Realized P&L
-$2
Unrealized P&L
-$3
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved
2
Trades
193
lifetime
Volume
$715
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$17
10 positions
First seen
2026-02-08
last 07-08 19:39
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Other
67%
Politics
21% 0% $-1
Crypto
12% 0% $-1
Tech
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
34 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? Yes +31 $10 22¢ $7 $-3 06-22 11:54
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes -19 $-4 14¢ $-2 +$1 06-22 02:06
Spain snap election called in 2026? Yes +11 $5 20¢ $2 $-3 06-22 12:01
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes -38 $-5 $-2 +$3 06-08 08:18
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? Yes +15 $1 $1 $-0 06-03 05:05
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31? Yes +2 $1 36¢ $1 $-0 06-03 05:09
Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31? Yes +6 $1 $0 $-0 06-03 05:14
New pandemic in 2026? Yes -8 $-1 $-0 +$0 06-03 11:53
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? Yes +7 $1 $0 $-1 06-03 05:07
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? Yes -12 $-1 $-0 +$0 06-12 09:08