Ordinary-Bird 0x52968f…cd6d7b
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← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$1
Unrealized P&L
-$6
Hit rate
62.6%
Resolved
3
Trades
371
lifetime
Volume
$801
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$95
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-02
last 06-09 22:18
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Politics
38% 50% +$2
Crypto
30% — —
Other
27% 0% $-3
Tech
5% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
34 active days in 12wk • peak 45 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? No -24 $-6 32¢ $-8 $-2 05-30 12:27
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? No -10 $-5 62¢ $-6 $-2 06-01 07:55
Iran closes its airspace by June 30? Yes -6 $-2 100¢ $-6 $-4 05-27 22:45
Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes +61 $4 8¢ $5 +$1 06-05 07:41
Celonis IPO before 2027? Yes +37 $5 12¢ $4 $-1 06-07 23:34
Freddie Mac IPO before 2027? Yes -29 $-3 12¢ $-4 $-1 06-05 20:47
Glean IPO before 2027? Yes -21 $-2 16¢ $-3 $-1 05-30 09:07
Anysphere (Cursor) IPO before 2027? Yes +66 $3 5¢ $3 $-0 05-28 03:30
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? No +23 $2 14¢ $3 +$1 06-06 08:27
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -18 $-3 18¢ $-3 $-0 06-03 08:52
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? Yes -29 $-3 11¢ $-3 $-0 06-05 02:37
Ripple Labs IPO before 2027? Yes +22 $3 13¢ $3 +$0 05-31 11:50
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +47 $2 6¢ $3 +$1 06-04 10:28
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -19 $-2 15¢ $-3 $-0 06-03 14:37
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -23 $-2 12¢ $-3 $-0 06-08 05:52
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T? No +95 $2 3¢ $3 +$1 06-06 15:54
Will Pizza Hut be acquired before 2027? No +14 $4 18¢ $3 $-1 06-05 17:08
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? No +3 $1 76¢ $3 +$2 06-08 07:23
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T? No +27 $2 9¢ $3 +$1 06-08 16:15
Rippling IPO before 2027? Yes +18 $2 14¢ $2 +$0 06-03 17:00
Ramp IPO before 2027? Yes -23 $-2 11¢ $-2 $-0 06-01 17:47
Canva IPO before 2027? Yes +24 $2 10¢ $2 +$0 06-04 08:10
Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026? Yes +26 $2 9¢ $2 +$1 06-09 17:59
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? Yes +15 $2 15¢ $2 +$0 06-06 06:54
Anduril IPO before 2027? Yes -17 $-2 13¢ $-2 $-0 06-03 08:17
Will Ethereum reach $5,500 by December 31, 2026? Yes +37 $2 6¢ $2 +$0 06-06 06:41
Trump out as President before 2027? Yes +20 $2 11¢ $2 +$0 06-03 20:40
Ledger IPO before 2027? Yes -16 $-2 14¢ $-2 $-1 06-03 06:12
Anduril Industries IPO before 2027? Yes +23 $2 9¢ $2 +$0 05-31 09:38
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +31 $2 6¢ $2 +$0 06-04 09:06