Realized P&L
+$361
Unrealized P&L
+$114
Hit rate
89.6%
Resolved
33
Trades
18,876
lifetime
Volume
$282.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$15
Open exposure
$782
20 positions
First seen
2026-01-09
last 07-19 03:49
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 11 days
Categories
Crypto
83% 38% $-11
Politics
14% 79% +$371
Other
3% 40% $-22
Sports
0% 100% +$23
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
82 active days in 12wk • peak 724 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -702 $-627 74¢ $-516 +$112 07-09 02:47
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No -97 $-92 96¢ $-93 $-1 06-18 13:57
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No -100 $-83 86¢ $-86 $-2 06-14 21:08
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? Yes +21 $19 100¢ $21 +$2 06-20 15:09
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +43 $6 26¢ $11 +$5 06-21 16:01
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? Yes -146 $-16 $-11 +$5 06-16 01:47
US strike on Colombia by December 31? No +10 $8 80¢ $8 +$0 06-16 17:04
Trump goes to space in 2026? No -7 $-7 98¢ $-7 $-0 06-18 13:57
Will Venezuela become 51st state? No -5 $-5 97¢ $-5 $-0 06-18 13:57
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No -9 $-4 58¢ $-5 $-1 06-18 13:57
Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31? No -5 $-5 97¢ $-5 $-0 06-18 13:57
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No -6 $-3 66¢ $-4 $-1 06-18 13:57
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026? No -3 $-3 97¢ $-3 $-0 06-15 16:17
US strike on Colombia by December 31? Yes +9 $2 20¢ $2 +$0 06-10 02:44
Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31? No +2 $2 90¢ $2 +$0 06-06 22:33
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? Yes -8 $-2 21¢ $-2 +$0 06-28 16:25
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +2 $2 79¢ $2 +$0 06-16 13:11
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes -22 $-1 $-1 +$0 06-16 01:47
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? Yes +2 $0 15¢ $0 +$0 07-06 21:49
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? No +0 $5 $0 $-5 06-20 15:11