Realized P&L
-$1.04K
Unrealized P&L
+$321
Hit rate
66.0%
Resolved
1,287
Trades
9,955
lifetime
Volume
$138.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$14
Open exposure
$6.43K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-29 11:52
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 143 days
Categories
Other
34% 67% -$49
Crypto
33% 63% -$219
Sports
19% 63% -$783
Tech
12% 72% +$2
Politics
3% 57% +$5
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
52 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? No +1,200 $1,106 94¢ $1.1K +$28 09-29 22:57
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026? No +1,000 $984 98¢ $983 -$1 10-23 21:29
Human moon landing in 2026? No +500 $486 99¢ $495 +$9 07-04 20:49
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? No +500 $482 98¢ $489 +$7 10-23 21:28
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +400 $351 98¢ $391 +$40 10-02 08:28
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +400 $371 96¢ $384 +$13 10-29 11:52
Anthropic IPO before 2027? Yes +305 $249 94¢ $286 +$37 10-27 11:57
Will Hillary Clinton be arrested before 2027? No — +235 $228 95¢ $224 -$4 09-30 03:58
EU dissolves before 2027? No +200 $194 98¢ $196 +$3 07-04 20:59
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? No +200 $194 97¢ $193 -$1 10-23 21:28
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +200 $144 80¢ $161 +$17 07-21 16:09
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +230 $77 62¢ $144 +$67 10-23 12:52
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +200 $130 68¢ $135 +$5 10-06 20:28
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027? Yes +200 $130 66¢ $133 +$3 10-25 07:57
Will Bitcoin reach $97,500 in October? No +100 $99 100¢ $100 +$1 10-23 21:34
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October? No +100 $86 99¢ $99 +$13 10-23 21:33
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026? No +100 $96 99¢ $99 +$3 07-03 05:59
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No +100 $93 97¢ $97 +$5 06-30 21:10
Will SpaceX have 200 or more launches in 2026? No +100 $97 97¢ $97 -$1 10-23 21:18
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +141 $93 68¢ $96 +$3 09-29 22:55
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? No +100 $91 96¢ $95 +$4 10-23 21:27
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? No +100 $68 81¢ $81 +$13 10-23 21:24
will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt5t by december 31 797 Yes +50 $38 96¢ $48 +$10 07-17 06:02
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +50 $46 92¢ $46 +$0 10-27 22:27
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No -41 -$38 99¢ $-40 -$2 10-02 13:54
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? No +42 $24 92¢ $39 +$15 07-26 08:40
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +200 $46 20¢ $39 -$7 07-26 04:44
Will STRC hit $100 by December 31? Yes +48 $4 80¢ $38 +$34 09-18 16:53
Will 5-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? No +50 $16 69¢ $35 +$19 09-27 17:42
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? No +60 $45 52¢ $31 -$14 07-30 19:37