Realized P&L
+$361
Unrealized P&L
-$62
Hit rate
89.6%
Resolved
33
Trades
11,110
lifetime
Volume
$164.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$15
Open exposure
$215
19 positions
First seen
2026-01-09
last 06-09 22:23
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 11 days
Categories
Crypto
82% 38% $-11
Politics
15% 79% +$371
Other
3% 40% $-22
Sports
0% 100% +$23
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 491 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +68 $56 82¢ $56 $-0 05-31 16:48
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +31 $26 84¢ $26 $-0 06-08 01:46
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? No +22 $21 94¢ $20 $-0 06-03 08:54
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +199 $51 10¢ $19 $-32 06-04 03:50
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? Yes +87 $28 18¢ $16 $-11 06-05 18:32
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +90 $23 16¢ $14 $-9 06-09 21:11
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +11 $10 91¢ $10 $-0 06-05 04:16
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? Yes +72 $15 12¢ $9 $-6 06-09 21:00
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No -8 $-7 94¢ $-8 $-0 06-04 15:22
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? No -20 $-6 34¢ $-7 $-1 05-31 02:33
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? Yes +50 $5 11¢ $5 +$0 06-02 21:21
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +11 $5 46¢ $5 $-0 06-01 17:02
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30? No +5 $5 98¢ $5 $-0 06-01 21:34
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? Yes +18 $6 28¢ $5 $-1 06-02 11:58
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +98 $4 $4 +$0 06-07 19:17
Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31? No +2 $2 92¢ $2 +$0 06-06 22:33
US strike on Colombia by December 31? Yes +9 $2 18¢ $2 $-0 06-10 02:44
Will Donald Trump visit France in 2026? Yes +2 $2 98¢ $2 $-0 06-03 19:35
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? Yes +50 $1 $1 $-0 06-02 21:21