Hospitable-Orchid 0x2b0178…af9bd7
bot 3W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$59
Unrealized P&L
-$19
Hit rate
84.9%
Resolved
3,799
Trades
4,475
lifetime
Volume
$6.00K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$167
16 positions
First seen
2026-05-08
last 10-27 09:58
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 55 days
Categories
Crypto
69% 88% -$150
Politics
19% 68% +$218
Other
11% 74% -$9
Tech
1% 100% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
31 active days in 12wk • peak 48 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +60 $41 72¢ $43 +$2 10-26 21:57
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +62 $40 66¢ $41 +$1 10-25 18:12
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? Yes +67 $13 25¢ $17 +$4 10-25 23:23
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? No +19 $15 82¢ $16 +$1 10-15 21:16
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +32 $14 36¢ $11 -$2 10-26 14:02
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026? No +10 $9 97¢ $10 +$1 10-13 16:06
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026? No +10 $8 84¢ $8 +$1 10-26 18:02
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +60 $17 11¢ $6 -$10 10-19 15:49
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T? Yes +9 $3 30¢ $3 +$0 10-20 17:19
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? Yes +18 $3 14¢ $2 $0 10-26 23:42
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026? Yes +7 $3 34¢ $2 $0 10-26 20:06
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026? No +22 $5 10¢ $2 -$3 10-23 14:22
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026? No +7 $1 23¢ $2 +$1 10-13 19:54
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day? Yes +12 $1 12¢ $1 +$0 10-24 16:45
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day? Yes +40 $2 3¢ $1 $0 10-26 13:52
next fable model 5pt2 released by october 31 2026 Yes +0 $12 28¢ $0 -$12 10-23 13:28