Hospitable-Orchid 0x2b0178…af9bd7
bot 3W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (7d)
-$77
Unrealized P&L
-$24
Hit rate
40.7%
Resolved (7d)
112
Trades (7d)
189
4,486 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$640
$6.17K lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$123
16 positions
First seen
2026-05-08
last 10-27 11:53
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 55 days
Categories
Crypto
69% 88% -$158
Politics
19% 68% +$218
Other
11% 74% -$9
Tech
1% 100% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
31 active days in 12wk • peak 48 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +62 $40 67¢ $42 +$1 10-25 18:12
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? No +19 $15 82¢ $16 +$1 10-15 21:16
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? Yes +67 $13 22¢ $15 +$2 10-25 23:23
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +32 $14 34¢ $11 -$3 10-26 14:02
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026? No +10 $9 98¢ $10 +$1 10-13 16:06
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026? No +10 $8 84¢ $8 +$1 10-26 18:02
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +60 $17 8¢ $5 -$12 10-19 15:49
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T? Yes +9 $3 30¢ $3 +$0 10-20 17:19
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026? Yes +7 $3 36¢ $2 $0 10-26 20:06
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? Yes +18 $3 14¢ $2 $0 10-26 23:42
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes +3 $2 78¢ $2 $0 10-27 12:19
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026? No +22 $5 8¢ $2 -$3 10-23 14:22
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day? Yes +40 $2 4¢ $2 $0 10-26 13:52
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026? No +7 $1 20¢ $1 +$0 10-13 19:54
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day? Yes +12 $1 12¢ $1 +$0 10-24 16:45
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026? Yes +0 $12 32¢ $0 -$12 10-23 13:28