(anonymous) 0xea2444…f32cc8
bot 4L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$172
Unrealized P&L
+$32
Hit rate
16.4%
Resolved
140
Trades
2,068
lifetime
Volume
$23.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$11
Open exposure
$1.98K
30 positions
First seen
2026-09-26
last 10-27 19:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 22 days
Categories
Other
70% 15% -$100
Politics
15% 10% -$7
Tech
8% 0% -$8
Crypto
5% 50% -$57
Sports
1% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
32 active days in 12wk • peak 249 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026? Yes +258 $235 98¢ $253 +$18 10-19 12:11
Will Atlanta Dream win the 2026 WNBA Finals? No +250 $162 71¢ $178 +$16 10-18 11:59
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490? No +200 $152 75¢ $150 -$2 10-20 03:49
Will the Rhine River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026? No +150 $124 88¢ $131 +$7 10-13 09:47
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? No +150 $116 77¢ $115 -$1 10-22 08:58
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027? Yes +180 $118 64¢ $114 -$4 10-16 23:50
another fed rate hike in 2026 Yes +100 $79 77¢ $77 -$2 10-17 09:23
Will Atlanta Dream win the 2026 WNBA Finals? Yes +250 $92 29¢ $73 -$19 10-18 11:59
Will the Rhine River fail to return to normal levels before November 1, 2026? Yes +83 $68 88¢ $72 +$5 10-13 14:06
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting? No +100 $65 68¢ $68 +$4 10-17 04:10
Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat? Yes +100 $65 66¢ $66 +$1 10-22 10:02
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027? No +180 $63 36¢ $66 +$3 10-16 23:50
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? No +99 $64 62¢ $62 -$2 10-12 22:53
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? Yes +60 $56 96¢ $58 +$2 10-11 14:56
Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $15M? Yes +60 $56 90¢ $54 -$1 10-18 22:41
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490? Yes +200 $64 25¢ $50 -$14 10-20 03:49
Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by October 31, 2026? Yes +57 $10 82¢ $46 +$37 10-14 23:57
Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No +50 $37 80¢ $40 +$3 10-18 01:13
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? Yes +99 $37 38¢ $38 +$1 10-12 22:53
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? Yes +150 $36 23¢ $35 -$1 10-22 08:58
Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat? No +100 $36 34¢ $34 -$2 10-22 10:02
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting? Yes +100 $36 32¢ $32 -$4 10-17 04:10
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026? Yes +50 $25 57¢ $29 +$4 10-09 04:59
Will no next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs be appointed by February 28, 2027? No — +44 $29 54¢ $24 -$5 10-11 22:30
another fed rate hike in 2026 No +100 $22 23¢ $23 +$1 10-17 09:23
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026? No +51 $26 43¢ $22 -$4 10-09 04:59
Will no next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs be appointed by February 28, 2027? Yes — +44 $15 45¢ $20 +$5 10-11 22:30
Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of October 2026? Yes +20 $17 95¢ $19 +$2 10-16 05:02
Will the Rhine River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026? Yes +150 $28 12¢ $19 -$9 10-13 09:47
Will no next Israeli Minister of Justice be appointed by February 28, 2027? No +30 $20 55¢ $17 -$4 10-18 01:29