Parallel-Transparency — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.92K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

97.2%

Resolved

Trades

3,127

lifetime

Volume

$815.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$261

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-20 15:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Other

36% 79% +$959

Sports

27% — —

Politics

26% 57% $-7

Crypto

10% — —

Pop-Culture

1% 100% +$964

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

80 active days in 12wk • peak 80 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	8	$44.1K	44,200	200	+44,000	open	—	06-03 14:38
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	8	$34.6K	34,800	100	+34,700	open	—	04-30 20:55
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	2	$32.5K	32,571	0	+32,571	open	—	06-17 14:59
2026 winter olympics winter olympics 2026 speed skating mens 1000m joep wennemars ned	14	$30.0K	15,882	14,296	+1,586	open	—	02-11 18:55
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	26	$29.5K	29,183	493	+28,690	open	—	03-04 16:25
will the 2026 bad bunny super bowl halftime show video get at least 150m views in its first 7 days	129	$26.4K	13,366	13,366	+0	open	—	02-14 23:13
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	2	$25.0K	25,000	0	+25,000	open	—	03-03 10:15
will mrbeast hit 470 million subscribers by march 31 822	3	$22.2K	11,117	11,117	+0	open	—	03-06 20:20
will bitcoin reach 125k in february 2026	2	$20.0K	10,000	10,000	+0	open	—	02-25 20:03
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	3	$20.0K	15,000	5,000	+10,000	open	—	04-08 09:33
will artemis ii launch by february 28	10	$15.9K	15,959	0	+15,959	open	—	02-25 09:15
us x iran meeting by february 6 2026	3	$14.5K	9,700	4,850	+4,850	open	—	02-09 16:30
will mrbeast hit 107pt5 billion views by march 31	4	$14.1K	11,592	2,523	+9,069	open	—	01-14 15:42
will artemis ii launch by february 7	19	$13.5K	13,489	0	+13,489	open	—	02-07 09:14
italy nordio reform referendum passes	4	$12.0K	7,041	5,000	+2,041	open	—	03-23 17:21
netanyahu out by march 31 854	9	$11.7K	5,907	5,907	+0	open	—	04-01 20:22
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	6	$10.5K	10,350	350	+10,000	open	—	02-03 13:47
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	4	$10.0K	5,060	5,060	+0	open	—	04-09 19:00
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	2	$10.0K	5,000	4,999	+1	open	—	04-30 12:58
will andr ventura win the 2026 portugal presidential election	11	$9.9K	4,990	5,038	-48	open	—	02-06 17:51
2026 winter olympics ski slopestyle mens birk ruud nor	9	$9.8K	9,836	0	+9,836	open	—	02-10 14:30
us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by january 31	11	$9.5K	4,798	4,798	+0	open	—	02-03 10:19
will mrbeast hit 474 million subscribers by march 31 977 964	40	$9.5K	15,166	7,326	+7,840	open	—	03-31 12:29
will mrbeasts next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1 974	14	$9.4K	6,031	4,810	+1,221	open	—	01-12 11:14
will mrbeast hit 500 million subscribers by january 31 433 563 486 639	9	$9.4K	9,427	0	+9,427	open	—	01-16 19:28
will norway win the most medals in the 2026 winter olympics	25	$9.2K	6,244	5,744	+500	open	—	02-16 02:50
2026 winter olympics winter olympics 2026 luge mens singles leon felderer ita	2	$5.8K	5,769	0	+5,769	open	—	02-08 18:16
2026 winter olympics snowboard halfpipe mens jake pates usa	2	$5.7K	5,715	0	+5,715	open	—	02-13 20:00
will mrbeasts next video get between 61 and 63 million views on day 4	13	$5.2K	5,063	287	+4,776	open	—	03-11 17:35
2026 winter olympics ski slopestyle womens mathilde gremaud sui	3	$5.0K	5,020	0	+5,020	open	—	02-09 13:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-20 15:09:07	will bernie say supreme court during minneapolis rally 20260719004357857	Yes	SELL	24	34¢	$8	0xde61ee…
07-20 15:08:52	will bernie say supreme court during minneapolis rally 20260719004357857	Yes	SELL	6	34¢	$2	0x9cdc0c…
07-20 15:08:49	will bernie say supreme court during minneapolis rally 20260719004357857	Yes	SELL	55	34¢	$19	0xce44a4…
07-20 14:21:48	will bernie say supreme court during minneapolis rally 20260719004357857	Yes	SELL	40	30¢	$12	0x170a37…
07-20 14:14:40	will bernie say supreme court during minneapolis rally 20260719004357857	Yes	BUY	99	34¢	$34	0x313984…
07-20 11:19:37	will bernie say greed or greedy during minneapolis rally 20260719004357851	No	BUY	110	9¢	$10	0x3a4831…
07-20 09:44:36	will mrbeast hit 135 billion views by july 31 20260623145506502	No	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x37bf97…
07-20 09:33:37	will bernie say supreme court during minneapolis rally 20260719004357857	Yes	BUY	30	48¢	$14	0x3f538d…
07-20 09:33:27	will bernie say supreme court during minneapolis rally 20260719004357857	Yes	BUY	81	36¢	$29	0xd5ec72…
07-20 09:24:43	will bernie say tariff during minneapolis rally 20260719004357852	No	BUY	173	60¢	$104	0xae03b3…
07-19 22:03:30	will the announcers say golden boot 5 times during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716154956888	No	BUY	40	96¢	$38	0x5fb163…
07-19 21:25:09	will the announcers say goal 75 times during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716154956884	No	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x81cb08…
07-19 21:17:58	will the announcers say goal 75 times during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716154956884	No	BUY	9	38¢	$3	0x4d4e2d…
07-19 21:13:54	will the announcers say foul 12 times during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716154956886	Yes	BUY	14	96¢	$13	0xfdfd67…
07-19 20:52:51	will the announcers say trump during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403317	No	SELL	22	80¢	$18	0x881f76…
07-19 20:12:19	will the announcers say captain during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403322	Yes	BUY	9	90¢	$8	0xd5aa5d…
07-19 19:35:19	will the announcers say gianni or infantino during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403311	No	SELL	2	52¢	$1	0xdbfd6b…
07-19 19:33:43	will the announcers say goal 75 times during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716154956884	No	BUY	19	50¢	$10	0x868ebf…
07-19 19:32:42	will the announcers say gianni or infantino during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403311	No	SELL	30	52¢	$16	0xad13c0…
07-19 19:29:37	will the announcers say hattrick or hat trick during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716154956902	Yes	SELL	5	43¢	$2	0xc72d87…
07-19 19:29:34	will the announcers say hattrick or hat trick during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716154956902	Yes	SELL	5	43¢	$2	0x7682af…
07-19 19:27:37	will the announcers say goal 75 times during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716154956884	No	BUY	31	49¢	$15	0x512f9d…
07-19 19:25:19	will the announcers say zlatan or ibrahimovic during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403314	No	SELL	30	1¢	$0	0x68f3fc…
07-19 19:22:57	will the announcers say goal 75 times during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716154956884	No	BUY	51	48¢	$24	0x399c41…
07-19 19:20:49	will the announcers say foul 12 times during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716154956886	Yes	SELL	74	71¢	$53	0xf353db…
07-19 19:17:01	will the announcers say gianni or infantino during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403311	No	SELL	4	55¢	$2	0xae6876…
07-19 19:16:57	will the announcers say gianni or infantino during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403311	No	SELL	28	55¢	$16	0x9b4020…
07-19 19:14:42	will the announcers say captain during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403322	Yes	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0xa34ade…
07-19 19:14:19	will the announcers say captain during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403322	Yes	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x06ba0d…
07-19 19:12:24	will the announcers say captain during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403322	Yes	BUY	767	99¢	$759	0x21d295…
07-19 19:10:51	will the announcers say own goal during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403326	Yes	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x1a21b5…
07-19 19:08:37	will the announcers say nutmeg during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716163949988	Yes	BUY	35	95¢	$33	0xcad430…
07-19 18:51:03	will mrbeast say hundred or thousand or million 10 times during his next gaming youtube video 20260713152723131	No	SELL	29	90¢	$26	0x239dbb…
07-19 18:50:49	will mrbeast say best during his next gaming youtube video 20260713152829407	No	SELL	10	92¢	$9	0x017fe8…
07-19 18:50:40	will mrbeast say win or winner during his next gaming youtube video 20260713152829405	No	SELL	30	92¢	$28	0xa5d4a7…
07-19 18:50:30	will mrbeast say build during his next gaming youtube video 20260713152829400	No	SELL	31	92¢	$29	0x5197ff…
07-19 18:50:10	will mrbeast say hundred or thousand or million 10 times during his next gaming youtube video 20260713152723131	No	SELL	31	90¢	$28	0x7837d8…
07-19 18:49:58	will mrbeast say chandler during his next gaming youtube video 20260713152829408	No	SELL	30	92¢	$28	0xfdab0f…
07-19 18:49:43	will mrbeast say lose or loser during his next gaming youtube video 20260713152829406	No	SELL	30	92¢	$28	0xcb4a40…
07-19 18:49:34	will mrbeast say best during his next gaming youtube video 20260713152829407	No	SELL	51	92¢	$47	0x5327ea…
07-19 18:49:13	will mrbeast say win or winner during his next gaming youtube video 20260713152829405	No	SELL	31	92¢	$29	0x6132e5…
07-19 18:48:49	will mrbeast say farm during his next gaming youtube video 20260713152829404	No	SELL	51	92¢	$47	0xf47744…
07-19 18:48:37	will mrbeast say sword during his next gaming youtube video 20260713152829402	No	SELL	51	92¢	$47	0x0ce98c…
07-19 18:48:30	will mrbeast say chocolate during his next gaming youtube video 20260713152829403	No	SELL	51	92¢	$47	0x4ddb61…
07-19 18:48:21	will mrbeast say fight during his next gaming youtube video 20260713152829399	No	SELL	51	92¢	$47	0x34cade…
07-19 18:48:01	will mrbeast say build during his next gaming youtube video 20260713152829400	No	SELL	31	92¢	$29	0x21a326…
07-19 16:30:46	will mrbeast say farm during his next gaming youtube video 20260713152829404	No	BUY	51	76¢	$39	0x1543e1…
07-19 16:30:40	will mrbeast say sword during his next gaming youtube video 20260713152829402	No	BUY	51	71¢	$36	0x25d0bb…
07-19 16:28:46	will mrbeast say chocolate during his next gaming youtube video 20260713152829403	No	BUY	51	66¢	$34	0x71469f…
07-19 16:28:27	will mrbeast say fight during his next gaming youtube video 20260713152829399	No	BUY	51	64¢	$33	0x663ea6…
07-19 16:27:42	will mrbeast say build during his next gaming youtube video 20260713152829400	No	BUY	31	46¢	$14	0xcf9391…
07-19 15:30:10	will the announcers say tom cruise during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403328	No	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x4ce388…
07-19 15:29:57	will the announcers say gianni or infantino during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403311	No	BUY	64	10¢	$6	0x01a2ba…
07-19 15:29:42	will the announcers say zlatan or ibrahimovic during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403314	No	BUY	30	32¢	$10	0x2ca237…
07-19 15:29:33	will the announcers say trump during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403317	No	BUY	30	30¢	$9	0xa054f7…
07-19 15:29:15	will the announcers say bieber during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403319	No	BUY	25	36¢	$9	0xbd90e9…
07-19 09:19:46	will the announcers say foul 12 times during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716154956886	Yes	BUY	80	74¢	$59	0xbc44f1…
07-19 09:17:24	will the announcers say hattrick or hat trick during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716154956902	Yes	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0x728249…
07-18 22:56:51	will the announcers say foul 12 times during the france vs england fifa world cup match 20260716154740620	No	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0x419204…
07-18 22:53:45	will the announcers say foul 12 times during the france vs england fifa world cup match 20260716154740620	No	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0x81c849…
07-18 22:52:01	will the announcers say foul 12 times during the france vs england fifa world cup match 20260716154740620	No	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0x415dac…
07-18 22:50:34	will the announcers say foul 12 times during the france vs england fifa world cup match 20260716154740620	No	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0x62377a…
07-18 22:50:10	will the announcers say foul 12 times during the france vs england fifa world cup match 20260716154740620	No	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0xfb9b33…
07-18 22:48:03	will the announcers say foul 12 times during the france vs england fifa world cup match 20260716154740620	No	BUY	50	64¢	$32	0x53027a…
07-18 22:20:06	will the announcers say bench or benches 7 times during the france vs england fifa world cup match 20260716154740621	Yes	BUY	202	96¢	$194	0x68adc8…
07-18 22:19:00	will the announcers say foul 12 times during the france vs england fifa world cup match 20260716154740620	No	BUY	21	69¢	$14	0x274fc8…
07-18 21:49:54	will the announcers say golden boot 3 times during the france vs england fifa world cup match 20260716154740622	Yes	SELL	105	56¢	$59	0x31d182…
07-18 21:41:16	will the announcers say nutmeg or nutmegs during the france vs england fifa world cup match 20260716161202167	No	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x297f7c…
07-18 21:40:52	will the announcers say goal 75 times during the france vs england fifa world cup match 20260716154740618	No	SELL	50	40¢	$20	0xc14f8f…
07-18 21:36:28	will the announcers say nutmeg or nutmegs during the france vs england fifa world cup match 20260716161202167	No	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x8ed9ec…
07-18 21:18:24	will the announcers say foul 12 times during the france vs england fifa world cup match 20260716154740620	No	BUY	92	58¢	$54	0x9e6190…
07-18 16:51:49	will the announcers say golden boot 3 times during the france vs england fifa world cup match 20260716154740622	Yes	BUY	0	53¢	$0	0xfa7080…
07-18 16:51:43	will the announcers say golden boot 3 times during the france vs england fifa world cup match 20260716154740622	Yes	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0xabdda8…
07-18 16:07:09	will mrbeast say build during his next gaming youtube video 20260713152829400	No	BUY	31	63¢	$20	0x7eb5d6…
07-18 16:03:25	will mrbeast say hundred or thousand or million 10 times during his next gaming youtube video 20260713152723131	No	BUY	60	44¢	$26	0x7d597e…
07-18 16:03:10	will mrbeast say lose or loser during his next gaming youtube video 20260713152829406	No	BUY	30	48¢	$14	0x8f0857…
07-18 16:02:58	will mrbeast say chandler during his next gaming youtube video 20260713152829408	No	BUY	30	45¢	$14	0x9876db…
07-18 16:02:40	will mrbeast say best during his next gaming youtube video 20260713152829407	No	BUY	61	32¢	$19	0x5f58b8…
07-18 16:01:40	will mrbeast say win or winner during his next gaming youtube video 20260713152829405	No	BUY	61	18¢	$11	0xcacb42…
07-18 13:54:34	will the announcers say goal 75 times during the france vs england fifa world cup match 20260716154740618	No	BUY	20	42¢	$9	0x34bcf6…
07-18 12:28:31	will the announcers say dolphins during the france vs england fifa world cup match 20260716160757330	No	BUY	78	54¢	$42	0xc0432e…
07-18 11:59:58	will the announcers say goal 75 times during the france vs england fifa world cup match 20260716154740618	No	BUY	50	41¢	$21	0x8a5542…
07-18 11:58:25	will the announcers say dolphins during the france vs england fifa world cup match 20260716160757330	No	BUY	110	54¢	$59	0x6c0945…
07-18 11:50:43	will the announcers say goal 75 times during the france vs england fifa world cup match 20260716154740618	No	BUY	2	39¢	$1	0x2e2491…
07-18 11:50:42	will the announcers say goal 75 times during the france vs england fifa world cup match 20260716154740618	No	BUY	4	39¢	$2	0x280cd1…
07-18 10:34:49	will the announcers say vertical or verticality during the france vs england fifa world cup match 20260716154740628	No	SELL	36	64¢	$23	0xe7011f…
07-18 10:33:15	will the announcers say golden boot 3 times during the france vs england fifa world cup match 20260716154740622	Yes	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x1c1907…
07-18 10:24:36	will the announcers say golden boot 3 times during the france vs england fifa world cup match 20260716154740622	Yes	BUY	21	53¢	$11	0x631ccf…
07-18 08:52:37	will the announcers say comeback or come back during the france vs england fifa world cup match 20260716160757325	Yes	SELL	40	57¢	$23	0x21f497…
07-18 08:47:54	will the announcers say golden boot 3 times during the france vs england fifa world cup match 20260716154740622	Yes	BUY	70	54¢	$38	0xf4f5fe…
07-18 08:17:43	will the announcers say golden boot 3 times during the france vs england fifa world cup match 20260716154740622	No	SELL	10	46¢	$4	0x7852a8…
07-18 07:28:39	will the announcers say soccer during the france vs england fifa world cup match 20260716160757336	Yes	SELL	104	10¢	$10	0x0b0ecd…
07-18 07:28:21	will the announcers say zlatan or ibrahimovic during the france vs england fifa world cup match 20260716160757327	Yes	SELL	88	65¢	$57	0xcafef2…
07-18 07:27:51	will the announcers say pressure 15 times during the france vs england fifa world cup match 20260716154740619	Yes	SELL	43	18¢	$8	0x32c84b…
07-18 07:27:06	will the announcers say goal 75 times during the france vs england fifa world cup match 20260716154740618	No	BUY	50	39¢	$20	0x2975f0…
07-18 07:26:00	will the announcers say foul 12 times during the france vs england fifa world cup match 20260716154740620	Yes	SELL	30	35¢	$10	0x5433f1…
07-18 07:25:28	will the announcers say foul 12 times during the france vs england fifa world cup match 20260716154740620	Yes	SELL	100	36¢	$36	0x44a7ac…
07-18 07:24:33	will the announcers say pressure 15 times during the france vs england fifa world cup match 20260716154740619	Yes	SELL	17	17¢	$3	0x49cb2a…
07-18 07:23:37	will the announcers say nutmeg or nutmegs during the france vs england fifa world cup match 20260716161202167	Yes	SELL	155	51¢	$79	0xf7dc59…
07-18 07:23:03	will the announcers say transition during the france vs england fifa world cup match 20260716154740626	Yes	SELL	91	42¢	$38	0x291562…