Realized P&L
-$2
Unrealized P&L
+$1
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved
2
Trades
181
lifetime
Volume
$689
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$8
8 positions
First seen
2026-02-08
last 06-11 09:45
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Other
67%
Politics
20% 0% $-1
Crypto
12% 0% $-1
Tech
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
50 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes -38 $-5 11¢ $-4 +$1 06-08 08:18
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31? Yes +2 $1 59¢ $1 $-0 06-03 05:09
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? Yes +7 $1 14¢ $1 $-0 06-03 05:07
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? Yes +15 $1 $1 $-0 06-03 05:05
New pandemic in 2026? Yes -8 $-1 10¢ $-1 +$0 06-03 11:53
Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31? Yes +6 $1 $0 $-1 06-03 05:14
Bill Clinton divorce by June 30? Yes -50 $-1 $-0 +$1 06-01 04:42
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? Yes -29 $-0 $-0 +$0 06-11 09:45