Substantial-Loading — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$140

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

7.6%

Resolved

Trades

1,566

lifetime

Volume

$10.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-11

last 06-12 09:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

73% 4% $-140

Tech

13% — —

Crypto

8% — —

Politics

6% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

19 active days in 12wk • peak 132 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
gpt 5pt6 released by june 15 2026 343	28	$231	426	379	+47	open	—	06-11 07:51
will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt1t by june 30	25	$149	178	223	-45	open	—	06-10 08:36
israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	19	$141	213	199	+15	open	—	06-03 22:14
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,300 by end of June?	17	$133	146	136	+10	open	—	06-06 15:08
israeli forces enter nabatieh by june 7	32	$128	408	169	+239	open	—	06-04 05:46
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	13	$115	189	189	+0	open	—	06-10 15:51
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	20	$115	227	256	-29	open	—	05-30 00:00
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	18	$109	171	171	+0	open	—	06-09 21:45
israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 30	11	$107	102	125	-23	open	—	06-03 22:58
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	11	$98	161	161	+0	open	—	06-11 01:48
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	10	$97	225	225	+0	open	—	06-11 07:51
Claude 4.8 released by May 31?	9	$96	561	98	+463	open	—	05-28 16:43
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,400 by end of June?	8	$94	152	234	-82	open	—	06-05 22:07
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 80% by June 30?	2	$94	180	180	+0	open	—	05-18 09:53
will xauusd dip to 4200 in june 2026	17	$90	977	77	+900	open	—	06-10 00:44
will openais valuation hit high 875b by june 30	9	$89	107	107	+0	open	—	06-04 08:11
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June?	13	$88	101	65	+36	open	—	06-10 01:10
Will BULK launch a token by December 31, 2026?	11	$87	122	122	+0	open	—	06-11 06:29
will xauusd reach 4800 in june 2026	8	$81	88	88	+0	open	—	06-04 00:28
will ukraine re enter kamianske by june 30	25	$80	128	128	+0	open	—	06-06 19:25
Will Pizza Hut be acquired before 2027?	10	$78	109	109	+0	open	—	06-08 04:33
UK Cabinet Minister resigns by May 31, 2026?	13	$76	125	70	+55	open	—	05-14 12:00
will wti crude oil wti hit low 85 in june 342	15	$75	152	152	+0	open	—	06-11 07:51
Will City Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026?	10	$74	69	69	+0	open	—	06-11 07:51
Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?	8	$74	92	92	+0	open	—	05-29 20:11
Will Drake feature Sexyy Red on ICEMAN?	5	$69	85	85	+0	open	—	05-12 21:48
Israeli parliament dissolved by May 31?	11	$68	295	115	+180	open	—	05-17 15:40
Wes Streeting out as UK Health Secretary by May 15??	4	$68	82	72	+10	open	—	05-14 11:55
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $85 by end of June?	8	$68	50	83	-33	open	—	06-11 19:29
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?	9	$67	82	82	+0	open	—	06-10 20:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-12 09:20:07	will decibel launch a token by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	186	0¢	$0	0x346bd1…
06-12 09:20:06	Will o1 launch a token by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	54	0¢	$0	0x025ace…
06-12 09:20:04	will arcium launch a token by september 30 2027	No	SELL	83	0¢	$0	0x82ba0a…
06-12 09:20:03	Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $10B in 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	9¢	$1	0x3f66fd…
06-12 09:20:01	will papertrade launch a token by june 30 2027	No	SELL	72	1¢	$1	0xba2cae…
06-12 09:20:00	Will Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	18	5¢	$1	0xc68d8f…
06-12 09:19:58	Theo FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	6	50¢	$3	0x8d77a1…
06-12 09:19:58	Will STRC market cap hit $16B by June 30?	Yes	SELL	180	0¢	$1	0x4199b0…
06-12 09:19:57	Over 12 coins launched in 2026 end the year in the top 100?	No	SELL	5	11¢	$1	0x1171b9…
06-12 09:19:55	Another S&P 500 Company buys Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	21¢	$4	0xcce8c1…
06-12 09:19:55	will papertrade launch a token by september 30 2027	No	SELL	150	0¢	$0	0xb2b67e…
06-12 09:19:54	will arcium launch a token by june 30 2026	No	SELL	24	18¢	$4	0xedf6a0…
06-12 09:19:52	Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $7B in 2026?	Yes	SELL	17	20¢	$3	0xc82b02…
06-12 09:19:52	Will Variational launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	23	8¢	$2	0x11266e…
06-12 09:19:51	Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $8B in 2026?	Yes	SELL	24	15¢	$4	0x98e974…
06-12 09:19:49	Will OpenAI GPT score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?	Yes	SELL	43	11¢	$5	0x5f1149…
06-12 09:19:48	Will El Salvador hold $1b+ of BTC by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	33	14¢	$5	0xde1f15…
06-12 09:19:46	Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $6B in 2026?	Yes	SELL	17	33¢	$6	0x48570c…
06-12 09:19:45	Reya FDV above $70M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	13	52¢	$7	0x2b30ec…
06-12 09:19:43	fda approves ionis olezarsen 06 30 2026	No	SELL	64	8¢	$5	0xcac76d…
06-12 09:19:42	Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?	Yes	SELL	30	20¢	$6	0xa6f874…
06-12 09:19:40	Will Theo launch a token by December 31 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	40¢	$7	0xaec9a6…
06-12 09:19:37	Dreamcash FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	SELL	31	26¢	$8	0x181177…
06-12 09:12:25	Will El Salvador hold $1b+ of BTC by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	21¢	$1	0x453585…
06-12 09:04:45	will papertrade launch a token by june 30 2027	No	SELL	10	3¢	$0	0x9a9fb2…
06-12 08:05:18	Israel military action on Damascus by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	73	4¢	$3	0x7a9722…
06-12 07:25:45	will ukraine re enter obratne or temyrivka by december 31	Yes	SELL	31	29¢	$9	0xaa6b09…
06-12 06:25:46	will canvas valuation hit low 37pt5b by june 30	Yes	SELL	33	1¢	$0	0x350d43…
06-12 03:38:49	will arcium launch a token by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	22¢	$0	0x87247a…
06-12 00:30:34	will decibel launch a token by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x668726…
06-12 00:30:33	will decibel launch a token by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x47024e…
06-12 00:30:33	will decibel launch a token by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x1f8368…
06-12 00:30:31	will decibel launch a token by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x5a3fc4…
06-12 00:30:30	will decibel launch a token by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x6028df…
06-11 23:23:04	Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?	Yes	SELL	32	30¢	$10	0xb19ac7…
06-11 22:15:45	Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?	Yes	SELL	10	30¢	$3	0x5ad1a6…
06-11 20:45:30	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?	No	SELL	16	68¢	$11	0xfe731f…
06-11 19:29:27	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $85 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	7	3¢	$0	0x4aff7e…
06-11 18:07:24	will the united kingdom send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	33	6¢	$2	0xdad159…
06-11 17:31:45	will cap launch a token by june 30 2026	No	SELL	17	24¢	$4	0xe80b74…
06-11 16:43:49	abbas araghchi out as minister of foreign affairs of iran by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	82	5¢	$4	0x3e9cfb…
06-11 16:43:48	Megaquake by June 30?	Yes	SELL	70	6¢	$4	0x929a01…
06-11 16:43:48	will canvas valuation hit low 37pt5b by june 30	Yes	SELL	97	1¢	$1	0x453a2a…
06-11 15:31:12	israeli forces enter tyre by june 7	Yes	SELL	112	7¢	$8	0xd3d83c…
06-11 15:01:49	la mayoral election spencer pratt receives overunder 25 20260607185950806	Under	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0xa6e29d…
06-11 14:15:19	Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470?	Yes	SELL	11	36¢	$4	0xc66785…
06-11 12:50:31	Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470?	Yes	SELL	2	36¢	$1	0xe05920…
06-11 12:12:15	la mayoral election spencer pratt receives overunder 25 20260607185950806	Under	SELL	23	2¢	$0	0x910911…
06-11 12:04:25	will jp morgan jpm q2 investment banking fees be above 2pt85b	No	SELL	24	18¢	$4	0x1dd854…
06-11 09:46:12	Israel military action on Damascus by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	27	4¢	$1	0x6c6129…
06-11 09:44:01	OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	24	33¢	$8	0xb50a50…
06-11 09:44:01	will the united states send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	31	16¢	$5	0xa9f838…
06-11 09:44:01	Tuyo FDV above $20M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	39	34¢	$13	0x6b5cdb…
06-11 09:44:01	hyperbeat fdv above 25m one day after launch	Yes	SELL	9	30¢	$3	0x08428d…
06-11 09:44:00	will the next google gemini pro model be released by june 19 2026 20260601225410819	Yes	SELL	14	22¢	$3	0x2f9517…
06-11 09:44:00	Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	36	32¢	$12	0x15ee9e…
06-11 09:09:36	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,700 (HIGH) in June?	Yes	SELL	79	11¢	$8	0x42b693…
06-11 08:57:25	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,700 (HIGH) in June?	Yes	SELL	15	11¢	$2	0xe573fd…
06-11 08:40:31	will next claude mythos debut on the text arena leaderboard at 1500	Yes	SELL	300	4¢	$12	0x73ee5d…
06-11 08:38:25	will cambria launch a token by june 30 2027	No	SELL	1	8¢	$0	0xc9f7eb…
06-11 08:36:22	will cambria launch a token by june 30 2027	No	SELL	29	8¢	$2	0xe8803d…
06-11 08:28:24	will anthropics valuation hit high 2pt5t by december 31 169	Yes	SELL	6	32¢	$2	0x074f0f…
06-11 07:59:12	Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027?	No	SELL	14	77¢	$11	0x672760…
06-11 07:51:48	will wti crude oil wti hit low 85 in june 342	No	SELL	33	24¢	$8	0xa7607b…
06-11 07:51:46	GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	15	48¢	$7	0xcbfbcf…
06-11 07:51:46	Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?	No	SELL	120	1¢	$1	0xbfc6b6…
06-11 07:51:46	will cambria launch a token by june 30 2027	No	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0x957b37…
06-11 07:51:46	zcashs orchard pool confirmed exploited 20260605210804589	Yes	SELL	65	12¢	$8	0x90589e…
06-11 07:51:46	will the next google gemini pro model be released by june 19 2026 20260601225410819	Yes	SELL	12	23¢	$3	0x6f116c…
06-11 07:51:46	will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt0t by june 30	Yes	SELL	27	16¢	$4	0x3e76da…
06-11 07:51:46	will city protocol launch a token by december 31 2026	No	SELL	22	54¢	$12	0x2bc53c…
06-11 07:51:46	hyperbeat fdv above 25m one day after launch	Yes	SELL	15	32¢	$5	0x1bbf03…
06-11 07:51:45	Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	34¢	$7	0xed9b95…
06-11 07:51:45	spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt6t	Yes	SELL	112	14¢	$16	0xe51e91…
06-11 07:51:45	gpt 5pt6 released by june 15 2026 343	Yes	SELL	56	12¢	$7	0xc0cd4a…
06-11 07:51:45	grok 4pt4 released by june 30	Yes	SELL	53	10¢	$5	0x8b81a4…
06-11 07:51:45	GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	100	10¢	$10	0x53fe88…
06-11 07:51:45	OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?	Yes	SELL	8	46¢	$4	0x285418…
06-11 07:51:43	Base FDV above $12B one day after launch?	No	SELL	13	76¢	$10	0x8d5675…
06-11 07:51:43	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,900 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	100	2¢	$2	0x0dd754…
06-11 07:34:27	will wti crude oil wti hit low 85 in june 342	No	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x22de9e…
06-11 07:25:42	will wti crude oil wti hit low 85 in june 342	No	BUY	6	27¢	$1	0xf7fa34…
06-11 07:25:42	will wti crude oil wti hit low 85 in june 342	No	BUY	8	27¢	$2	0xdc5774…
06-11 07:15:01	will next claude mythos debut on the text arena leaderboard at 1500	Yes	BUY	300	3¢	$9	0x142b3b…
06-11 07:05:13	GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	100	9¢	$9	0x86095f…
06-11 06:50:49	will next claude mythos debut on the text arena leaderboard at 1500	No	SELL	13	90¢	$12	0x998542…
06-11 06:50:24	will wti reach 95 in june 2026 from june 10	Yes	SELL	13	65¢	$8	0x3220b8…
06-11 06:47:24	will next claude mythos debut on the text arena leaderboard at 1500	No	BUY	13	67¢	$9	0x069a4e…
06-11 06:29:39	will bulk launch a token by december 31 2026	Yes	SELL	25	38¢	$10	0x74af40…
06-11 06:08:36	will wti reach 95 in june 2026 from june 10	Yes	BUY	13	71¢	$9	0xc0442b…
06-11 06:07:36	will cambria launch a token by june 30 2027	No	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0x75379f…
06-11 06:06:25	Will Theo launch a token by December 31 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	55¢	$9	0x892a25…
06-11 06:05:19	will jp morgan jpm q2 investment banking fees be above 2pt85b	No	BUY	24	37¢	$9	0x922af9…
06-11 05:52:18	will oro launch a token by december 31 2027	Yes	SELL	16	57¢	$9	0x51a6b2…
06-11 05:47:00	will bulk launch a token by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	25	36¢	$9	0xc1a1e3…
06-11 05:44:36	will oro launch a token by december 31 2027	Yes	BUY	16	58¢	$9	0xe5d823…
06-11 05:39:18	will cambria launch a token by september 30 2026	No	SELL	24	21¢	$5	0xf720f3…
06-11 05:38:46	will cambria launch a token by june 30 2026	No	SELL	12	56¢	$7	0x92c2b8…
06-11 05:33:37	will cambria launch a token by june 30 2026	No	BUY	12	72¢	$9	0x4fbf78…
06-11 05:31:28	will cambria launch a token by september 30 2026	No	BUY	24	37¢	$9	0xae01d6…