Hospitable-Orchid 0x2b0178…af9bd7
bot 4W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (90d)
+$107
Unrealized P&L
-$27
Hit rate
80.4%
Resolved (90d)
224
Trades (90d)
391
4,530 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$2.21K
$6.27K lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$127
19 positions
First seen
2026-05-08
last 10-28 00:06
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 55 days
Categories
Crypto
68% 87% -$179
Politics
20% 68% +$218
Other
11% 75% -$6
Tech
1% 100% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
32 active days in 12wk • peak 62 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +62 $40 68¢ $42 +$2 10-25 18:12
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? Yes +67 $13 23¢ $16 +$3 10-25 23:23
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? No +19 $15 80¢ $15 +$0 10-15 21:16
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +32 $14 34¢ $11 -$2 10-26 14:02
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026? No +10 $9 98¢ $10 +$1 10-13 16:06
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026? No +10 $8 93¢ $9 +$1 10-26 18:02
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +6 $3 57¢ $4 +$0 10-27 20:12
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? Yes +18 $3 18¢ $3 +$1 10-26 23:42
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T? Yes +9 $3 34¢ $3 +$1 10-20 17:19
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +60 $17 4¢ $2 -$14 10-19 15:49
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes +3 $2 80¢ $2 +$0 10-27 12:19
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026? Yes +7 $3 30¢ $2 -$1 10-26 20:06
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026? No +22 $5 8¢ $2 -$3 10-23 14:22
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026? No +7 $1 20¢ $1 +$0 10-13 19:54
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day? Yes +12 $1 11¢ $1 $0 10-24 16:45
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day? Yes +40 $2 3¢ $1 -$1 10-26 13:52
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +1 $1 95¢ $1 +$0 10-28 00:06
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +11 $2 1¢ $0 -$2 10-27 20:17
next fable model 5pt2 released by october 31 2026 Yes +0 $12 14¢ $0 -$12 10-23 13:28