Realized P&L
+$538
Unrealized P&L
+$59
Hit rate
84.3%
Resolved
7,203
Trades
22,188
lifetime
Volume
$324.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$15
Open exposure
$735
18 positions
First seen
2026-01-09
last 08-11 13:34
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 191 days
Categories
Crypto
84% 87% -$1,103
Politics
13% 60% +$1,590
Other
3% 52% +$33
Sports
0% 59% +$20
Tech
0% 65% -$3
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
1 active day in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -708 -$625 82¢ $-577 +$48 07-09 02:47
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No -82 -$78 97¢ $-79 -$2 06-18 13:57
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026? No +25 $23 98¢ $25 +$1 06-15 16:17
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No -22 -$21 100¢ $-22 -$1 06-16 01:47
US strike on Colombia by December 31? No +10 $8 80¢ $8 +$0 06-16 17:04
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No -6 -$3 92¢ $-6 -$3 06-18 13:57
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +47 $6 12¢ $6 $0 07-05 13:09
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? Yes -146 -$16 3¢ $-5 +$11 06-16 01:47
Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31? No +2 $2 92¢ $2 +$0 06-06 22:33
US strike on Colombia by December 31? Yes +9 $2 20¢ $2 +$0 06-10 02:44
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +2 $2 74¢ $1 $0 06-16 13:11
GTA 6 launch postponed again? No +1 $1 94¢ $1 +$0 05-09 00:52
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? Yes -8 -$2 10¢ $-1 +$1 06-28 16:25
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +1 -$1 98¢ $1 +$2 05-20 11:53
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes +3 $1 11¢ $0 -$1 05-13 11:17
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? Yes +2 $0 6¢ $0 $0 07-06 21:49
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +0 -$2 18¢ $0 +$2 06-21 16:01
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes +0 $1 2¢ $0 -$1 06-16 01:47