Interesting-Candidacy — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$121

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

49.7%

Resolved

2,207

Trades

2,421

lifetime

Volume

$2.92K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-27 07:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 225 days

Categories

Other

81% 46% -$97

Sports

17% 49% -$27

Politics

2% 52% +$5

Crypto

0% 100% +$1

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

52 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes		+23	$3	18¢	$4	+$1	09-09 16:51
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes		+20	$3	14¢	$3	$0	09-09 16:52

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$22	400	400	+0	No	+$2	06-25 05:16
will a minecraft movie be the top grossing movie of 2025	1	$20	0	20	-20	Yes	$0	01-02 21:54
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$18	67	67	+0	No	+$4	07-19 18:42
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$16	556	556	+0	No	-$4	06-28 18:55
Will England win on 2026-07-18?	2	$15	31	31	+0	Yes	+$13	07-18 22:43
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$14	51	46	+6	No	+$0	07-15 20:31
will his hers be the top global netflix show this week january 13 2026	2	$12	12	12	+0	Yes	+$8	01-12 00:23
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$12	455	455	+0	No	-$8	07-01 20:28
us x venezuela military engagement by december 31 391 819 722 945 174 285 817 971 353 859 836 598 255 382 192 983	1	$12	0	12	-12	No	$0	01-02 21:55
lol wlg hwl 2026 01 21	2	$11	20	20	+0	WLGaming Esports	+$3	01-21 16:47
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?	2	$11	13	13	+0	Yes	+$9	06-06 07:05
cs2 mouzn lk 2026 01 21	4	$10	20	20	+0	los kogutos	+$2	01-21 11:27
cs2 forzer msc 2026 01 21	13	$10	30	10	+20	FORZE Reload	-$3	01-21 17:21
cs2 fnc ice 2026 02 26	5	$10	11	6	+4	Inner Circle Esports	-$1	02-26 17:38
elon musk of tweets january 9 january 16 500 519	4	$9	75	70	+5	No	-$1	01-16 07:09
will anaconda make 70 million or more domestically by january 31	5	$9	64	23	+41	No	-$4	01-14 18:19
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$8	59	59	+0	No	-$2	07-06 17:13
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?	1	$8	0	25	-25	No	+$8	05-04 09:47
will coca cola run an ad during super bowl lx	2	$8	34	34	+0	No	+$6	02-08 21:28
elon musk of tweets january 6 january 13 580plus	2	$7	18	0	+18	No	-$7	01-13 07:06
north korea missile launch by january 31 413	2	$7	5	5	+0	Yes	+$3	01-03 23:34
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$7	176	176	+0	No	+$1	07-05 00:10
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$7	19	19	+0	Yes	+$1	07-11 23:06
will trump meet with emmanuel macron in january 2026	2	$7	5	5	+0	No	+$3	01-23 06:40
cs2 paina charra 2026 01 19	4	$7	10	10	+0	paiN Academy	+$2	01-19 22:08
will m3gan 2pt0 be the top us netflix movie this week february 3	2	$6	6	6	+0	No	+$4	02-02 22:17
fifwc cze rsa 2026 06 18 spread home 1pt5	2	$6	11	11	+0	South Africa	$0	06-18 17:35
will cryptocom run an ad during super bowl lx	2	$6	16	16	+0	No	+$4	02-09 01:40
atp tirante buse 2026 02 23	3	$6	4	4	+0	Tirante	+$2	02-24 23:28
wta gauff mertens 2026 02 18	5	$5	8	5	+2	Gauff	$0	02-18 17:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 07:09:23	AS Roma vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xe58ab9…
10-27 07:09:03	US Sassuolo Calcio vs. SS Lazio: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x2c85ce…
10-26 22:17:45	Will Lionel Messi finish 5th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x092301…
10-26 22:16:45	Will Rodri finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x8f371d…
10-26 21:18:36	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x073076…
10-26 18:26:21	Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x120787…
10-26 16:07:27	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0xd50f08…
10-26 00:24:54	Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0x67807c…
10-25 20:43:27	FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	3	55¢	$1	0x56c43d…
10-25 20:42:18	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$1	0x6e700d…
10-25 18:29:44	AZ vs. FC Twente: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xffdc38…
10-25 18:28:26	Udinese Calcio vs. AC Milan: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x2df064…
10-25 16:40:59	Olympique de Marseille vs. Le Havre AC: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x7f48d4…
10-25 16:39:54	SC Freiburg vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	3	51¢	$2	0x79f079…
10-25 13:48:20	Crystal Palace FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xae7fd8…
10-25 13:47:20	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x804cc3…
10-25 11:14:53	FC Internazionale Milano vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x150be0…
10-25 11:04:17	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-25?	No	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x913001…
10-25 11:01:27	Foster Moreau: Anytime Touchdown	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xf93275…
10-25 11:00:51	Brock Wright: Anytime Touchdown	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xa089c2…
10-25 11:00:06	Noah Gray: Anytime Touchdown	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xfeca76…
10-25 10:59:23	Colby Parkinson: Anytime Touchdown	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x5b8757…
10-25 10:48:47	George Kittle: Anytime Touchdown	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x125b4f…
10-24 19:21:59	Will FC Porto win on 2026-10-24?	No	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x3a166c…
10-24 19:21:14	Spread: SC Heerenveen (-1.5)	ADO Den Haag	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x6686ea…
10-24 19:13:39	Spread: SS Lazio (-1.5)	Parma Calcio 1913	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x1c1f86…
10-24 16:31:15	Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x216d23…
10-24 16:05:09	Spread: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund (-1.5)	Eintracht Frankfurt	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xee996a…
10-24 16:04:38	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x146dd2…
10-24 13:49:32	Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xfb3a93…
10-24 13:49:24	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-24?	No	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xe82a2b…
10-24 13:48:59	Will Como 1907 win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x8cb95f…
10-24 13:25:00	bun aug uni 2026 10 24 ags michael gregoritsch 90027160	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x667ca1…
10-24 13:24:21	bun mai wer 2026 10 24 ags phillip tietz 90111245	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xb7afb2…
10-24 11:01:47	Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xfaac95…
10-22 22:29:15	Hunter Henry: Receptions O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x787254…
10-21 13:33:32	Counter-Strike: PRIVATE vs fnatic (BO3) - 1win Private Club Playoffs	fnatic	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xc84947…
10-20 18:35:30	Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)	Paris Saint-Germain FC	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x767b7e…
10-19 17:46:53	Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-10-19?	No	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x41b8f1…
10-19 17:46:38	Trabzonspor vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x12ce6c…
10-18 19:05:33	Real Madrid CF vs. Sevilla FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xffc6a5…
10-16 06:07:09	Eintracht Frankfurt vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x76fb4a…
10-16 06:05:55	wta svitoli kartal 2026 10 16	Elina Svitolina	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xeb3112…
10-16 06:05:30	wta olmo masarov 2026 10 15	Ane Mintegi Del Olmo	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x9b4008…
10-15 19:08:19	Jaxon Smith-Njigba: Anytime Touchdown	Yes	BUY	3	47¢	$1	0x581416…
10-15 19:08:04	Jaxon Smith-Njigba: 2+ Touchdowns	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x433e33…
10-13 20:06:16	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-13?	No	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x6fb3b0…
10-13 20:05:55	Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-10-13?	No	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xc1edf6…
10-13 20:05:27	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-13?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x6591d1…
10-13 19:01:43	Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-10-13?	No	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x9928bf…
10-13 19:01:18	Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)	FC Bayern München	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x53cad5…
10-13 19:00:57	Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)	FC Barcelona	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x189865…
10-11 16:27:52	Eagles vs. Jaguars	Eagles	BUY	3	48¢	$1	0x7605f2…
10-09 20:55:28	Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)	FC Bayern München	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x24adca…
10-06 18:22:48	Croatia vs. Spain: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	4	42¢	$2	0x8048eb…
10-06 18:22:33	Spread: Spain (-2.5)	Spain	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xa5861f…
10-05 22:05:28	Bijan Robinson: 2+ Touchdowns	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x2e10e2…
10-03 05:31:03	Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	143	1¢	$1	0x81cad7…
10-03 05:30:47	Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0x7f4506…
09-28 22:10:15	nfl phi chi 2026 09 29 ryd jalen hurts 24pt5	Over	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xd138d4…
09-28 22:09:48	DeVonta Smith: Anytime Touchdown	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x487cb5…
09-28 22:09:20	DeVonta Smith: 2+ Touchdowns	Yes	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0xfdcd4d…
09-24 20:43:39	Bijan Robinson: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5	Over	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x8330a5…
09-21 22:13:22	Davante Adams: Anytime Touchdown	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x95c56b…
09-20 14:37:57	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-20?	No	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x2218bd…
09-19 07:37:54	VfB Stuttgart vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xc3b9f3…
09-19 07:36:55	Newcastle United FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x3488b0…
09-19 07:36:39	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-19?	Yes	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x337c3f…
09-19 07:36:22	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-09-19?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xf3bf06…
09-17 18:36:27	FC Viktoria Plzeň vs. RU Saint-Gilloise: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x917197…
09-17 18:35:10	Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x40dfb7…
09-17 18:34:13	Manchester City FC vs. Norwich City FC: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x140343…
09-16 22:05:40	Will Como win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?	Yes	BUY	27	11¢	$3	0x9ead78…
09-16 19:01:21	Raphinha: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	BUY	2	67¢	$2	0xd1ef16…
09-16 19:00:51	Spread: Olympiakós SFP (-1.5)	Olympiakós SFP	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x9d12ec…
09-16 18:59:48	Esteban Lepaul: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x61599b…
09-16 18:57:01	Will AC Milan win on 2026-09-16?	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xa6b9b1…
09-16 16:39:08	Ararat-Armenia FA vs. AC Sparta Praha: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x6f3fa2…
09-16 16:38:51	AS Omónoia Leukosías vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x60013b…
09-15 07:12:22	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xc5da86…
09-13 07:32:31	Levante UD vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x892010…
09-13 07:31:31	SV 07 Elversberg vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xd779ff…
09-13 07:30:57	Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-09-13?	No	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x07387f…
09-13 07:29:46	Manchester United FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x0d714d…
09-12 06:32:25	Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-09-12?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x5a7b00…
09-12 06:32:16	Will Paris FC win on 2026-09-12?	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x44889d…
09-12 06:31:22	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x84edbe…
09-12 06:31:01	FC Augsburg vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x97f4a2…
09-12 06:30:25	Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-09-12?	No	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x950c24…
09-12 06:29:57	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-09-12?	No	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x467234…
09-12 06:29:27	Liverpool FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0x3fdbf0…
09-10 23:02:55	Spread: Rams (-3.5)	Rams	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0x8510ae…
09-10 04:58:51	PSV vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xbef6b7…
09-10 04:58:03	Fenerbahçe SK vs. AS Roma: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x4b150b…
09-09 23:22:30	Patriots vs. Seahawks	Seahawks	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x34b812…
09-09 16:59:51	Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)	SSC Napoli	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xdd49dd…
09-09 16:53:42	Liverpool FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x6acd25…
09-09 16:53:25	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. ŠK Slovan Bratislava: O/U 5.5	Over	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x7f1386…
09-09 16:52:49	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-09?	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x0f5ad1…
09-09 16:52:13	Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0xaa1bd8…