Ordinary-Bird 0x52968f…cd6d7b
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Realized P&L
-$1
Unrealized P&L
+$7
Hit rate
62.6%
Resolved
3
Trades
583
lifetime
Volume
$1.16K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$60
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-02
last 07-01 16:55
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Other
35% 0% $-3
Politics
31% 50% +$2
Crypto
29% — —
Tech
5% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
55 active days in 12wk • peak 45 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Ledger IPO before 2027? Yes -31 $-8 14¢ $-4 +$4 06-28 02:50
Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes +80 $5 4¢ $4 $-2 06-19 01:33
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes -23 $-2 12¢ $-3 $-1 06-22 08:25
Freddie Mac IPO before 2027? Yes -29 $-3 10¢ $-3 $-0 06-05 20:47
Anduril Industries IPO before 2027? Yes +23 $2 12¢ $3 +$1 05-31 09:38
Glean IPO before 2027? Yes -21 $-2 14¢ $-3 $-1 05-30 09:07
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -18 $-3 14¢ $-2 +$0 06-03 08:52
Stripe IPO before 2027? Yes -37 $-3 6¢ $-2 +$1 06-15 06:10
Ramp IPO before 2027? Yes -23 $-2 11¢ $-2 $-0 06-01 17:47
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026? Yes +15 $2 15¢ $2 +$0 07-01 16:55
Canva IPO before 2027? Yes +24 $2 9¢ $2 +$0 06-04 08:10
Celonis IPO before 2027? Yes +20 $3 10¢ $2 $-1 06-11 00:52
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -19 $-2 11¢ $-2 +$0 06-03 14:37
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -23 $-2 8¢ $-2 +$0 06-08 05:52
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? Yes -29 $-3 6¢ $-2 +$1 06-05 02:37
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? No +8 $1 22¢ $2 +$1 06-23 17:18
Anduril IPO before 2027? Yes -17 $-2 11¢ $-2 +$0 06-03 08:17
Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -55 $-2 3¢ $-2 +$0 06-16 14:35
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes -24 $-2 7¢ $-2 +$1 06-05 19:37
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -66 $-2 2¢ $-2 +$0 06-17 06:20
Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -71 $-2 2¢ $-1 +$0 06-17 06:20
Will BP be acquired before 2027? Yes -12 $-2 12¢ $-1 +$0 06-06 09:57
ByteDance IPO before 2027? Yes +23 $2 6¢ $1 $-0 06-17 00:09
Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -83 $-2 2¢ $-1 +$0 06-17 06:15
Will Bitcoin dip to $10,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +39 $2 3¢ $1 $-0 06-13 08:32
Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +52 $2 3¢ $1 $-0 06-14 10:39
Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes -11 $-1 11¢ $-1 +$0 06-04 14:02
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? Yes -27 $-1 4¢ $-1 $-0 06-22 05:55
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes -28 $-2 4¢ $-1 +$0 06-10 03:52
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes -11 $-1 10¢ $-1 +$0 06-03 06:17