Realized P&L
-$1.37K
Unrealized P&L
+$3.71K
Hit rate
47.4%
Resolved
23
Trades
1,801
lifetime
Volume
$513.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$285
Open exposure
$34.1K
8 positions
First seen
2026-03-01
last 07-08 02:11
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 8 days
Categories
Politics
53% 22% $-1,029
Other
47% 67% $-389
Sports
0% 50% +$52
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
49 active days in 12wk • peak 146 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No -19,232 $-19,782 99¢ $-19030 +$752 07-08 02:10
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +13,522 $2,718 46¢ $6.3K +$3,569 07-08 02:11
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No -5,653 $-4,360 88¢ $-4975 $-615 06-11 19:21
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No -2,779 $-2,154 86¢ $-2404 $-250 06-11 17:59
Iran leadership change by December 31? No -1,000 $-740 74¢ $-745 $-5 06-05 17:03
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No +744 $241 70¢ $517 +$276 06-01 01:42
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? No -150 $-103 84¢ $-125 $-22 06-09 15:13
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? Yes +29 $3 16¢ $5 +$1 06-06 08:36