Realized P&L
-$11
Unrealized P&L
-$3
Hit rate
52.5%
Resolved
31
Trades
7,372
lifetime
Volume
$4.86K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$26
16 positions
First seen
2026-03-31
last 07-12 12:38
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 13 days
Categories
Politics
43% 57% +$4
Other
31% 50% $-10
Sports
16% 50% $-3
Crypto
8% 25% $-2
Tech
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
68 active days in 12wk • peak 166 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027? No -7 $-6 82¢ $-6 $-0 07-12 12:38
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No -5 $-5 95¢ $-5 $-0 07-12 12:38
Christopher Luxon out by September 30? No -3 $-2 82¢ $-2 $-0 07-12 12:38
Christopher Luxon out by September 30? Yes -11 $-1 18¢ $-2 $-1 07-12 12:38
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI? Yes -3 $-2 50¢ $-2 $-0 07-12 12:38
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No -1 $-1 97¢ $-1 $-0 06-06 08:56
Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31? No -1 $-1 91¢ $-1 +$0 07-12 12:38
GTA 6 launch postponed again? No -1 $-1 91¢ $-1 $-0 07-12 12:38
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? Yes +1 $1 100¢ $1 +$0 06-20 15:09
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No -2 $-1 68¢ $-1 +$0 07-12 12:38
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes -7 $-1 14¢ $-1 +$0 07-01 22:52
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes -11 $-1 $-1 +$0 07-12 12:38
GTA 6 launch postponed again? Yes -6 $1 $-0 $-1 07-12 12:38
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? Yes -2 $-0 30¢ $-0 $-0 07-12 12:38
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? Yes -2 $-0 22¢ $-0 $-0 07-12 12:38
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? No +2 $1 $0 $-1 06-19 23:51