11-01 20:17:39	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0xc15a0c…
11-01 20:17:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x24fbd7…
11-01 20:12:13	XRP Up or Down - November 1, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xd9372b…
11-01 20:12:03	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x0db1af…
11-01 20:12:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0xef741e…
11-01 20:12:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x6f1e94…
11-01 20:11:52	Solana Up or Down - November 1, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xc236c4…
11-01 20:11:52	Hyperliquid Up or Down - November 1, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x192500…
11-01 20:11:43	Solana Up or Down - November 1, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0xa474a8…
11-01 20:11:42	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0xfd90b6…
11-01 20:11:40	BNB Up or Down - November 1, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x556bc2…
11-01 20:11:36	Hyperliquid Up or Down - November 1, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xc0643f…
11-01 20:11:33	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x4c8614…
11-01 20:08:39	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x5ed82a…
11-01 20:08:22	Hyperliquid Up or Down - November 1, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x49910e…
11-01 20:08:21	Hyperliquid Up or Down - November 1, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xb0b226…
11-01 20:07:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0xbd4f0c…
11-01 20:07:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0xb4b73d…
11-01 19:54:31	XRP Up or Down - November 1, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x130041…