Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$7.12K

Unrealized P&L

+$99

Hit rate

57.3%

Resolved

Trades

905

lifetime

Volume

$92.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$102

Open exposure

$1.90K

11 positions

First seen

2026-01-11

last 10-07 19:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 31 days

Categories

Politics

60% 60% -$6,046

Other

26% 50% +$1,052

Crypto

11% 69% -$2,107

Sports

2% 40% -$20

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (11) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	+300	$144	93¢	$279	+$135	10-01 09:52
Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	-300	-$192	93¢	$-279	-$87	05-30 09:31
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?	Yes	+246	$109	88¢	$217	+$109	09-28 00:51
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	+208	$153	98¢	$204	+$51	10-07 19:04
Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	+200	$176	99¢	$198	+$22	05-31 15:58
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?	Yes	+200	$118	96¢	$192	+$74	08-27 12:20
Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	-200	-$66	89¢	$-178	-$112	05-09 08:19
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	+180	$125	96¢	$174	+$49	09-28 02:43
Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	-100	-$18	97¢	$-97	-$79	08-05 15:53
Ink FDV above $250M one day after launch?	No	-100	-$19	82¢	$-82	-$62	05-08 21:33
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?	No	-0	$0	14¢	$-0	+$0	06-03 09:04

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	39	$24.9K	12,891	12,611	+280	No	+$219	02-28 06:47
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	42	$7.9K	6,511	6,011	+500	Yes	-$530	02-28 16:19
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	14	$6.7K	11,094	0	+11,094	Yes	-$3,100	02-22 12:19
cbb clmsn duke 2026 02 14	26	$4.4K	5,000	0	+5,000	Duke Blue Devils	+$580	02-14 16:29
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	12	$3.5K	6,000	0	+6,000	Yes	-$1,960	02-28 06:44
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	3	$3.3K	5,000	2,000	+3,000	Yes	-$670	02-27 10:35
will the state of the union be 110 minutes or longer	20	$2.9K	2,264	2,122	+143	No	+$59	02-25 03:59
will the state of the union be 100 minutes or longer	34	$2.9K	7,168	3,652	+3,516	Yes	-$269	02-25 03:48
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	33	$2.8K	23,732	6,844	+16,888	Yes	-$491	02-26 05:06
will trump visit china by march 31	47	$2.5K	4,100	3,800	+300	No	+$1,242	03-18 06:57
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	9	$2.0K	3,500	0	+3,500	Yes	-$2,045	02-28 06:49
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	10	$1.9K	9,023	8,133	+890	No	-$80	03-07 13:49
Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?	6	$1.9K	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$61	03-05 08:17
Opinion FDV above $800M one day after launch?	16	$1.9K	1,041	1,041	+0	No	+$73	03-05 15:37
cbb selou txamc 2026 02 16	11	$1.8K	3,000	0	+3,000	East Texas A&M Lions	+$1,235	02-16 10:14
cbb mary rutger 2026 02 15	11	$1.7K	3,000	0	+3,000	Rutgers Scarlet Knights	+$1,320	02-15 16:52
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	5	$1.5K	11,500	0	+11,500	No	+$20	02-21 03:24
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	15	$1.3K	2,100	0	+2,100	Yes	-$1,335	04-21 07:02
nba hou cha 2026 02 19	16	$1.1K	1,000	1,000	+0	Rockets	-$10	02-17 13:28
cbb loulaf old 2026 02 16	9	$1.1K	1,500	0	+1,500	Old Dominion Monarchs	+$435	02-16 18:06
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	143	$993	21,857	20,139	+1,718	No	+$20	03-17 19:08
megaeth market cap fdv 1pt5b one day after launch 371 844 879 681	21	$979	1,135	0	+1,135	Yes	-$979	04-09 02:24
US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?	14	$844	1,620	650	+971	Yes	+$488	02-25 06:50
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	20	$740	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	-$20	02-28 10:52
Will Predict.fun launch a token by March 31, 2027?	12	$717	530	530	+0	open	—	09-15 05:53
megaeth market cap fdv 1b one day after launch gj9e 189 291 824 352	5	$692	1,100	0	+1,100	Yes	-$692	04-03 15:21
will the state of the union be 130 minutes or longer 839	1	$637	650	0	+650	No	+$13	02-25 03:58
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?	28	$602	1,046	0	+1,046	Yes	-$602	04-08 04:49
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?	8	$539	500	500	-0	No	+$16	03-05 14:32
Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?	6	$530	500	500	+0	No	+$10	02-27 12:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-07 19:04:03	Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	8	89¢	$7	0x9767dd…
10-01 09:52:05	Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	50	54¢	$27	0x1ee14c…
09-30 04:43:24	Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	200	73¢	$146	0xd5cbc4…
09-28 02:43:26	Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	80	72¢	$58	0xfc4a92…
09-28 00:51:17	Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	46	50¢	$23	0x75442e…
09-21 22:10:28	Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	200	45¢	$90	0xc9137b…
09-15 05:53:42	Will Predict.fun launch a token by March 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	56¢	$0	0x158775…
09-11 14:07:31	Will Predict.fun launch a token by March 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	99	61¢	$61	0x4582e0…
08-31 17:20:21	Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	200	43¢	$86	0xe3059c…
08-30 16:00:40	Will Predict.fun launch a token by March 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	3	56¢	$2	0x7f5579…
08-30 00:28:22	Will Predict.fun launch a token by March 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	50	56¢	$28	0x0cc593…
08-29 10:17:43	Will Predict.fun launch a token by March 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	50	56¢	$28	0x50eefd…
08-27 12:20:34	Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	178	59¢	$105	0x1059c6…
08-26 23:02:31	Will Predict.fun launch a token by March 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	47	56¢	$26	0x560cf1…
08-23 00:53:21	Will Predict.fun launch a token by March 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	88	60¢	$53	0x54af21…
08-19 23:36:37	Will Predict.fun launch a token by March 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	192	60¢	$115	0xa7603f…
08-18 21:33:46	Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	100	67¢	$67	0x6f0925…
08-17 16:02:25	Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	22	59¢	$13	0x66efe8…
08-05 15:53:36	Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	33¢	$66	0xd60cda…
07-31 14:34:53	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xaf7530…
07-31 14:06:06	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xe47c8e…
07-31 14:05:56	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	No	SELL	199	100¢	$198	0x7ec620…
07-28 12:44:11	Unit FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	SELL	6	81¢	$5	0xa2ffb1…
07-28 07:35:03	Unit FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	SELL	9	78¢	$7	0x1a5408…
07-26 07:59:22	will wti dip to 80 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	50	37¢	$18	0x93ee5a…
07-22 08:26:48	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	No	BUY	50	71¢	$35	0x3a37fa…
07-21 20:47:45	will wti dip to 80 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	50	55¢	$28	0xaa218d…
07-20 07:17:58	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	No	BUY	30	86¢	$26	0x7ac2f0…
07-20 06:16:19	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	100	62¢	$62	0x398d6a…
07-17 12:22:48	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	100	82¢	$82	0x71c3bb…
07-17 00:52:53	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	No	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0x2e0b47…
07-16 15:31:13	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	No	BUY	56	77¢	$43	0x4edfc5…
07-16 15:31:10	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	No	BUY	44	77¢	$34	0xd1bb34…
07-16 05:24:47	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	300	42¢	$126	0xe2b424…
07-15 13:03:14	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	200	42¢	$84	0x62c0e6…
07-15 12:57:34	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	100	42¢	$42	0x58a053…
07-15 06:37:34	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	300	80¢	$240	0xb611e1…
07-14 18:40:22	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	No	BUY	76	84¢	$64	0xa01762…
07-14 14:21:34	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	No	BUY	24	84¢	$20	0x6a17a7…
07-14 14:04:53	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	100	83¢	$83	0x5f92a3…
07-08 10:28:25	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	100	81¢	$81	0x9474b5…
07-07 05:57:55	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	50	82¢	$41	0xfce35b…
07-07 05:57:04	Unit FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	SELL	390	51¢	$199	0x3dcafb…
07-06 09:59:17	Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	50	65¢	$33	0x7d429c…
06-30 11:09:25	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	50	90¢	$45	0xe973a9…
06-15 19:38:01	Will Predict.fun launch a token by March 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0x57c355…
06-14 18:10:39	Unit FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	SELL	18	79¢	$14	0x972df1…
06-14 08:45:10	Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x0847a2…
06-14 08:44:55	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0x8f2b6a…
06-14 08:44:31	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	50	92¢	$46	0xedef59…
06-10 13:13:19	Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	50	75¢	$38	0xc557b9…
06-10 09:13:42	Unit FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	BUY	26	75¢	$20	0x34d506…
06-09 15:12:03	Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	58¢	$116	0xf6fd70…
06-09 13:09:00	Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	208	62¢	$129	0xbf899e…
06-08 12:55:13	Unit FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	3	57¢	$2	0x0313e1…
06-04 03:54:25	Will Predict.fun launch a token by March 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	200	72¢	$144	0x023205…
06-04 03:54:07	Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	56¢	$56	0x485c4d…
06-03 09:04:54	Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?	No	SELL	0	43¢	$0	0x17c077…
06-02 11:59:29	Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	57¢	$5	0xfcc07c…
05-31 15:58:40	Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	74	88¢	$65	0x4239f8…
05-31 15:56:12	Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	126	88¢	$111	0x62b050…
05-30 09:31:51	Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	117	64¢	$75	0x8d8ac2…
05-29 16:43:51	Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	17	64¢	$11	0x2d9e40…
05-28 16:49:28	Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	10	64¢	$6	0x5f8bee…
05-27 03:43:03	Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	100	64¢	$64	0x7798c7…
05-26 23:42:22	Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	56	64¢	$36	0xcc0389…
05-25 08:06:46	Unit FDV above $600M one day after launch?	No	SELL	196	56¢	$110	0x401409…
05-24 21:08:19	Unit FDV above $600M one day after launch?	No	SELL	71	56¢	$40	0xd369e5…
05-17 09:49:11	Will Predict.fun launch a token by March 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	299	80¢	$240	0x7994f4…
05-16 19:44:08	Will Predict.fun launch a token by March 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$0	0x8556f7…
05-16 17:31:18	Unit FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	40	70¢	$28	0xdd9213…
05-16 17:30:50	Unit FDV above $600M one day after launch?	No	SELL	20	56¢	$11	0xbff454…
05-15 15:29:15	Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	SELL	859	7¢	$63	0x1cef0e…
05-15 14:14:46	Unit FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	11	70¢	$8	0xef6e3c…
05-14 14:21:41	Unit FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	60	70¢	$42	0x6725fa…
05-11 11:28:23	Unit FDV above $600M one day after launch?	No	SELL	28	56¢	$16	0x7e3dff…
05-09 08:19:21	Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	0	33¢	$0	0xffc8a5…
05-09 08:18:57	Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	5	33¢	$2	0xd42fcc…
05-09 08:18:57	Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	5	33¢	$2	0x8e778c…
05-09 08:18:27	Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	5	33¢	$2	0xd4797b…
05-09 08:18:27	Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	5	33¢	$2	0xb12d49…
05-09 08:17:59	Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	5	33¢	$2	0xf20657…
05-09 08:17:59	Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	5	33¢	$2	0xd5d3a0…
05-09 08:17:29	Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	5	33¢	$2	0x9cbc0c…
05-09 08:17:29	Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	5	33¢	$2	0x824807…
05-09 08:17:01	Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	5	33¢	$2	0xfe40c4…
05-09 08:17:01	Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	5	33¢	$2	0x53e25c…
05-09 08:16:35	Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	5	33¢	$2	0xfc9e87…
05-09 08:16:35	Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	5	33¢	$2	0x713fab…
05-09 08:16:07	Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	5	33¢	$2	0xfbb46d…
05-09 08:16:05	Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	5	33¢	$2	0xd9f0c2…
05-09 08:15:37	Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	5	33¢	$2	0xf723bf…
05-09 08:15:37	Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	5	33¢	$2	0xbaba99…
05-09 08:15:09	Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	5	33¢	$2	0x8167c9…
05-09 08:15:09	Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	5	33¢	$2	0x7d02be…
05-09 08:14:41	Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	5	33¢	$2	0xfa0c5e…
05-09 08:14:41	Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	5	33¢	$2	0x49a860…
05-09 08:14:15	Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	5	33¢	$2	0x529f86…
05-09 08:14:13	Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	5	33¢	$2	0x083540…
05-09 08:00:52	Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	5	33¢	$2	0x6cc0ae…