Realized P&L
+$1.96K
Unrealized P&L
+$46
Hit rate
62.4%
Resolved
5,831
Trades
24,315
lifetime
Volume
$94.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$1.34K
30 positions
First seen
2026-09-05
last 10-27 08:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 53 days
Categories
Other
54% 61% -$517
Crypto
35% 51% +$2,076
Politics
5% 62% +$114
Sports
4% 54% +$274
Tech
1% 54% +$7
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$3
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
53 active days in 12wk • peak 1226 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +600 $384 66¢ $399 +$15 10-25 18:00
Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes +211 $100 48¢ $100 +$1 10-23 19:18
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in October? No +98 $97 100¢ $98 +$0 10-21 13:20
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? No +100 $83 84¢ $84 +$2 10-25 02:20
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +84 $81 99¢ $82 +$1 10-25 02:15
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +104 $72 72¢ $75 +$3 10-26 21:57
Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Democrats win the Senate? Yes +83 $53 66¢ $55 +$2 10-17 06:40
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October? No +59 $51 86¢ $51 $0 10-27 01:58
US imports Russian diesel by November 30? Yes +49 $40 88¢ $43 +$3 10-23 21:12
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +43 $40 92¢ $39 -$1 10-22 16:11
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +42 $35 82¢ $34 -$1 10-04 14:03
Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Republicans win the Senate? Yes +83 $27 34¢ $28 +$1 10-17 06:35
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026? Yes +29 $22 90¢ $26 +$5 10-23 22:47
Next White House Press Secretary announced by October 31, 2026? No +23 $20 97¢ $22 +$2 10-22 20:05
will wti dip to 80 in october 2026 No +21 $17 99¢ $20 +$3 10-21 05:51
will wti reach 120 in october 2026 No +20 $19 98¢ $20 +$1 10-24 10:08
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in October? No +20 $17 94¢ $19 +$2 10-23 02:02
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +25 $16 66¢ $17 +$1 10-25 18:12
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? Yes +16 $13 90¢ $15 +$2 10-26 13:20
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026? No +42 $14 29¢ $12 -$2 10-24 14:13
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +12 $10 92¢ $11 +$1 10-25 06:16
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +38 $10 29¢ $11 +$1 09-19 11:40
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? Yes +13 $10 79¢ $11 +$0 10-19 19:25
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? Yes +11 $10 90¢ $10 $0 10-14 19:40
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No +11 $10 88¢ $9 $0 10-08 07:52
Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate? Yes +15 $9 64¢ $9 +$0 10-27 04:31
will wti dip to 85 in october 2026 No +9 $7 98¢ $9 +$2 10-22 05:09
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? Yes +21 $9 42¢ $9 +$0 10-01 17:54
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in October? No +9 $8 99¢ $9 +$1 10-13 12:24
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October? No +9 $8 97¢ $9 +$1 10-16 16:28