Detailed-Lip — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.37K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

47.4%

Resolved

Trades

1,885

lifetime

Volume

$567.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$301

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-01

last 08-08 16:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Politics

53% 22% $-1,029

Other

47% 67% $-389

Sports

0% 50% +$52

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

37 active days in 12wk • peak 146 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	138	$54.2K	29,431	49,031	-19,600	open	—	07-08 02:10
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	12	$53.0K	31,311	31,311	+0	open	—	05-15 06:27
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	195	$52.7K	62,294	40,984	+21,310	open	—	06-15 02:18
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	8	$37.7K	0	44,397	-44,397	open	—	06-08 02:02
will another country strike iran by march 31 833	101	$35.4K	28,085	21,883	+6,202	open	—	04-01 04:12
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?	61	$19.7K	10,782	12,412	-1,630	open	—	05-03 14:00
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	13	$18.3K	15,003	15,002	+0	open	—	05-23 01:27
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	50	$11.4K	18,100	18,100	+0	open	—	08-05 02:11
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	67	$10.7K	14,152	14,152	+0	open	—	05-24 06:26
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	10	$10.7K	5,692	7,570	-1,878	open	—	07-08 02:09
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	14	$10.6K	30,394	31,345	-952	open	—	04-03 16:00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	76	$10.3K	8,441	9,000	-559	open	—	04-08 02:21
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	15	$10.1K	23,380	24,380	-1,000	open	—	04-03 16:23
Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?	6	$9.9K	5,928	5,928	+0	open	—	05-03 14:00
us iran nuclear deal by july 31	55	$9.8K	15,344	0	+15,344	open	—	06-11 17:32
iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	18	$7.6K	17,197	0	+17,197	open	—	08-07 03:11
Cuban regime falls in 2026?	12	$7.1K	1,941	7,594	-5,653	open	—	06-11 19:21
iran charges hormuz fees by december 31 20260706203029175 553	19	$6.9K	12,491	0	+12,491	open	—	08-08 16:33
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	49	$6.9K	20,911	73	+20,838	open	—	06-14 09:52
Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?	12	$6.7K	6,739	2,087	+4,652	open	—	05-18 00:24
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	33	$6.6K	7,506	7,832	-326	open	—	06-09 23:46
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	2	$6.5K	7,789	0	+7,789	open	—	08-05 03:02
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?	20	$5.9K	0	6,666	-6,666	open	—	06-07 19:13
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	30	$5.7K	6,172	6,072	+100	open	—	06-13 04:08
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	3	$5.2K	18,030	0	+18,030	open	—	06-08 22:35
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	12	$5.2K	3,000	3,000	+0	open	—	05-18 07:53
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?	23	$4.9K	0	5,407	-5,407	open	—	06-06 13:09
israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	14	$4.8K	7,066	6,014	+1,052	open	—	06-08 02:46
will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	7	$4.4K	8,183	0	+8,183	open	—	08-07 08:48
will qatar strike iran by march 31	39	$4.4K	5,113	4,113	+1,000	open	—	03-07 08:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-08 16:47:43	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	Yes	BUY	915	40¢	$364	0xe9b441…
08-08 16:33:46	iran charges hormuz fees by december 31 20260706203029175 553	Yes	BUY	317	52¢	$164	0xe9df37…
08-08 01:36:55	iran leadership change by june 30 2027 674 937 179 655	No	BUY	2,817	71¢	$2,000	0x361305…
08-08 01:17:39	iran leadership change by june 30 2027 674 937 179 655	No	BUY	3,322	70¢	$2,320	0x722244…
08-07 22:53:34	iran charges hormuz fees by december 31 20260706203029175 553	Yes	BUY	163	55¢	$90	0xfb65fc…
08-07 16:11:34	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	2,049	73¢	$1,500	0xd87728…
08-07 16:07:52	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	3,125	32¢	$1,000	0x986825…
08-07 15:59:15	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	553	73¢	$404	0x4fb99d…
08-07 15:59:04	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	1,370	73¢	$1,000	0x025fa7…
08-07 14:50:36	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	Yes	BUY	1,240	51¢	$631	0x190718…
08-07 14:48:58	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	SELL	969	51¢	$494	0x4372d6…
08-07 14:45:30	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	Yes	BUY	963	52¢	$500	0x56302b…
08-07 14:44:40	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	969	51¢	$494	0xd3aca3…
08-07 14:43:31	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	Yes	BUY	993	51¢	$506	0x9a6776…
08-07 14:26:12	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	Yes	BUY	2,000	10¢	$200	0x6d5f57…
08-07 14:23:16	us iran hormuz agreement by august 31 20260804000051471	Yes	BUY	462	50¢	$230	0x38beba…
08-07 14:06:43	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	Yes	BUY	1,091	45¢	$487	0x0a7b4c…
08-07 14:02:16	us iran hormuz agreement by august 15 20260804222025506	Yes	BUY	2,417	77¢	$1,849	0x3105da…
08-07 13:57:48	us iran hormuz agreement by august 31 20260804000051471	Yes	BUY	970	50¢	$489	0xfb548c…
08-07 13:57:30	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	Yes	BUY	191	40¢	$76	0x8e5e88…
08-07 12:52:01	iran charges hormuz fees by december 31 20260706203029175	Yes	BUY	35	53¢	$19	0x2919b5…
08-07 08:48:55	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	Yes	BUY	1,177	49¢	$582	0x46da8f…
08-07 08:46:27	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	SELL	661	88¢	$582	0xfbbef6…
08-07 03:19:13	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	Yes	BUY	647	49¢	$319	0x96ec31…
08-07 03:18:36	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	Yes	BUY	2,041	49¢	$1,000	0xf23e9c…
08-07 03:16:48	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	Yes	BUY	1,042	48¢	$500	0x5f9465…
08-07 03:11:51	iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	Yes	BUY	1,960	45¢	$882	0xf7012f…
08-07 03:11:40	iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	Yes	BUY	322	44¢	$142	0xef684b…
08-07 03:11:33	iran charges hormuz fees by december 31 20260706203029175	Yes	BUY	56	54¢	$30	0x73d3dc…
08-07 01:08:43	iran charges hormuz fees by december 31 20260706203029175	Yes	BUY	148	56¢	$82	0xf3a27b…
08-07 01:08:04	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	Yes	BUY	522	41¢	$217	0xf629b5…
08-07 01:07:33	iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	Yes	BUY	1,626	43¢	$700	0x5e634a…
08-07 01:02:32	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	SELL	750	85¢	$634	0x547ade…
08-06 15:51:32	iran charges hormuz fees by december 31 20260706203029175	Yes	BUY	515	51¢	$264	0x34d241…
08-06 15:51:12	iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	Yes	BUY	930	40¢	$370	0xb9e12c…
08-06 15:01:09	iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	Yes	BUY	136	37¢	$50	0xfaac61…
08-06 15:00:51	iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	Yes	BUY	1,352	37¢	$500	0xf3135e…
08-06 11:50:02	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	SELL	153	70¢	$107	0xb43975…
08-06 00:14:05	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	SELL	665	63¢	$419	0xf72bf6…
08-05 14:13:11	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	Yes	BUY	1,069	61¢	$652	0x22b30a…
08-05 13:38:27	iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	Yes	BUY	2,251	40¢	$900	0xb11463…
08-05 13:37:50	iran charges hormuz fees by december 31 20260706203029175	Yes	BUY	2,002	50¢	$1,000	0xf2f6df…
08-05 13:27:33	us x iran diplomatic meeting by september 30 2026	No	BUY	1,786	28¢	$500	0xeecbe2…
08-05 13:27:02	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	No	BUY	2,130	47¢	$1,000	0x85388e…
08-05 13:24:00	us charges hormuz fees by december 31 2026 20260713151243236	Yes	BUY	3,060	10¢	$300	0xbdf592…
08-05 13:23:53	us charges hormuz fees by august 31 2026 20260713151243234	Yes	BUY	4,312	2¢	$100	0x4337e4…
08-05 13:22:56	us charges hormuz fees by december 31 2026 20260713151243236	Yes	BUY	5,556	9¢	$500	0x7a22eb…
08-05 12:48:54	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	Yes	BUY	553	63¢	$348	0x82a7fb…
08-05 03:26:17	iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	Yes	BUY	215	49¢	$105	0x097d76…
08-05 03:26:02	iran charges hormuz fees by december 31 20260706203029175	Yes	BUY	1,904	58¢	$1,103	0x667ebd…
08-05 03:25:30	iran charges hormuz fees by december 31 20260706203029175	Yes	BUY	150	56¢	$84	0xe92915…
08-05 03:25:14	iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	Yes	BUY	360	46¢	$167	0xd106aa…
08-05 03:16:26	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	853	70¢	$597	0x50e3dd…
08-05 03:16:08	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	589	70¢	$412	0x86830f…
08-05 03:07:53	iran charges hormuz fees by december 31 20260706203029175	Yes	BUY	45	53¢	$24	0xf45f32…
08-05 03:04:06	iran charges hormuz fees by december 31 20260706203029175	Yes	BUY	75	56¢	$42	0x081211…
08-05 03:03:20	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	840	70¢	$588	0xf878a6…
08-05 03:02:18	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	3,647	83¢	$3,027	0x126fd9…
08-05 03:01:03	iran charges hormuz fees by december 31 20260706203029175	Yes	BUY	60	55¢	$33	0xc67779…
08-05 03:00:56	iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	Yes	BUY	24	46¢	$11	0x0bd767…
08-05 02:57:12	iran charges hormuz fees by december 31 20260706203029175	Yes	BUY	57	55¢	$31	0xadd4fe…
08-05 02:46:51	iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	Yes	BUY	59	45¢	$27	0x1ad667…
08-05 02:42:47	us charges hormuz fees by august 31 2026 20260713151243234	Yes	BUY	4,902	2¢	$100	0xbfbb53…
08-05 02:35:50	iran charges hormuz fees by december 31 20260706203029175	Yes	BUY	155	54¢	$84	0xf6c886…
08-05 02:35:15	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	4,142	83¢	$3,438	0x1ab0fa…
08-05 02:26:09	iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	Yes	BUY	232	45¢	$104	0xa65e06…
08-05 02:24:14	iran charges hormuz fees by december 31 20260706203029175	Yes	BUY	374	49¢	$183	0xc711d6…
08-05 02:23:56	iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	Yes	BUY	993	42¢	$416	0x8ea271…
08-05 02:23:12	iran charges hormuz fees by december 31 20260706203029175	Yes	BUY	905	50¢	$451	0x33cc4e…
08-05 02:22:08	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	BUY	1,113	45¢	$500	0xd43cc7…
08-05 02:22:00	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	BUY	1,116	45¢	$500	0xd2260b…
08-05 02:19:15	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by august 31 2026 20260728213741053	Yes	BUY	67	47¢	$32	0xf887e4…
08-05 02:11:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	13,522	38¢	$5,138	0x6df8b1…
08-05 02:01:48	iran charges hormuz fees by december 31 20260706203029175	Yes	BUY	1,872	58¢	$1,095	0x82bf95…
08-05 01:48:24	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	Yes	BUY	1,654	60¢	$1,000	0x385759…
08-05 01:43:56	will the unsc adopt a resolution endorsing the final us iran deal by date	Yes	BUY	2,852	35¢	$1,000	0x340713…
08-05 01:38:44	iran charges hormuz fees by december 31 20260706203029175	Yes	BUY	3,451	59¢	$2,033	0xc6460c…
08-05 01:38:06	iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	Yes	BUY	2,907	52¢	$1,502	0xc99072…
08-05 01:36:57	iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	Yes	BUY	122	47¢	$57	0x7e38dc…
08-05 01:36:45	iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	Yes	BUY	48	45¢	$22	0xc73a9e…
08-05 01:36:30	iran charges hormuz fees by december 31 20260706203029175	Yes	BUY	207	53¢	$111	0x93ab48…
08-05 01:36:11	iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	Yes	BUY	549	46¢	$251	0xcc1ac5…
08-05 01:35:33	iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	Yes	BUY	3,110	46¢	$1,429	0x09b772…
08-02 00:51:30	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	SELL	1,000	23¢	$230	0xf19f0e…
07-08 02:11:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	4,578	39¢	$1,786	0xcb82e1…
07-08 02:10:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	26,167	95¢	$24,858	0x0a478c…
07-08 02:09:26	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	7,570	100¢	$7,532	0x96559d…
06-30 12:44:35	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	2,296	13¢	$290	0x4fdbea…
06-22 01:49:16	will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	5,062	10¢	$500	0x9adba2…
06-22 01:36:20	starmer out by june 26 2026 959 792 935	No	BUY	4,129	11¢	$457	0xc865fb…
06-22 01:36:02	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	6,031	8¢	$475	0x9c90aa…
06-21 15:12:10	Iran Nuke before 2027?	Yes	SELL	12,117	6¢	$704	0xc35ddc…
06-21 14:06:53	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	2,000	59¢	$1,180	0xda5532…
06-20 21:35:14	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	3,333	15¢	$500	0x1937cc…
06-20 21:22:41	starmer out by june 22 2026	No	BUY	714	28¢	$200	0x0323a5…
06-20 21:20:28	starmer out by june 26 2026	No	BUY	2,646	19¢	$500	0x8e7874…
06-20 21:18:14	starmer out by june 26 2026	No	BUY	100	9¢	$9	0xb120ba…
06-20 21:17:13	starmer out by june 22 2026	No	BUY	1,057	19¢	$200	0xfd1d52…
06-20 18:13:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	25	58¢	$14	0x55bbdc…
06-20 18:11:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	5	58¢	$3	0x3b14e3…