Substantial-Loading 0x6f8bab…5f56ed
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Realized P&L
-$140
Unrealized P&L
-$4
Hit rate
7.6%
Resolved
23
Trades
1,566
lifetime
Volume
$10.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$85
11 positions
First seen
2026-05-11
last 06-12 09:20
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Other
73% 4% $-140
Tech
13% — —
Crypto
8% — —
Politics
6% — —
Pop-Culture
1% — —
Sports
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
26 active days in 12wk • peak 132 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No -22 $-11 65¢ $-14 $-4 05-29 02:25
Tuyo FDV above $20M one day after launch? Yes -39 $-13 32¢ $-13 +$1 06-11 09:44
Will Fernando Haddad qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? No -11 $-10 98¢ $-11 $-1 06-05 22:54
Will El Salvador hold $1b+ of BTC by December 31, 2026? Yes -32 $-4 33¢ $-11 $-6 06-12 09:19
Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31? Yes -30 $-6 34¢ $-10 $-4 06-12 09:19
StandX FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes -15 $-9 61¢ $-9 +$0 06-10 05:17
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI? Yes -14 $-7 50¢ $-7 +$0 05-28 16:35
Anthropic IPO before 2027? No +10 $4 34¢ $3 $-1 06-01 19:05
Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch? No +4 $3 80¢ $3 +$0 05-29 03:44
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? No -39 $-10 6¢ $-2 +$8 05-29 13:37
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? OpenAI -13 $-4 15¢ $-2 +$2 06-01 18:30