Realized P&L
+$1.83K
Unrealized P&L
+$30
Hit rate
62.7%
Resolved
6,556
Trades
26,556
lifetime
Volume
$114.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$1.90K
30 positions
First seen
2026-09-05
last 11-01 17:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 58 days
Categories
Other
55% 60% +$629
Crypto
32% 51% +$1,263
Sports
6% 53% -$241
Politics
6% 63% +$167
Tech
1% 49% +$7
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$4
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
58 active days in 12wk • peak 1226 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +600 $384 70¢ $423 +$39 10-25 18:00
Trump out as President before 2027? No +177 $171 97¢ $172 +$1 11-01 00:02
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026? No +176 $162 94¢ $164 +$2 10-30 19:52
Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes +211 $100 56¢ $118 +$19 10-23 19:18
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +106 $100 94¢ $101 +$1 10-30 10:43
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +105 $100 94¢ $99 -$1 11-01 15:36
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? No +100 $83 88¢ $88 +$6 10-25 02:20
Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026? No +90 $87 97¢ $88 +$0 10-30 11:57
Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026? No +81 $79 98¢ $80 +$1 10-30 10:43
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? Yes +128 $66 52¢ $67 +$1 11-01 10:04
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? No +150 $68 42¢ $64 -$4 10-30 17:35
Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Democrats win the Senate? Yes +83 $53 74¢ $61 +$9 10-17 06:40
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +49 $41 82¢ $41 -$1 10-29 22:20
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes +40 $39 100¢ $40 +$1 10-29 21:52
Will Genoa CFC win on 2026-11-01? No +269 $109 15¢ $39 -$70 11-01 17:12
Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate? Yes +51 $33 71¢ $36 +$4 10-29 04:03
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026? Yes +29 $22 88¢ $26 +$4 10-23 22:47
US imports Russian diesel by November 30? No +51 $8 45¢ $23 +$15 10-28 15:36
Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Republicans win the Senate? Yes +83 $27 26¢ $21 -$6 10-17 06:35
Will Anthropic IPO by November 20, 2026? Yes +34 $18 62¢ $21 +$3 10-31 01:30
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +30 $18 66¢ $20 +$1 10-27 20:12
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +25 $16 70¢ $18 +$2 10-25 18:12
Nara Smith confirmed pregnant in 2026? No +15 $13 91¢ $14 +$0 11-01 15:44
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026? No +38 $10 32¢ $12 +$2 10-30 05:29
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +12 $10 99¢ $12 +$2 10-25 06:16
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? Yes +15 $11 82¢ $12 +$1 10-27 14:01
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? Yes +13 $10 83¢ $11 +$1 10-19 19:25
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +38 $10 30¢ $11 +$1 09-19 11:40
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +23 $13 44¢ $10 -$3 10-28 00:19
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027? Yes +14 $10 66¢ $9 $0 10-20 21:26