(anonymous) 0xaa6e3b…67cdda
bot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$828
Unrealized P&L
+$401
Hit rate
37.0%
Resolved
1,256
Trades
3,038
lifetime
Volume
$52.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$17
Open exposure
$5.59K
30 positions
First seen
2026-08-27
last 10-27 20:21
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 49 days
Categories
Other
69% 41% -$754
Politics
21% 0% -$4
Sports
6% 45% -$85
Tech
3% 0% -$3
Pop-Culture
1% — —
Crypto
1% 100% +$18
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
62 active days in 12wk • peak 254 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026? Yes +400 $292 92¢ $366 +$74 10-11 22:40
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +404 $309 82¢ $333 +$24 10-18 07:25
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026? Yes +422 $245 78¢ $329 +$84 10-21 07:15
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? No +405 $316 80¢ $322 +$6 10-24 19:38
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October? No +306 $202 98¢ $300 +$98 10-13 16:07
Will Alabama Crimson Tide win the 2027 CFP National Championship? No +315 $285 95¢ $299 +$14 10-14 00:14
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? No +374 $295 78¢ $293 -$2 10-22 15:12
Will "Babydoll – Dominic Fike" be the #2 song for 2026? Yes +314 $241 86¢ $269 +$27 10-13 10:12
Will Saudi airspace be closed by December 31? No +306 $254 82¢ $249 -$5 10-21 19:29
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027? No +324 $256 76¢ $248 -$8 10-16 09:35
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026? No +311 $234 77¢ $239 +$5 10-22 20:14
Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026? Yes +255 $229 92¢ $233 +$4 10-26 20:50
Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad? No +209 $167 93¢ $194 +$27 10-24 00:52
US imports Russian diesel by November 30? Yes +211 $62 86¢ $182 +$120 10-19 06:37
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting? Yes +236 $158 64¢ $152 -$5 10-19 17:34
Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026? Yes +180 $160 84¢ $152 -$8 10-13 00:09
Will there be no Hormuz agreement? Yes +150 $125 94¢ $142 +$16 10-12 15:38
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +204 $120 66¢ $134 +$13 10-13 18:11
Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026? No +204 $141 56¢ $115 -$26 10-15 19:17
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31? No +145 $111 76¢ $110 -$1 10-14 02:14
Will Discord not IPO by December 31, 2027? Yes +200 $139 53¢ $106 -$33 10-12 12:47
US strike on Colombia by December 31? No +133 $104 80¢ $105 +$2 10-19 15:23
Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026? No +147 $62 66¢ $96 +$35 10-19 10:25
Will Discord not IPO by December 31, 2027? No +200 $83 47¢ $94 +$11 10-12 12:47
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? Yes +120 $83 78¢ $94 +$11 10-13 08:23
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026? No +422 $186 22¢ $93 -$93 10-21 07:15
Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026? Yes +204 $63 44¢ $89 +$25 10-15 19:17
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting? No +236 $89 36¢ $84 -$5 10-19 17:34
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? Yes +405 $93 20¢ $83 -$10 10-24 19:38
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? Yes +374 $81 22¢ $80 $0 10-22 15:12