Realized P&L
-$1.37K
Unrealized P&L
-$9.03K
Hit rate
47.4%
Resolved
23
Trades
1,798
lifetime
Volume
$479.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$267
Open exposure
$77.6K
17 positions
First seen
2026-03-01
last 06-30 12:44
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 8 days
Categories
Politics
57% 22% $-1,029
Other
43% 67% $-389
Sports
0% 50% +$52
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
53 active days in 12wk • peak 146 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No -43,397 $-36,830 99¢ $-43029 $-6,199 06-08 02:02
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30? No -6,666 $-5,934 99¢ $-6623 $-689 06-07 19:13
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? No -5,407 $-4,909 100¢ $-5386 $-477 06-06 13:09
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No -5,653 $-4,360 86¢ $-4833 $-474 06-11 19:21
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +6,934 $5,077 70¢ $4.8K $-257 06-21 14:06
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No -4,738 $-4,217 100¢ $-4731 $-514 06-06 10:22
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +18,100 $4,504 18¢ $3.2K $-1,336 06-13 01:41
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No -2,779 $-2,154 80¢ $-2237 $-83 06-11 17:59
No-Confidence Vote against Starmer by June 30? No -1,198 $-1,127 100¢ $-1196 $-69 06-11 19:47
Iran leadership change by December 31? No -1,000 $-740 84¢ $-835 $-95 06-05 17:03
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No +744 $241 56¢ $420 +$179 06-01 01:42
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? No +206 $-579 100¢ $205 +$785 06-09 23:46
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? No -150 $-103 83¢ $-124 $-21 06-09 15:13
Iran leadership change by June 30? No -5 $-5 100¢ $-5 $-0 06-05 17:03
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30? No -5 $-5 100¢ $-5 $-0 06-09 15:13
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? Yes +29 $3 11¢ $3 $-0 06-06 08:36
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? Yes -326 $-225 $-1 +$224 06-08 01:33