Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$11.6K

Unrealized P&L

+$36

Hit rate

88.7%

Resolved

Trades

1,232

lifetime

Volume

$6.71M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$5.45K

Open exposure

$711

1 position

First seen

2026-01-02

last 10-18 22:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 30 days

Categories

Politics

66% 98% +$6,073

Other

34% 100% +$5,528

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 39 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will there be no Hormuz agreement?	Yes		+754	$675	94¢	$711	+$36	10-17 18:34

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	45	$754.2K	250,000	505,222	-255,222	Yes	-$32	04-08 20:41
will the us next strike iran on march 1 2026 et	39	$439.7K	440,154	0	+440,154	No	+$450	02-28 12:49
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	11	$364.3K	364,700	0	+364,700	Yes	+$365	05-09 19:40
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	1	$307.7K	308,000	0	+308,000	Yes	+$308	04-19 12:33
Military action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026?	47	$307.4K	307,674	0	+307,674	Yes	+$308	04-15 03:46
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?	20	$292.6K	292,904	0	+292,904	Yes	+$293	04-24 09:14
us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	2	$251.5K	200,000	51,989	+148,011	Yes	+$348	06-17 19:28
will iran strike israel on march 6	46	$246.0K	246,454	0	+246,454	No	+$443	03-11 23:18
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	28	$233.5K	119,000	115,000	+4,000	Yes	+$243	02-03 13:03
russia strike impacts kyiv municipality during week of march 2 2026	10	$230.7K	74,704	156,330	-81,627	Yes	+$68	03-13 10:29
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	27	$226.9K	183,483	45,000	+138,483	No	+$583	03-04 18:30
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	13	$219.8K	120,000	100,000	+20,000	Yes	+$20	03-25 11:46
will nick shirley attend the 2026 state of the union address	24	$204.3K	204,500	0	+204,500	Yes	+$204	02-28 14:11
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	96	$200.7K	180,085	21,019	+159,066	Yes	+$339	04-08 20:42
us strikes iraq by february 28	21	$178.6K	178,775	0	+178,775	Yes	+$179	03-06 01:44
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?	125	$169.6K	159,782	10,000	+149,782	Yes	+$180	03-13 23:02
us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by january 31	23	$158.6K	158,808	0	+158,808	Yes	+$254	02-03 17:15
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	32	$145.0K	145,261	0	+145,261	Yes	+$241	03-04 00:56
will the us strike somalia next 656	13	$122.7K	122,823	0	+122,823	Yes	+$123	01-26 16:35
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	15	$109.6K	109,841	0	+109,841	Yes	+$220	06-17 18:09
will trump say jesus this week march 8	9	$105.4K	105,555	0	+105,555	Yes	+$156	03-11 22:23
will trump talk to mohammed bin salman in march 915	25	$99.9K	100,000	0	+100,000	Yes	+$100	04-05 14:00
maduro in us custody by january 31	1	$99.9K	100,000	0	+100,000	Yes	+$100	01-06 06:55
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?	25	$99.8K	100,000	0	+100,000	No	+$200	05-30 18:49
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	60	$99.8K	100,000	0	+100,000	No	+$200	05-30 18:47
will a minecraft movie be the top grossing movie of 2025	58	$95.8K	95,887	0	+95,887	Yes	+$96	01-05 17:01
us anti cartel operation on foreign soil by december 31	22	$83.3K	83,377	0	+83,377	Yes	+$83	01-02 23:28
will the us next strike iran before march 2026 et	42	$83.2K	83,253	0	+83,253	Yes	+$101	02-28 10:44
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	86	$77.1K	48,568	30,000	+18,569	No	+$695	03-29 23:18
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 17?	12	$68.4K	68,647	0	+68,647	Yes	+$288	10-17 21:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-18 22:42:20	US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?	No	SELL	2,143	21¢	$450	0xf777a3…
10-18 11:12:15	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?	Yes	SELL	669	99¢	$663	0xcf0b69…
10-18 10:15:48	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?	Yes	SELL	32	99¢	$32	0x9ec8d3…
10-18 09:55:30	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?	Yes	SELL	8,703	99¢	$8,626	0xfb5949…
10-17 21:25:05	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?	Yes	BUY	2,500	98¢	$2,448	0x7c3da4…
10-17 21:12:12	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?	Yes	BUY	2,520	98¢	$2,469	0xa42241…
10-17 21:10:48	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 17?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3c40f4…
10-17 21:10:11	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 17?	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x48f074…
10-17 21:10:09	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 17?	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x3e77cb…
10-17 21:07:42	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 17?	Yes	BUY	44,846	100¢	$44,756	0xf603a5…
10-17 20:45:42	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 17?	Yes	BUY	2,729	100¢	$2,724	0x3f9e6f…
10-17 20:36:45	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 17?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x8920b1…
10-17 20:32:44	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 17?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd5d571…
10-17 20:32:15	US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?	No	SELL	21,438	24¢	$5,145	0xca9161…
10-17 20:15:56	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 17?	Yes	BUY	2,044	100¢	$2,038	0x18b3f2…
10-17 20:06:47	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?	Yes	BUY	2,222	97¢	$2,164	0x651612…
10-17 19:48:36	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 17?	Yes	BUY	172	99¢	$170	0xf6cc69…
10-17 19:44:05	US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?	No	BUY	1	23¢	$0	0xf2f585…
10-17 19:43:29	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?	Yes	BUY	76	97¢	$74	0xb55c8b…
10-17 19:42:09	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 17?	Yes	BUY	1,300	99¢	$1,287	0x029194…
10-17 19:41:44	US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?	No	BUY	45	23¢	$10	0xcff26c…
10-17 19:41:42	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?	Yes	BUY	1,615	98¢	$1,576	0x1c6fe6…
10-17 19:38:42	US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?	No	BUY	48	23¢	$11	0x63082e…
10-17 19:38:41	US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?	No	BUY	15	23¢	$3	0x848195…
10-17 19:38:36	US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?	No	BUY	13	23¢	$3	0xf536e3…
10-17 19:38:35	US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?	No	BUY	8	23¢	$2	0x7ea215…
10-17 19:38:33	US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?	No	BUY	35	23¢	$8	0x1142d2…
10-17 19:38:30	US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?	No	BUY	23,415	23¢	$5,386	0x8e563d…
10-17 19:28:35	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 17?	Yes	BUY	2,800	99¢	$2,775	0x973c31…
10-17 19:26:38	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?	Yes	BUY	500	98¢	$488	0x73296a…
10-17 18:58:08	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?	Yes	BUY	107	98¢	$104	0x6b7a6c…
10-17 18:34:15	Will there be no Hormuz agreement?	Yes	BUY	754	90¢	$675	0x39c83d…
10-17 18:24:42	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?	Yes	BUY	104	95¢	$99	0x23ca8d…
10-17 18:19:54	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?	Yes	BUY	65	95¢	$62	0xc81a55…
10-17 18:16:20	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 17?	Yes	BUY	14,700	99¢	$14,553	0x198da7…
10-17 18:04:23	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?	Yes	BUY	5,000	95¢	$4,770	0x8eed30…
10-17 17:37:21	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?	Yes	BUY	178	96¢	$170	0xe2c853…
10-17 17:27:33	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?	Yes	BUY	22	96¢	$21	0xc993d1…
10-17 17:24:18	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?	Yes	BUY	200	96¢	$191	0x9d1470…
10-17 17:23:59	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?	Yes	BUY	482	96¢	$461	0xce7abc…
10-17 17:16:38	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?	Yes	BUY	353	95¢	$336	0x3e730e…
10-17 17:14:00	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?	Yes	BUY	278	96¢	$267	0xedc521…
10-17 17:09:14	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?	Yes	BUY	2,722	96¢	$2,607	0x7e2c7a…
06-17 19:28:14	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	Yes	SELL	51,989	100¢	$51,937	0x6e8e0c…
06-17 18:09:13	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	719	100¢	$717	0xfee5b3…
06-17 18:02:34	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	29,510	100¢	$29,451	0xa4e79b…
06-17 17:58:26	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50,000	100¢	$49,900	0x82decd…
06-17 17:57:38	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6,000	100¢	$5,988	0xb9fba2…
06-17 17:54:26	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	600	100¢	$599	0xc98e51…
06-17 17:49:38	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	Yes	BUY	200,000	100¢	$199,600	0x89d991…
06-17 17:32:22	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xe6cfa6…
06-17 16:59:32	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,300	100¢	$3,293	0x590374…
06-17 16:55:08	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4,968	100¢	$4,958	0x5621a8…
06-17 16:47:07	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x18f5c7…
06-17 16:47:07	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x063d00…
06-17 16:47:05	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0xf2727a…
06-17 16:39:05	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	695	100¢	$694	0x5c37a3…
06-17 16:36:31	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x21b4c7…
06-17 16:36:16	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x4e0140…
06-17 16:36:05	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14,041	100¢	$14,013	0xf14afe…
06-17 16:25:04	us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	Yes	SELL	8,758	100¢	$8,749	0xe2fe2a…
06-17 15:59:46	us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	Yes	SELL	1,800	100¢	$1,798	0x16656b…
06-17 15:49:13	us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	Yes	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0xbfb6ee…
06-17 15:48:59	us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	Yes	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x967191…
06-17 15:48:40	us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x041784…
06-17 15:42:29	us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x4934c5…
06-17 15:42:25	us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x5805d8…
06-17 15:41:55	us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	Yes	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x784c7a…
06-17 15:41:55	us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	Yes	SELL	126	100¢	$126	0x05486e…
06-17 15:41:40	us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x7c9660…
06-17 15:41:38	us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x141899…
06-17 15:41:37	us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xd40e1c…
06-17 15:41:34	us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x73d9d8…
06-17 15:41:19	us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x7f7b37…
06-17 15:41:16	us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x5c1143…
06-17 15:40:26	us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xd6dead…
06-17 15:40:23	us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x83e4e2…
06-17 15:40:19	us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	Yes	SELL	60	100¢	$60	0xa082e6…
06-17 15:40:14	us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x37d077…
06-17 15:40:14	us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x2ac674…
06-17 15:40:11	us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xc9a571…
06-17 15:40:11	us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xa4739f…
06-17 15:40:11	us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x643b5b…
06-17 15:40:11	us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x61db79…
06-17 15:40:11	us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x3f5d6c…
06-17 15:40:08	us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x090cfc…
06-17 15:39:58	us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xaafd1a…
06-17 15:39:52	us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	Yes	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x17e94a…
06-17 15:39:41	us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x704157…
06-17 15:39:41	us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	Yes	SELL	78	100¢	$78	0x349891…
06-17 15:39:37	us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	Yes	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x33e5eb…
06-17 15:39:29	us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x7a81fe…
06-17 15:39:28	us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	Yes	SELL	74	100¢	$74	0x7b0844…
06-17 15:39:26	us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xefb65c…
06-17 15:39:26	us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xc341fe…
06-17 15:39:26	us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	Yes	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x4cba3a…
06-17 15:39:25	us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x8434c8…
06-17 15:39:25	us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x6c29c5…
06-17 15:39:25	us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x3e5a7a…
06-17 15:39:23	us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x83bb22…