Realized P&L
-$11
Unrealized P&L
-$1
Hit rate
52.5%
Resolved
31
Trades
6,465
lifetime
Volume
$4.37K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$12
10 positions
First seen
2026-03-31
last 06-11 06:12
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 13 days
Categories
Politics
44% 57% +$4
Other
29% 50% $-10
Sports
18% 50% $-3
Crypto
9% 25% $-2
Tech
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
69 active days in 12wk • peak 577 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +11 $5 46¢ $5 $-0 06-07 00:44
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No -1 $-1 93¢ $-1 $-0 06-06 08:56
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? Yes +12 $2 $1 $-1 06-09 17:31
Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31? No +1 $1 93¢ $1 +$0 06-06 22:33
GTA 6 launch postponed again? Yes +5 $1 20¢ $1 +$0 06-11 01:46
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +1 $1 91¢ $1 +$0 06-08 01:59
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +3 $1 26¢ $1 $-0 06-09 14:33
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +3 $0 16¢ $0 +$0 06-09 21:11
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No -0 $-0 94¢ $-0 $-0 06-04 07:14
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? Yes +1 $1 30¢ $0 $-1 06-07 19:16