Ordinary-Bird 0x52968f…cd6d7b
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← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$1
Unrealized P&L
+$6
Hit rate
62.6%
Resolved
3
Trades
621
lifetime
Volume
$1.22K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$58
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-02
last 07-19 20:18
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Other
35% 0% $-3
Crypto
31% — —
Politics
30% 50% +$2
Tech
5% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
71 active days in 12wk • peak 45 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -18 $-3 29¢ $-5 $-2 06-03 08:52
Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes +80 $5 4¢ $4 $-2 06-19 01:33
Freddie Mac IPO before 2027? Yes -29 $-3 12¢ $-3 $-1 06-05 20:47
Ledger IPO before 2027? Yes -31 $-8 9¢ $-3 +$6 06-28 02:50
Celonis IPO before 2027? Yes +20 $3 12¢ $2 $-1 06-11 00:52
Trump out as President before 2027? Yes +31 $2 8¢ $2 $-0 07-14 12:05
Xi Jinping out before 2027? Yes +42 $2 5¢ $2 $-0 07-06 14:27
Ramp IPO before 2027? Yes -23 $-2 9¢ $-2 +$0 06-01 17:47
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes -23 $-2 8¢ $-2 $-0 06-22 08:25
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? Yes +44 $2 4¢ $2 $-0 07-19 19:20
Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -83 $-2 2¢ $-2 $-0 06-17 06:15
Anduril Industries IPO before 2027? Yes +23 $2 8¢ $2 $-0 05-31 09:38
Glean IPO before 2027? Yes -21 $-2 9¢ $-2 +$0 05-30 09:07
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? Yes +57 $1 3¢ $2 +$0 07-17 22:28
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes +31 $3 6¢ $2 $-1 07-15 22:06
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -19 $-2 8¢ $-2 +$0 07-14 07:33
ByteDance IPO before 2027? Yes +23 $2 7¢ $2 $-0 06-17 00:09
Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -71 $-2 2¢ $-2 +$0 06-17 06:20
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? Yes -29 $-3 6¢ $-2 +$1 06-05 02:37
Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -55 $-2 3¢ $-2 +$0 06-16 14:35
Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No +11 $2 14¢ $2 $-1 07-10 04:49
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +36 $1 4¢ $1 +$1 07-05 07:07
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes +3 $1 42¢ $1 +$0 07-08 19:37
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes -24 $-2 6¢ $-1 +$1 06-05 19:37
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -66 $-2 2¢ $-1 +$0 06-17 06:20
Anduril IPO before 2027? Yes -17 $-2 8¢ $-1 +$1 06-03 08:17
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -63 $-1 2¢ $-1 $-0 07-08 23:18
Will BP be acquired before 2027? Yes -12 $-2 11¢ $-1 +$0 06-06 09:57
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes -11 $-1 11¢ $-1 +$0 06-03 06:17
Stripe IPO before 2027? Yes -37 $-3 3¢ $-1 +$2 06-15 06:10