(anonymous) 0x1698b1…334f46
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Realized P&L
-$11
Unrealized P&L
-$2
Hit rate
52.5%
Resolved
31
Trades
6,997
lifetime
Volume
$4.57K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$14
12 positions
First seen
2026-03-31
last 06-30 11:20
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 13 days
Categories
Politics
45% 57% +$4
Other
29% 50% $-10
Sports
17% 50% $-3
Crypto
9% 25% $-2
Tech
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
80 active days in 12wk • peak 577 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No -3 $-2 94¢ $-2 +$0 06-22 14:01
GTA 6 launch postponed again? Yes +21 $3 11¢ $2 $-1 06-22 16:52
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +3 $2 74¢ $2 $-0 06-16 15:10
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No -1 $-1 96¢ $-1 $-0 06-06 08:56
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +2 $1 70¢ $1 +$0 06-12 17:44
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? Yes +1 $1 100¢ $1 +$0 06-20 15:09
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +1 $1 93¢ $1 +$0 06-08 01:59
Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31? No +1 $1 89¢ $1 +$0 06-06 22:33
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +3 $1 30¢ $1 +$0 06-09 14:33
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026? Yes +1 $1 100¢ $1 +$0 06-30 11:20
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? No +2 $1 0¢ $0 $-1 06-19 23:51
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? Yes +1 $1 0¢ $0 $-1 06-07 19:16