Realized P&L (30d)
+$730
Unrealized P&L
+$148
Hit rate
61.5%
Resolved (30d)
4,143
Trades (30d)
18,558
25,868 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$85.9K
$105.8K lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$2.17K
30 positions
First seen
2026-09-05
last 10-30 22:43
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 56 days
Categories
Other
54% 61% -$152
Crypto
34% 51% +$1,301
Politics
6% 64% +$111
Sports
5% 52% +$49
Tech
1% 54% +$7
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$3
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
56 active days in 12wk • peak 1226 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +600 $384 72¢ $429 +$45 10-25 18:00
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +287 $284 100¢ $286 +$2 10-30 06:23
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026? No +176 $162 94¢ $164 +$2 10-30 19:52
Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes +211 $100 54¢ $114 +$14 10-23 19:18
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +106 $100 94¢ $99 -$1 10-30 10:43
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in October? No +98 $97 100¢ $98 +$0 10-21 13:20
Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026? No +90 $87 97¢ $87 +$0 10-30 11:57
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? No +100 $83 86¢ $86 +$4 10-25 02:20
Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026? No +81 $79 98¢ $80 +$1 10-30 10:43
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? No +150 $68 44¢ $67 -$1 10-30 17:35
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October? No +62 $61 100¢ $62 +$1 10-30 15:38
Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Democrats win the Senate? Yes +83 $53 71¢ $59 +$7 10-17 06:40
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in October? No +52 $52 100¢ $52 $0 10-29 09:03
will wti dip to 70 in october 2026 No +48 $48 100¢ $48 +$0 10-29 16:57
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in October? No +43 $39 100¢ $43 +$4 10-30 18:13
will wti reach 120 in october 2026 No +41 $40 100¢ $41 +$1 10-30 14:39
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +49 $41 82¢ $41 -$1 10-29 22:20
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes +40 $39 100¢ $40 +$1 10-29 21:52
Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate? Yes +51 $33 70¢ $36 +$3 10-29 04:03
Harvard vs. Dartmouth Dartmouth — +82 $17 44¢ $36 +$18 10-30 23:12
US imports Russian diesel by December 31? No +80 $7 38¢ $30 +$23 10-28 15:39
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026? Yes +29 $22 90¢ $26 +$4 10-23 22:47
US imports Russian diesel by November 30? No +51 $8 48¢ $25 +$17 10-28 15:36
Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Republicans win the Senate? Yes +83 $27 29¢ $24 -$3 10-17 06:35
Next White House Press Secretary announced by October 31, 2026? No +23 $20 100¢ $23 +$3 10-22 20:05
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +25 $16 72¢ $18 +$2 10-25 18:12
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +30 $18 58¢ $17 -$1 10-27 20:12
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? Yes +15 $11 82¢ $12 +$1 10-27 14:01
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +12 $10 96¢ $12 +$2 10-25 06:16
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in October? No +11 $10 100¢ $11 +$1 10-28 06:56