Frigid-Stallion 0x896a38…3d7b9c
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Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
-$8
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
8,884
lifetime
Volume
$93.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$11
Open exposure
$4.54K
28 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-22 09:21
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Crypto
46% — —
Sports
26% — —
Other
21% — —
Tech
4% — —
Politics
3% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
55 active days in 12wk • peak 165 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +1,205 $1,133 96¢ $1.2K +$25 07-20 18:44
Human moon landing in 2026? No +500 $486 98¢ $488 +$2 07-04 20:49
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +450 $409 94¢ $425 +$16 07-16 19:59
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? No +300 $293 99¢ $296 +$3 07-04 00:01
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? No +275 $246 90¢ $249 +$3 07-19 08:46
Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027? No +250 $237 96¢ $240 +$3 07-18 04:49
EU dissolves before 2027? No +200 $194 98¢ $196 +$2 07-04 20:59
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? No +200 $190 97¢ $195 +$5 06-25 12:26
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +200 $180 92¢ $183 +$3 07-05 03:30
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +200 $144 72¢ $143 $-1 07-21 16:09
Anthropic IPO before 2027? Yes +209 $149 65¢ $136 $-13 07-03 22:52
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes +200 $152 66¢ $131 $-21 07-07 20:05
SHEIN IPO before 2027? Yes +113 $95 90¢ $101 +$7 07-21 10:24
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026? No +100 $96 98¢ $98 +$2 07-03 05:59
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No +100 $93 94¢ $94 +$2 06-30 21:10
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? No +100 $86 90¢ $90 +$4 07-02 06:08
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? No +100 $74 78¢ $78 +$3 07-13 23:04
Quantum breaks Bitcoin by December 31, 2027? No +73 $56 86¢ $63 +$6 07-19 22:45
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? No -50 $-48 89¢ $-44 +$4 06-22 12:28
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? Yes +40 $35 92¢ $37 +$2 07-18 02:40
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? No +47 $22 70¢ $33 +$11 07-18 17:59
Discord IPO before 2027? Yes +57 $31 34¢ $20 $-12 07-01 23:04
OpenAI IPO before 2027? Yes +66 $77 20¢ $13 $-65 07-09 01:29
Will Hillary Clinton be arrested before 2027? No +10 $9 97¢ $10 +$0 06-21 18:25
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? No +10 $9 88¢ $9 +$0 07-16 06:56
Quantum breaks Bitcoin by December 31, 2027? Yes -34 $-5 14¢ $-5 +$1 07-22 07:53
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? Yes +20 $2 3¢ $1 $-1 05-31 18:54
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes -10 $-0 4¢ $-0 +$0 06-23 17:51