Realized P&L
-$7.12K
Unrealized P&L
-$120
Hit rate
57.3%
Resolved
63
Trades
911
lifetime
Volume
$92.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$101
Open exposure
$2.09K
13 positions
First seen
2026-01-11
last 11-12 07:10
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 31 days
Categories
Politics
60% 60% -$6,046
Other
27% 50% +$1,052
Crypto
11% 69% -$2,107
Sports
2% 40% -$20
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
17 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Unit FDV above $400M one day after launch? No -390 -$199 74¢ $-288 -$90 07-07 05:57
Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch? No -300 -$192 94¢ $-284 -$92 05-30 09:31
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes +300 $144 91¢ $274 +$130 10-01 09:52
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch? Yes +246 $109 88¢ $216 +$107 09-28 00:51
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes +208 $153 98¢ $204 +$51 10-07 19:04
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? Yes +200 $118 92¢ $185 +$67 08-27 12:20
Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch? No -200 -$66 92¢ $-183 -$117 05-09 08:19
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes +180 $125 97¢ $175 +$50 09-28 02:43
Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes -100 -$18 100¢ $-100 -$81 08-05 15:53
Ink FDV above $250M one day after launch? No -100 -$19 92¢ $-92 -$72 05-08 21:33
Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes +88 $65 99¢ $87 +$22 11-09 02:23
Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026? Yes +948 $101 1¢ $6 -$95 11-12 07:10
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? No -0 $0 10¢ $-0 +$0 06-03 09:04