Frigid-Stallion 0x896a38…3d7b9c
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Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
-$11
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
8,180
lifetime
Volume
$74.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$9
Open exposure
$2.52K
18 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-01 11:19
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Crypto
46% — —
Sports
32% — —
Other
15% — —
Tech
5% — —
Politics
3% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
49 active days in 12wk • peak 373 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +700 $652 96¢ $674 +$23 06-27 04:32
Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027? No +500 $476 95¢ $476 $-0 06-20 06:32
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes +500 $275 54¢ $268 $-8 07-01 15:39
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +250 $225 94¢ $234 +$9 06-28 08:47
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? No +200 $195 98¢ $196 +$2 07-01 11:19
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? No +200 $190 96¢ $192 +$2 06-25 12:26
OpenAI IPO before 2027? Yes +430 $165 26¢ $110 $-55 06-30 08:57
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No +100 $93 93¢ $93 $-0 06-30 21:10
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? No +100 $87 88¢ $88 +$2 06-02 07:17
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026? Yes -50 $-49 94¢ $-47 +$2 06-13 03:17
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? No -50 $-48 89¢ $-44 +$4 06-22 12:28
Quantum breaks Bitcoin by December 31, 2027? No +50 $38 86¢ $43 +$6 06-03 06:45
Discord IPO before 2027? Yes +50 $28 51¢ $26 $-2 07-01 10:32
Will Hillary Clinton be arrested before 2027? No +10 $9 96¢ $10 +$0 06-21 18:25
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? Yes +10 $9 90¢ $9 +$0 07-01 13:02
Anthropic IPO before 2027? Yes +9 $1 76¢ $7 +$6 06-29 16:04
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? Yes +20 $2 4¢ $1 $-1 05-31 18:54
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes -10 $-0 4¢ $-0 +$0 06-23 17:51