Realized P&L
+$361
Unrealized P&L
+$16
Hit rate
89.6%
Resolved
33
Trades
12,388
lifetime
Volume
$198.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$16
Open exposure
$1.84K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-09
last 06-30 18:09
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 11 days
Categories
Crypto
77% 38% $-11
Politics
19% 79% +$371
Other
4% 40% $-22
Tech
0%
Sports
0% 100% +$23
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 491 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026? Yes +711 $706 100¢ $711 +$4 06-30 00:23
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -706 $-631 86¢ $-603 +$27 06-16 01:47
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No -97 $-92 94¢ $-92 +$0 06-18 13:57
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No -100 $-83 86¢ $-86 $-4 06-14 21:08
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +86 $60 99¢ $85 +$25 06-15 04:50
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No -73 $-72 100¢ $-73 $-1 06-13 20:18
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? No +41 $34 86¢ $35 +$1 06-30 20:51
Netanyahu out by June 30? No -33 $-33 100¢ $-33 $-0 06-18 13:57
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? Yes +21 $19 100¢ $21 +$2 06-20 15:09
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? Yes -146 $-16 11¢ $-15 +$1 06-16 01:47
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? No +16 $13 94¢ $15 +$2 06-30 16:33
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30? No -10 $-9 98¢ $-10 $-1 06-11 20:03
US strike on Colombia by December 31? No +10 $8 80¢ $8 +$0 06-16 17:04
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? No -7 $-7 100¢ $-7 +$0 06-18 13:57
Trump goes to space in 2026? No -7 $-7 98¢ $-7 $-0 06-18 13:57
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +43 $6 15¢ $6 +$0 06-21 16:01
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No -9 $-4 60¢ $-5 $-1 06-18 13:57
Will Venezuela become 51st state? No -5 $-5 96¢ $-5 +$0 06-18 13:57
Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31? No -5 $-5 96¢ $-5 $-0 06-18 13:57
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? Yes +73 $38 $4 $-34 06-30 16:52
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No -6 $-3 59¢ $-4 $-1 06-18 13:57
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026? No -3 $-3 95¢ $-3 $-0 06-15 16:17
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? Yes -8 $-2 26¢ $-2 $-0 06-28 16:25
US strike on Colombia by December 31? Yes +9 $2 20¢ $2 +$0 06-10 02:44
Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31? No +2 $2 90¢ $2 +$0 06-06 22:33
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +2 $2 74¢ $1 $-0 06-16 13:11
Will Donald Trump visit Turkey in 2026? Yes +1 $1 99¢ $1 +$1 06-19 08:10
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes -22 $-1 $-1 $-0 06-16 01:47
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes -55 $7 $-0 $-7 06-22 14:00
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30? Yes -12 $-1 $-0 +$1 06-16 01:47