Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET
Up won
Total volume
$39,271
Trades
3,619
Unique wallets
773
Liquidity
$0
Latest YES mid
82¢
Latest NO mid
18¢
End date
2026-10-26
First seen
2026-10-25
last 10-26 00:01
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+1.1¢
(top1%: 88% YES on $18.3K
vs crowd: 87% YES on $35.8K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 152 | $19.6K | $2.6K | +$17.0K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 198 | $7.7K | $606 | +$7.1K |
| 🐟 Fish | 216 | $3.0K | $814 | +$2.2K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 207 | $993 | $533 | +$461 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 144 | $16.2K | $2.1K | +$14.1K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 108 | $3.0K | $464 | +$2.6K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 55 | $1.1K | $85 | +$1.0K |
| Median | 59 | $334 | $115 | +$219 |
| Below median | 180 | $1.5K | $269 | +$1.3K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 73 | $1.7K | $235 | +$1.5K |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 103 | $2.3K | $359 | +$2.0K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 51 | $5.0K | $902 | +$4.1K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x18b8…c368 | Down | +5,138 | $400 | $400 | 5 | 10-25 23:58 |
| (anonymous) 0xde34…dc36 | Down | +2,000 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 10-25 23:59 |
| Vague-Hourglass 0x21f4…691d | Up | +1,559 | $1,353 | $1,353 | 47 | 10-25 23:58 |
| (anonymous) 0xbe53…1707 | Up | +1,500 | $1,484 | $1,484 | 1 | 10-25 23:59 |
| Haunting-Cheese 0xee65…cfc9 | Down | +1,285 | $51 | $51 | 39 | 10-25 23:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x19b3…0b9b | Down | +1,159 | $162 | $162 | 20 | 10-25 23:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x5594…b390 | Up | +1,000 | $990 | $990 | 1 | 10-25 23:59 |
| Moral-Roof 0x576b…0cab | Down | +949 | $160 | $160 | 25 | 10-25 23:58 |
| Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Down | +922 | $101 | $101 | 38 | 10-25 23:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x83d4…c5ff | Down | +896 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 10-25 23:56 |
| (anonymous) 0x5a06…ffa2 | Down | +672 | $109 | $109 | 46 | 10-25 23:58 |
| (anonymous) 0xcd4a…224e | Up | +644 | $587 | $587 | 22 | 10-25 23:59 |
| Moral-Roof 0x576b…0cab | Up | +637 | $495 | $495 | 7 | 10-25 23:58 |
| (anonymous) 0xc533…69a9 | Up | +594 | $448 | $448 | 31 | 10-25 23:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x73ad…ef22 | Up | +581 | $533 | $533 | 13 | 10-25 23:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x19b3…0b9b | Up | +578 | $507 | $507 | 14 | 10-25 23:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x5a06…ffa2 | Up | +569 | $503 | $503 | 31 | 10-25 23:59 |
| Vague-Hourglass 0x21f4…691d | Down | +555 | $119 | $119 | 20 | 10-25 23:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x6e59…bd9f | Down | +544 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 10-25 23:56 |
| (anonymous) 0xa5ca…7bd1 | Up | +517 | $439 | $439 | 3 | 10-25 23:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x0173…5632 | Up | +505 | $500 | $500 | 8 | 10-25 23:59 |
| Fitting-Entree 0x86b1…fc87 | Up | +503 | $471 | $471 | 7 | 10-25 23:58 |
| Flimsy-Workout 0xec69…cbe5 | Down | +500 | $258 | $258 | 1 | 10-25 23:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x720b…d2cd | Up | +500 | $495 | $495 | 9 | 10-25 23:59 |
| Fitting-Entree 0x86b1…fc87 | Down | +493 | $62 | $62 | 6 | 10-25 23:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x2dad…2efc | Up | +472 | $467 | $467 | 17 | 10-26 00:01 |
| (anonymous) 0xcd4a…224e | Down | +427 | $47 | $47 | 15 | 10-25 23:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x93b1…9623 | Up | +416 | $372 | $372 | 1 | 10-25 23:58 |
| Windy-Turban 0xe290…a33f | Up | +412 | $301 | $301 | 28 | 10-25 23:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x80ef…e019 | Up | +410 | $375 | $375 | 9 | 10-25 23:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x307f…4012 | Up | +404 | $400 | $400 | 1 | 10-25 23:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x6205…4c1e | Down | +401 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 10-25 23:59 |
| Windy-Turban 0xe290…a33f | Down | +398 | $123 | $123 | 39 | 10-25 23:57 |
| Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Up | +395 | $296 | $296 | 31 | 10-25 23:59 |
| (anonymous) 0xd8de…70f1 | Up | +387 | $368 | $368 | 1 | 10-25 23:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x119c…cd04 | Up | +381 | $305 | $305 | 2 | 10-25 23:56 |
| (anonymous) 0x79a5…38ce | Up | +380 | $352 | $352 | 8 | 10-25 23:59 |
| (anonymous) 0xc533…69a9 | Down | +372 | $111 | $111 | 25 | 10-25 23:58 |
| (anonymous) 0xd4fa…dcc8 | Down | +368 | $67 | $67 | 59 | 10-25 23:59 |
| (anonymous) 0xd4fa…dcc8 | Up | +367 | $306 | $306 | 53 | 10-25 23:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x73ad…ef22 | Down | +364 | $42 | $42 | 15 | 10-25 23:58 |
| (anonymous) 0xa31e…a51e | Up | +354 | $310 | $310 | 12 | 10-25 23:56 |
| (anonymous) 0x0567…5e16 | Up | +303 | $300 | $300 | 1 | 10-25 23:59 |
| Artistic-Design 0x55ae…f5df | Down | +300 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 10-25 23:59 |
| (anonymous) 0xcd30…2dd0 | Up | +300 | $266 | $266 | 9 | 10-25 23:58 |
| (anonymous) 0xb958…f513 | Up | +292 | $234 | $234 | 10 | 10-25 23:59 |
| Flashy-Prune 0xf542…26e8 | Down | +280 | $41 | $41 | 32 | 10-25 23:56 |
| (anonymous) 0x239e…1c10 | Up | +276 | $224 | $224 | 22 | 10-25 23:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x2e32…1b5d | Up | +274 | $256 | $256 | 21 | 10-25 23:58 |
| All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6 | Up | +273 | $258 | $258 | 2 | 10-25 23:59 |
| (anonymous) 0xb958…f513 | Down | +258 | $17 | $17 | 10 | 10-25 23:58 |
| Past-Misrepresentation 0xba17…92b4 | Down | +250 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 10-25 23:59 |
| Courteous-Scrip 0x090e…7566 | Down | +243 | $5 | $5 | 9 | 10-25 23:59 |
| (anonymous) 0xe327…f1a8 | Down | +227 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 10-25 23:58 |
| (anonymous) 0xcd30…2dd0 | Down | +215 | $25 | $25 | 13 | 10-25 23:58 |
| Ill-Informed-Full 0xbc58…5e72 | Down | +209 | $38 | $38 | 40 | 10-25 23:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x54b1…3e83 | Down | +205 | $27 | $27 | 50 | 10-25 23:58 |
| Lighthearted-Brood 0xcb7c…b03f | Down | +200 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 10-25 23:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x8d3d…db44 | Down | +200 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 10-25 23:59 |
| Best-Million 0x81c9…94cd | Down | +195 | $24 | $24 | 20 | 10-25 23:58 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-26 00:01:26 | (anonymous) 0xed13…8f3b | Up | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x8a10f9… |
| 10-26 00:01:26 | (anonymous) 0x2dad…2efc | Up | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x8a10f9… |
| 10-26 00:00:53 | (anonymous) 0x610f…3965 | Up | SELL | 24 | 99¢ | $24 | 0x9b1d81… |
| 10-26 00:00:53 | (anonymous) 0x2dad…2efc | Up | BUY | 24 | 99¢ | $24 | 0x9b1d81… |
| 10-26 00:00:29 | (anonymous) 0x2dad…2efc | Up | BUY | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0x6d76b6… |
| 10-26 00:00:29 | (anonymous) 0x26ca…843b | Up | SELL | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0x6d76b6… |
| 10-26 00:00:27 | (anonymous) 0xd502…7bfc | Up | SELL | 32 | 99¢ | $31 | 0xb34e55… |
| 10-26 00:00:27 | (anonymous) 0x2dad…2efc | Up | BUY | 32 | 99¢ | $31 | 0xb34e55… |
| 10-26 00:00:14 | (anonymous) 0x6e86…35fb | Up | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x642399… |
| 10-26 00:00:14 | (anonymous) 0x2dad…2efc | Up | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x642399… |
| 10-26 00:00:12 | (anonymous) 0x2dad…2efc | Up | BUY | 20 | 99¢ | $20 | 0x1a344e… |
| 10-26 00:00:12 | (anonymous) 0xc7dd…6ebe | Up | SELL | 20 | 99¢ | $20 | 0x1a344e… |
| 10-26 00:00:11 | (anonymous) 0x2dad…2efc | Up | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xbc9317… |
| 10-26 00:00:11 | (anonymous) 0xb690…bbc7 | Up | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xbc9317… |
| 10-26 00:00:09 | (anonymous) 0x4d53…f5c6 | Up | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x4265b1… |
| 10-26 00:00:09 | (anonymous) 0x2dad…2efc | Up | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x4265b1… |
| 10-25 23:59:47 | (anonymous) 0x2dad…2efc | Up | BUY | 100 | 99¢ | $99 | 0xec5047… |
| 10-25 23:59:47 | (anonymous) 0xf829…d50f | Down | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xec5047… |
| 10-25 23:59:29 | (anonymous) 0x2dad…2efc | Up | BUY | 7 | 99¢ | $7 | 0xd635a0… |
| 10-25 23:59:29 | (anonymous) 0x577b…0943 | Up | SELL | 7 | 99¢ | $7 | 0xd635a0… |
| 10-25 23:59:24 | (anonymous) 0xb7ed…982c | Down | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x0d1384… |
| 10-25 23:59:24 | Pristine-Smelting 0x04dd…d19b | Up | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x717c20… |
| 10-25 23:59:24 | (anonymous) 0x2dad…2efc | Up | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x717c20… |
| 10-25 23:59:24 | (anonymous) 0x2dad…2efc | Up | BUY | 100 | 99¢ | $99 | 0x0d1384… |
| 10-25 23:59:21 | (anonymous) 0x2dad…2efc | Up | BUY | 103 | 99¢ | $102 | 0xff33d7… |
| 10-25 23:59:21 | Neighboring-Wetbar 0x600f…0c61 | Up | SELL | 103 | 99¢ | $102 | 0xff33d7… |
| 10-25 23:59:20 | (anonymous) 0x2dad…2efc | Up | BUY | 11 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x2e5396… |
| 10-25 23:59:20 | (anonymous) 0xbc54…bd4c | Up | SELL | 11 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x2e5396… |
| 10-25 23:59:15 | (anonymous) 0x4b6b…0ef1 | Up | SELL | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0x7a7efd… |
| 10-25 23:59:15 | (anonymous) 0x2dad…2efc | Up | BUY | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0x7a7efd… |
| 10-25 23:59:12 | Nice-Nonbeliever 0x80d2…47df | Up | SELL | 23 | 99¢ | $23 | 0x3de7e4… |
| 10-25 23:59:12 | (anonymous) 0x2dad…2efc | Up | BUY | 23 | 99¢ | $23 | 0x3de7e4… |
| 10-25 23:59:08 | (anonymous) 0x2dad…2efc | Up | BUY | 39 | 99¢ | $39 | 0xa02e07… |
| 10-25 23:59:08 | (anonymous) 0xcd4a…224e | Up | BUY | 11 | 99¢ | $11 | 0x9375f6… |
| 10-25 23:59:08 | Lumpy-Community 0x6ba6…5530 | Up | BUY | 79 | 99¢ | $79 | 0xa02e07… |
| 10-25 23:59:08 | (anonymous) 0xf385…ffce | Up | SELL | 32 | 99¢ | $31 | 0x9375f6… |
| 10-25 23:59:08 | Lumpy-Community 0x6ba6…5530 | Up | BUY | 21 | 99¢ | $20 | 0x9375f6… |
| 10-25 23:59:08 | (anonymous) 0xb013…7ad4 | Up | SELL | 119 | 99¢ | $118 | 0xa02e07… |
| 10-25 23:59:06 | (anonymous) 0xcd4a…224e | Up | BUY | 21 | 99¢ | $20 | 0x787254… |
| 10-25 23:59:06 | (anonymous) 0xcd4a…224e | Up | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x1f4f1b… |
| 10-25 23:59:06 | (anonymous) 0xb7ed…982c | Up | SELL | 21 | 99¢ | $20 | 0x787254… |
| 10-25 23:59:06 | (anonymous) 0xc998…e194 | Up | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x1f4f1b… |
| 10-25 23:59:05 | (anonymous) 0xf7c3…7c44 | Up | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xca8960… |
| 10-25 23:59:05 | Buttery-Back 0x5b32…3ca5 | Up | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xca8960… |
| 10-25 23:59:05 | (anonymous) 0x2bd7…7d93 | Up | BUY | 42 | 99¢ | $42 | 0xca8960… |
| 10-25 23:59:05 | (anonymous) 0x532c…8b34 | Up | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x41dff7… |
| 10-25 23:59:05 | (anonymous) 0x29ef…1570 | Down | SELL | 54 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xb8b21f… |
| 10-25 23:59:05 | (anonymous) 0xcd4a…224e | Up | BUY | 15 | 99¢ | $15 | 0xca8960… |
| 10-25 23:59:05 | Demanding-Encirclement 0x4524…dc71 | Up | BUY | 200 | 99¢ | $198 | 0xca8960… |
| 10-25 23:59:05 | (anonymous) 0x5594…b390 | Up | BUY | 1,000 | 99¢ | $990 | 0xca8960… |
| 10-25 23:59:05 | (anonymous) 0xcd4a…224e | Up | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x9389b3… |
| 10-25 23:59:05 | (anonymous) 0x7886…0153 | Up | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xca8960… |
| 10-25 23:59:05 | (anonymous) 0x13e4…5ed2 | Down | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xaae02c… |
| 10-25 23:59:05 | Extra-Small-Implement 0xf27d…9a88 | Up | SELL | 120 | 99¢ | $119 | 0xb8b21f… |
| 10-25 23:59:05 | (anonymous) 0xd922…e626 | Up | BUY | 25 | 99¢ | $25 | 0xca8960… |
| 10-25 23:59:05 | (anonymous) 0xda43…61ee | Up | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xb8b21f… |
| 10-25 23:59:05 | (anonymous) 0x0173…5632 | Up | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x9ccd8d… |
| 10-25 23:59:05 | (anonymous) 0x9c16…ad20 | Up | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xca8960… |
| 10-25 23:59:05 | Kind-Newsletter 0xfc18…3c01 | Up | BUY | 27 | 99¢ | $27 | 0xb8b21f… |
| 10-25 23:59:05 | (anonymous) 0x73ad…ef22 | Up | BUY | 60 | 99¢ | $59 | 0xca8960… |
| 10-25 23:59:05 | Noisy-Junker 0x515c…3e91 | Up | BUY | 11 | 99¢ | $11 | 0xdbe3ae… |
| 10-25 23:59:05 | (anonymous) 0x79a5…38ce | Up | BUY | 60 | 99¢ | $59 | 0xca8960… |
| 10-25 23:59:05 | Awesome-Beak 0xaa13…bdf0 | Up | SELL | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x9389b3… |
| 10-25 23:59:05 | (anonymous) 0xdf52…2982 | Up | BUY | 30 | 99¢ | $30 | 0xca8960… |
| 10-25 23:59:05 | Extra-Small-Implement 0xf27d…9a88 | Up | SELL | 120 | 99¢ | $119 | 0xdbe3ae… |
| 10-25 23:59:05 | Extra-Small-Implement 0xf27d…9a88 | Up | SELL | 14 | 99¢ | $14 | 0x9ccd8d… |
| 10-25 23:59:05 | (anonymous) 0xcd4a…224e | Up | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x41dff7… |
| 10-25 23:59:05 | Noisy-Junker 0x515c…3e91 | Up | BUY | 19 | 99¢ | $19 | 0xb8b21f… |
| 10-25 23:59:05 | (anonymous) 0xaef6…134f | Up | BUY | 215 | 99¢ | $213 | 0xca8960… |
| 10-25 23:59:05 | (anonymous) 0xde34…dc36 | Down | BUY | 2,000 | 1¢ | $20 | 0xca8960… |
| 10-25 23:59:05 | (anonymous) 0xbfa0…cd6d | Down | SELL | 15 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xb8b21f… |
| 10-25 23:59:05 | Vibrant-Ladle 0x1529…c927 | Up | BUY | 50 | 99¢ | $50 | 0xca8960… |
| 10-25 23:59:05 | Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Up | BUY | 15 | 99¢ | $15 | 0xca8960… |
| 10-25 23:59:05 | (anonymous) 0x0912…8ae0 | Up | BUY | 43 | 99¢ | $43 | 0xca8960… |
| 10-25 23:59:05 | (anonymous) 0xcd4a…224e | Up | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xaae02c… |
| 10-25 23:59:05 | (anonymous) 0x5a06…ffa2 | Up | BUY | 12 | 99¢ | $12 | 0x9ccd8d… |
| 10-25 23:59:05 | Winding-Pipe 0x2ea7…1be7 | Up | BUY | 50 | 99¢ | $50 | 0xca8960… |
| 10-25 23:59:05 | (anonymous) 0x0173…5632 | Up | BUY | 30 | 99¢ | $30 | 0x76d254… |
| 10-25 23:59:05 | Extra-Small-Implement 0xf27d…9a88 | Up | SELL | 30 | 99¢ | $30 | 0x76d254… |
| 10-25 23:59:05 | Sociable-Physiology 0x452d…f886 | Up | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xca8960… |
| 10-25 23:59:05 | Standard-Takeout 0x783f…8f90 | Up | BUY | 125 | 99¢ | $124 | 0xca8960… |
| 10-25 23:59:05 | (anonymous) 0x720b…d2cd | Up | BUY | 109 | 99¢ | $108 | 0xdbe3ae… |
| 10-25 23:59:03 | (anonymous) 0xd651…8a19 | Up | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xabbda7… |
| 10-25 23:59:03 | (anonymous) 0xa3aa…e298 | Up | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0xc881a8… |
| 10-25 23:59:03 | (anonymous) 0x720b…d2cd | Up | BUY | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0x0b922a… |
| 10-25 23:59:03 | Extra-Small-Implement 0xf27d…9a88 | Up | SELL | 60 | 99¢ | $59 | 0xcc3155… |
| 10-25 23:59:03 | (anonymous) 0x29bf…6de4 | Down | BUY | 30 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xcfce11… |
| 10-25 23:59:03 | (anonymous) 0x307f…4012 | Up | BUY | 404 | 99¢ | $400 | 0x665ac4… |
| 10-25 23:59:03 | (anonymous) 0xddf1…5ccb | Down | BUY | 25 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x3ec41b… |
| 10-25 23:59:03 | (anonymous) 0x7743…fb42 | Down | BUY | 50 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x3ec41b… |
| 10-25 23:59:03 | Crazy-Reporter 0xab36…38da | Down | BUY | 75 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xcfce11… |
| 10-25 23:59:03 | Extra-Small-Implement 0xf27d…9a88 | Up | SELL | 89 | 99¢ | $88 | 0x5797b8… |
| 10-25 23:59:03 | Grateful-Dash 0x980c…6e0a | Up | SELL | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x88893b… |
| 10-25 23:59:03 | (anonymous) 0xb23a…755c | Down | BUY | 34 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x56151e… |
| 10-25 23:59:03 | All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6 | Up | BUY | 132 | 98¢ | $129 | 0xcfce11… |
| 10-25 23:59:03 | (anonymous) 0xd651…8a19 | Up | SELL | 169 | 99¢ | $167 | 0x65e18c… |
| 10-25 23:59:03 | (anonymous) 0x0972…0eff | Up | BUY | 90 | 99¢ | $89 | 0x7823ba… |
| 10-25 23:59:03 | (anonymous) 0x0173…5632 | Up | BUY | 60 | 99¢ | $59 | 0xcc3155… |
| 10-25 23:59:03 | (anonymous) 0x8441…bc73 | Down | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x665ac4… |
| 10-25 23:59:03 | (anonymous) 0x6287…ce4c | Down | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x665ac4… |