Kindly-Geography — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.74K

Unrealized P&L

-$3

Hit rate

53.6%

Resolved

3,333

Trades

4,640

lifetime

Volume

$28.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$15

4 positions

First seen

2026-04-14

last 10-25 15:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 162 days

Categories

Crypto

54% 47% -$1,469

Other

39% 23% +$122

Politics

6% 31% -$307

Sports

1% 25% -$68

Tech

0% 0% -$20

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

60 active days in 12wk • peak 35 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	-14	-$9	84¢	$-12	-$3	04-29 12:09
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	+16	$2	10¢	$2	$0	09-13 06:16
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	No	+3	$1	30¢	$1	$0	09-13 09:38
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	+3	$1	26¢	$1	$0	09-13 09:41

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	7	$3.1K	10,885	10,161	+725	Yes	+$1,282	07-29 16:11
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	3	$778	1,433	600	+833	No	+$278	09-16 15:37
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	4	$474	35,952	27,381	+8,571	No	-$146	09-16 17:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 13:40 UTC	3	$294	2,658	208	+2,450	Up	+$94	07-10 13:43
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	26	$259	244	164	+80	No	+$54	04-21 19:46
us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	2	$245	2,518	0	+2,518	No	-$245	08-17 17:09
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	2	$237	12,449	12,449	+0	No	-$63	09-16 18:03
Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?	3	$222	1,278	1,278	+0	open	—	10-04 00:22
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	2	$200	22,222	0	+22,222	Yes	-$200	06-17 13:02
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	15	$172	118	118	+0	Yes	+$54	04-29 13:51
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 13:00 UTC	2	$161	115	115	+0	Down	+$61	06-16 13:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 12:55 UTC	2	$156	170	170	+0	Down	+$56	08-01 12:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	2	$153	167	167	+0	Up	+$133	05-28 14:13
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?	15	$140	146	74	+72	Yes	+$1	04-16 15:52
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 5?	2	$138	98	98	+0	Yes	+$58	05-05 15:06
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	2	$130	32,500	0	+32,500	No	-$130	07-29 15:52
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 14:20 UTC	2	$124	87	87	+0	Down	+$44	06-06 14:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	2	$120	81	81	+0	Down	+$40	05-29 14:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 13:30 UTC	3	$120	121	121	+0	Down	+$66	06-16 13:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 15:55 UTC	3	$111	267	236	+31	Up	+$47	06-07 15:57
highest temperature in seoul on april 17 2026 18corhigher	14	$103	100	60	+40	No	+$18	04-17 10:26
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 13:15 UTC	1	$100	400	0	+400	Up	-$100	07-14 13:16
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	1	$100	4,167	0	+4,167	Yes	-$100	07-29 16:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 13:20 UTC	1	$100	833	0	+833	Up	-$100	07-14 13:21
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 1?	4	$99	159	76	+83	Yes	+$29	10-01 15:49
highest temperature in nyc on april 17 2026 77forbelow	14	$94	94	52	+42	Yes	+$7	04-17 20:19
Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?	13	$82	95	43	+52	No	-$14	04-19 17:16
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 13:00 UTC	1	$80	400	0	+400	Down	-$80	07-14 13:01
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 15:30 UTC	2	$80	125	125	+0	Down	+$60	06-15 15:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 13:10 UTC	1	$70	219	0	+219	Up	-$70	07-14 13:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 15:24:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xf67d37…
10-25 14:17:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	SELL	33	93¢	$31	0x4071a5…
10-25 14:14:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x381064…
10-25 14:14:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xe07e1e…
10-25 13:59:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x3e0655…
10-25 13:35:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x30f71f…
10-22 10:54:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	250	4¢	$10	0x0adba7…
10-22 10:47:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x09c1ce…
10-19 16:05:09	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xde51d4…
10-19 16:03:56	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0x70f8c6…
10-19 16:02:44	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on October 20?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x51a132…
10-19 16:01:29	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 14°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	34	3¢	$1	0x6683d8…
10-19 15:50:39	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on October 20?	Yes	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0x59942c…
10-19 15:48:29	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on October 20?	Yes	BUY	36	3¢	$1	0x6c2556…
10-19 15:45:39	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on October 20?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x72cd66…
10-19 15:43:35	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 15°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xebe418…
10-19 15:41:03	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0x61c949…
10-19 15:39:12	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	142	1¢	$1	0x2deafc…
10-19 15:37:27	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on October 20?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x00403e…
10-19 15:36:09	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on October 20?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x974a4d…
10-19 15:34:24	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 80-81°F on October 20?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xe43b3c…
10-19 15:32:38	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xb754ba…
10-19 15:30:59	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on October 20?	Yes	BUY	43	2¢	$1	0xb825cc…
10-19 15:29:32	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on October 20?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x7e3e56…
10-19 15:28:05	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	29	3¢	$1	0xc1fe98…
10-19 15:26:11	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 68-69°F on October 20?	Yes	BUY	53	2¢	$1	0x67d6b8…
10-19 15:25:03	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x3a5f52…
10-16 07:31:57	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x87a70d…
10-14 15:48:07	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 19°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xaf0375…
10-14 15:17:16	Bank of England increases interest rates by 50+ bps after November 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,875	1¢	$20	0xe31e99…
10-14 15:05:52	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	6	11¢	$1	0x67a98b…
10-14 15:03:31	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0x53fccb…
10-14 15:03:24	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	6	11¢	$1	0x077122…
10-14 00:11:46	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0xf6c795…
10-13 14:11:50	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on October 14?	Yes	BUY	143	1¢	$1	0x2cd72d…
10-13 14:07:41	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on October 14?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xcee9dd…
10-13 14:04:13	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	89	1¢	$1	0x290594…
10-13 14:00:37	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on October 14?	Yes	BUY	81	1¢	$1	0x81081a…
10-13 13:57:28	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on October 14?	Yes	BUY	29	3¢	$1	0x9fa705…
10-13 13:53:50	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on October 14?	Yes	BUY	34	3¢	$1	0x6b373f…
10-13 13:50:52	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on October 14?	Yes	BUY	74	1¢	$1	0xdd258d…
10-13 13:47:49	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	49	2¢	$1	0xdb2e97…
10-13 13:44:55	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on October 14?	Yes	BUY	160	1¢	$1	0xe7ea1e…
10-13 13:41:47	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on October 14?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xca0c1e…
10-13 13:39:40	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on October 14?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x0e0493…
10-13 13:37:22	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	52	2¢	$1	0xbcc482…
10-13 13:35:10	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C or higher on October 14?	Yes	BUY	43	2¢	$1	0xa1ec33…
10-13 13:33:08	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x9a4d78…
10-13 13:31:34	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on October 14?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x572cef…
10-13 13:30:08	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 78-79°F on October 14?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x0998e8…
10-13 13:28:53	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0x4ea2eb…
10-13 13:27:46	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x6365b1…
10-13 13:26:38	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on October 14?	Yes	BUY	38	3¢	$1	0x867b3a…
10-13 12:18:37	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xd29c76…
10-13 08:05:52	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	6	12¢	$1	0xf8464c…
10-13 07:18:44	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x64ffee…
10-13 06:12:30	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	11	6¢	$1	0x542972…
10-12 14:24:47	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x7c3c93…
10-11 13:59:25	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0xc009c2…
10-11 10:20:36	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x9f2094…
10-11 10:20:14	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	8	7¢	$1	0xc5d968…
10-11 06:28:24	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0x1f8180…
10-11 06:28:17	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	6	8¢	$0	0x220174…
10-10 11:31:30	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	3	17¢	$1	0xa756a4…
10-10 08:56:57	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0xcf6f4d…
10-10 06:31:27	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x09e2b0…
10-10 06:15:22	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0x328e56…
10-10 06:14:36	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x2a34d2…
10-10 06:07:27	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	6	9¢	$1	0x29e6a2…
10-10 06:05:49	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x8b23a2…
10-09 08:15:34	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	9	6¢	$1	0x3bc5f8…
10-09 06:10:55	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x1e631c…
10-08 18:15:24	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on October 9?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x4f8caf…
10-08 15:44:38	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on October 9?	Yes	BUY	54	2¢	$1	0x285ca9…
10-08 15:37:14	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on October 9?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x1e21cb…
10-08 15:32:39	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on October 9?	Yes	BUY	22	5¢	$1	0xad0ee7…
10-07 15:03:31	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on October 7?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x6dd727…
10-07 14:02:50	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on October 9?	Yes	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0xa9c9cb…
10-07 13:56:07	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on October 9?	Yes	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0x68f816…
10-07 13:30:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x3c7ed8…
10-07 13:21:20	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 69°F or below on October 9?	Yes	BUY	24	2¢	$1	0x828524…
10-07 13:15:02	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on October 9?	Yes	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0x73a239…
10-07 12:52:34	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	161	1¢	$1	0xee9224…
10-07 12:32:28	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on October 8?	Yes	BUY	36	3¢	$1	0x2156fb…
10-07 12:29:16	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on October 8?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xef387c…
10-07 12:26:28	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 86-87°F on October 8?	Yes	BUY	69	1¢	$1	0x875306…
10-07 12:23:56	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on October 8?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xe5304d…
10-07 12:20:49	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on October 8?	Yes	BUY	37	3¢	$1	0xcf29d1…
10-07 12:17:50	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	53	2¢	$1	0x029a0e…
10-07 12:15:43	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x8ba331…
10-07 12:13:44	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x9e1ea5…
10-07 12:11:46	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xd30e03…
10-07 12:10:07	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 88-89°F on October 8?	Yes	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0xc0eb4b…
10-07 12:08:25	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x04062b…
10-07 12:06:47	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on October 8?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x65e127…
10-07 12:05:23	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 80-81°F on October 8?	Yes	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0x9fde49…
10-07 12:03:56	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on October 8?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x6b52b6…
10-07 12:02:38	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on October 8?	Yes	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0x965bf6…
10-07 12:01:17	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on October 8?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x7645e4…
10-07 12:00:14	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 86-87°F on October 8?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xba98c6…