Radiant-Hostess — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.94K

Unrealized P&L

+$25

Hit rate

59.1%

Resolved

Trades

1,382

lifetime

Volume

$42.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$31

Open exposure

$234

7 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 11-06 16:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 25 days

Categories

Other

72% 62% +$3,914

Politics

21% 14% -$1,653

Crypto

7% 18% -$323

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day

Open positions (7) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+600	$54	10¢	$62	+$9	11-06 16:53
Will Gold (GC) dip to (LOW) $3,500 by end of December?	Yes	+500	$72	9¢	$45	-$27	11-06 16:46
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	+400	-$42	11¢	$42	+$84	11-06 16:42
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by March 31, 2027?	Yes	+200	$48	20¢	$39	-$9	11-06 16:51
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	Yes	+300	$35	8¢	$23	-$12	11-06 16:49
Will Gold (GC) dip to (LOW) $3,000 by end of December?	Yes	+500	$29	3¢	$14	-$15	11-06 16:47
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?	Yes	+200	$12	4¢	$9	-$3	09-24 10:48

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	102	$3.5K	34,694	33,194	+1,500	No	-$174	03-10 07:22
will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	63	$2.5K	10,550	11,078	-529	No	+$350	03-09 20:17
will gold gc hit low 4000 by end of march	58	$2.2K	11,799	11,061	+739	No	+$784	03-26 10:54
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	65	$2.0K	12,085	11,752	+333	No	+$227	06-11 18:43
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	26	$1.9K	5,000	4,600	+400	open	—	11-06 16:42
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	42	$1.8K	3,774	3,774	+0	No	+$123	06-11 18:07
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	15	$1.7K	2,680	1,050	+1,630	Yes	-$419	06-14 23:14
will gold gc hit low 4300 by end of march	35	$1.5K	6,349	6,349	+0	No	+$723	03-25 08:52
si hit 120 high jan 2026 313 822 269	11	$1.2K	2,650	4,191	-1,541	No	+$728	01-25 23:43
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	17	$1.0K	1,290	490	+800	Yes	-$696	06-14 23:11
will ethereum reach 3000 in march 2026	39	$891	8,620	8,620	+0	No	-$78	03-25 11:46
will silver si hit low 75 by end of february 739 471 473 237 171 573 124 784	38	$885	823	823	+0	Yes	+$34	02-12 16:10
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	18	$855	1,575	1,575	+0	Yes	-$259	05-31 23:33
will silver si hit low 70 by end of february 712 779 958 335 231 549 229 331	43	$840	2,750	2,033	+718	No	-$36	02-23 22:18
will silver si hit low 85 by end of february 666 983 156 154 856 746 471 757	9	$824	1,400	1,060	+340	Yes	+$512	01-30 16:52
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	4	$747	450	450	+0	No	+$81	05-28 08:22
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	11	$742	600	600	+0	No	+$146	05-28 09:12
will gold gc hit low 4600 by end of february 292 259 212 256 398 758 656 625 549 536	45	$670	9,289	5,781	+3,508	No	-$3	02-24 21:50
US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?	10	$664	730	730	+0	Yes	-$158	06-13 13:29
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	5	$643	4,500	300	+4,200	Yes	-$132	06-15 18:27
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	3	$610	500	500	+0	No	-$60	05-26 20:54
will silver si hit high 120 by end of february 431 947 594 173 652 316	36	$606	3,070	5,370	-2,300	No	+$77	02-17 14:45
will silver si hit low 50 by end of march	29	$555	8,608	9,608	-1,000	No	-$27	03-27 12:12
will gold gc hit low 5100 by end of march	2	$555	300	300	+0	Yes	+$39	03-05 18:37
will crude oil cl hit high 180 by end of march 692	25	$541	3,799	3,799	+0	No	+$54	03-09 15:27
will silver si hit high 140 by end of february 384 774 953 735 356	19	$515	1,440	1,440	+0	No	+$8	02-02 09:07
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	24	$508	20,613	10,000	+10,613	No	-$388	04-19 23:39
will gold gc hit low 4500 by end of march	14	$447	1,200	1,200	+0	Yes	+$251	03-19 12:31
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	31	$436	1,283	1,283	+0	No	+$13	03-31 01:35
will gold gc hit low 3600 by end of march	36	$435	13,137	5,136	+8,000	No	-$100	03-25 19:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-06 16:53:46	Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0x63a005…
11-06 16:51:49	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by March 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	25	21¢	$5	0x690010…
11-06 16:49:46	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	Yes	SELL	51	8¢	$4	0xc2ee3f…
11-06 16:47:42	Will Gold (GC) dip to (LOW) $3,000 by end of December?	Yes	SELL	80	3¢	$2	0xaebea3…
11-06 16:46:01	Will Gold (GC) dip to (LOW) $3,500 by end of December?	Yes	SELL	7	8¢	$1	0x6a178d…
11-06 16:45:00	Will Gold (GC) dip to (LOW) $3,500 by end of December?	Yes	SELL	30	9¢	$3	0xd8f182…
11-06 16:42:58	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	200	12¢	$24	0x0f2b18…
11-06 16:25:30	Will Gold (GC) dip to (LOW) $3,500 by end of December?	Yes	BUY	167	12¢	$20	0x3c0699…
11-06 16:23:18	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by March 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	95	21¢	$20	0xe63b36…
11-06 16:22:03	Will Gold (GC) dip to (LOW) $3,500 by end of December?	Yes	BUY	71	11¢	$8	0x64ccaf…
11-06 16:21:25	Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	180	11¢	$20	0x6c4dcc…
11-02 01:36:46	Will Gold (GC) dip to (LOW) $3,500 by end of December?	Yes	BUY	91	13¢	$12	0x873d05…
11-01 06:43:16	Will Gold (GC) dip to (LOW) $3,500 by end of December?	Yes	BUY	2	13¢	$0	0xfef631…
10-30 23:47:16	Will Gold (GC) dip to (LOW) $3,500 by end of December?	Yes	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0xe78062…
10-30 23:47:16	Will Gold (GC) dip to (LOW) $3,500 by end of December?	Yes	BUY	1	13¢	$0	0x87fb50…
10-30 16:13:16	Will Gold (GC) dip to (LOW) $3,000 by end of December?	Yes	BUY	80	4¢	$3	0x9c7dce…
10-30 16:11:03	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$2	0x4d4c96…
10-30 16:01:45	Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	14¢	$14	0x5c588b…
10-30 15:55:27	Will Gold (GC) dip to (LOW) $3,500 by end of December?	Yes	BUY	100	21¢	$21	0x2919a0…
10-30 15:46:24	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by March 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	80	29¢	$23	0x8f4312…
10-30 15:43:04	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	Yes	SELL	100	13¢	$13	0xb3a54b…
10-30 11:54:57	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $50 in October?	Yes	SELL	350	77¢	$270	0xcc4d9f…
10-15 02:02:02	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$10	0xb7d1c8…
10-15 01:48:25	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3,500	0¢	$7	0x17b942…
10-15 01:43:50	will ethereum dip to 1800 in october 2026	Yes	SELL	350	6¢	$20	0xe4b753…
10-15 01:36:47	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,500	0¢	$3	0x087dfc…
10-15 01:35:34	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,000	1¢	$6	0x1d84bd…
10-15 01:04:29	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x61bd5c…
10-14 17:20:45	kharg island no longer under iranian control by october 31	Yes	BUY	1,000	1¢	$14	0x462587…
10-14 17:13:19	will xagusd dip to 50 in october 2026	Yes	SELL	150	16¢	$23	0x49d9ae…
10-12 19:04:26	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in October?	Yes	BUY	0	1¢	$0	0x17fceb…
10-12 19:03:44	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in October?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0xa0d598…
10-12 19:03:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in October?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xff23ff…
10-12 19:02:23	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in October?	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0xb9075a…
10-12 19:01:26	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in October?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0x1bc1e6…
10-12 19:00:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in October?	Yes	BUY	16	1¢	$0	0xe6b781…
10-12 19:00:08	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in October?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0x812148…
10-12 18:59:15	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in October?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0x364362…
10-12 18:58:39	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in October?	Yes	BUY	14	1¢	$0	0x95e35b…
10-12 18:55:18	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0xd2dc83…
10-12 18:49:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in October?	Yes	BUY	408	1¢	$2	0x157c8c…
10-12 18:48:09	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in October?	Yes	BUY	350	2¢	$8	0xc5bcf8…
10-12 18:46:48	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	25¢	$25	0x759c19…
10-12 18:30:14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in October?	Yes	BUY	991	1¢	$6	0x9912d1…
10-12 18:28:23	Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	8¢	$4	0x0bc1e4…
10-11 21:38:59	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0xf522d9…
10-11 21:31:44	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	594	1¢	$8	0xc9ff70…
10-11 21:31:08	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	600	1¢	$8	0x9042f3…
10-06 19:59:45	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in October?	Yes	BUY	1,000	2¢	$23	0xe1ffda…
10-06 19:57:54	Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	7¢	$3	0xbfc688…
10-06 19:54:14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in October?	Yes	BUY	1,000	2¢	$19	0x5b8d71…
10-03 12:00:15	Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	400	6¢	$25	0x908d66…
10-03 11:57:06	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	17¢	$17	0x5fb401…
10-03 11:51:32	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $50 in October?	Yes	BUY	500	5¢	$27	0x7091af…
09-28 19:44:42	Will Gold (GC) dip to (LOW) $3,000 by end of December?	Yes	BUY	400	6¢	$23	0xb8cbdb…
09-28 19:39:47	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	Yes	SELL	18	9¢	$2	0x12dbe8…
09-28 19:38:30	Will Gold (GC) dip to (LOW) $3,000 by end of December?	Yes	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0x99c6b7…
09-28 19:36:30	Will Gold (GC) dip to (LOW) $3,500 by end of December?	Yes	BUY	100	14¢	$14	0x376264…
09-24 10:52:41	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	Yes	BUY	368	11¢	$40	0x93b235…
09-24 10:49:51	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	Yes	BUY	100	18¢	$18	0x9cc1b7…
09-24 10:48:08	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?	Yes	BUY	200	6¢	$12	0xcded51…
09-24 10:46:02	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	200	14¢	$28	0x3f9787…
06-17 12:48:13	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6,000	0¢	$6	0x1e6a11…
06-17 12:46:44	us x iran permanent peace deal by october 31 2026	No	BUY	24,456	0¢	$24	0x2acf08…
06-17 12:36:11	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	12,000	0¢	$12	0x4c5a8f…
06-17 12:34:50	us x iran permanent peace deal by october 31 2026	No	BUY	10,000	0¢	$10	0x3a1a24…
06-17 12:33:49	us x iran permanent peace deal by august 31 2026	No	BUY	6,076	0¢	$6	0x46729d…
06-15 18:27:57	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	4,200	4¢	$171	0x4d5b0c…
06-14 23:14:34	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	790	6¢	$47	0xd33583…
06-14 23:11:51	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	SELL	200	23¢	$46	0x0e72a9…
06-14 20:21:40	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	240	50¢	$120	0x5df4a1…
06-14 20:20:12	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	SELL	290	41¢	$119	0xfd2f12…
06-14 14:13:48	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	290	51¢	$148	0x423041…
06-14 14:12:45	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	220	66¢	$145	0x877838…
06-13 13:30:46	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	300	51¢	$153	0x69c9da…
06-13 13:29:37	us iran nuclear deal by july 31	No	SELL	468	33¢	$155	0xec65c1…
06-13 13:27:06	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	190	51¢	$97	0x21e939…
06-13 13:07:34	US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?	No	SELL	132	38¢	$50	0x051c04…
06-13 12:59:33	us iran nuclear deal by july 31	No	SELL	125	37¢	$46	0x7ea8f2…
06-13 12:53:24	US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?	No	SELL	5	37¢	$2	0xd65524…
06-13 12:22:49	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	330	49¢	$162	0x48479e…
06-13 12:21:00	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1,000	16¢	$160	0x9357d2…
06-13 07:14:06	us iran nuclear deal by july 31	No	BUY	230	44¢	$101	0xe0208d…
06-13 00:22:22	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	600	17¢	$102	0x766780…
06-11 19:14:00	us iran nuclear deal by july 31	No	BUY	3	57¢	$2	0x9116f8…
06-11 19:07:49	us iran nuclear deal by july 31	No	BUY	95	58¢	$55	0xf34c20…
06-11 18:52:28	us iran nuclear deal by july 31	No	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x880fbe…
06-11 18:43:30	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	Yes	SELL	610	8¢	$50	0x4b960f…
06-11 18:41:42	us iran nuclear deal by july 31	No	BUY	197	57¢	$112	0x6d847e…
06-11 18:07:46	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	Yes	SELL	500	24¢	$120	0xeadcb4…
06-11 18:01:31	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	600	18¢	$108	0x46cfea…
06-11 17:51:34	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	Yes	SELL	610	10¢	$59	0xf6d507…
06-11 17:38:21	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	Yes	BUY	131	8¢	$11	0x75f823…
06-11 17:34:12	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	Yes	BUY	675	8¢	$55	0x13818a…
06-11 17:33:19	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	30	19¢	$6	0x34c85a…
06-11 17:33:13	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	470	19¢	$89	0x845390…
06-11 17:33:03	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	Yes	BUY	322	8¢	$26	0xf185cd…
06-11 17:32:04	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	Yes	BUY	92	8¢	$8	0x20c083…
06-11 17:32:03	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	500	20¢	$100	0x62b002…
06-11 17:05:04	us iran nuclear deal by july 31	No	BUY	200	69¢	$138	0x2ac00c…