Specific-Shaker — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$6

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

85.4%

Resolved

Trades

9,603

lifetime

Volume

$52.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-08 12:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Other

72% 100% +$18

Crypto

21% 100% +$36

Politics

5% — —

Sports

2% 71% $-48

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

80 active days in 12wk • peak 43 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
highest temperature in nyc on april 18 2026 56 57f	13	$809	446	385	+61	open	—	04-18 16:59
highest temperature in nyc on april 16 2026 90 91f	47	$600	411	220	+191	open	—	04-16 22:19
highest temperature in miami on april 19 2026 88 89f	16	$463	176	298	-122	open	—	04-19 23:15
highest temperature in nyc on april 15 2026 90 91f	36	$425	272	180	+92	open	—	04-16 06:27
highest temperature in dallas on april 13 2026 82forhigher	30	$424	217	254	-38	open	—	04-13 19:00
highest temperature in nyc on april 18 2026 60 61f	33	$414	295	170	+124	open	—	04-18 22:00
highest temperature in austin on april 4 2026 78 79f	15	$404	399	95	+304	open	—	04-04 16:48
highest temperature in nyc on april 14 2026 86 87f	53	$404	329	106	+223	open	—	04-15 03:02
will ethereum reach 2250 by december 31 2026 from june 8	33	$361	580	30	+550	open	—	07-21 16:49
highest temperature in dallas on april 20 2026 71forbelow	50	$355	384	140	+244	open	—	04-20 23:58
highest temperature in los angeles on april 18 2026 72forhigher	12	$353	228	142	+86	open	—	04-18 18:25
highest temperature in nyc on april 13 2026 74 75f	40	$304	288	100	+188	open	—	04-13 22:50
highest temperature in atlanta on april 19 2026 74forhigher	37	$297	229	125	+104	open	—	04-19 23:00
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?	36	$290	337	0	+337	open	—	04-30 04:45
will bitcoin reach 75000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	21	$285	430	0	+430	open	—	06-26 02:16
highest temperature in chicago on april 18 2026 72forhigher	6	$272	139	139	+0	open	—	04-18 14:43
highest temperature in dallas on april 12 2026 74forhigher	42	$270	207	166	+41	open	—	04-13 01:05
highest temperature in nyc on march 7 2026 48forhigher	100	$265	292	260	+32	open	—	03-09 00:46
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	13	$244	30	226	-196	open	—	06-17 19:35
highest temperature in nyc on april 14 2026 84 85f	25	$241	189	137	+52	open	—	04-15 03:02
highest temperature in atlanta on april 17 2026 90 91f	24	$226	182	173	+9	open	—	04-18 03:37
highest temperature in atlanta on april 22 2026 84 85f	32	$222	155	121	+34	open	—	04-22 20:55
highest temperature in dallas on april 1 2026 84forhigher	23	$222	131	113	+17	open	—	04-01 23:07
highest temperature in nyc on april 8 2026 44 45f	7	$216	100	120	-20	open	—	04-08 20:35
highest temperature in denver on april 19 2026 72 73f	10	$212	140	140	+0	open	—	04-20 02:29
highest temperature in dallas on april 19 2026 72 73f	20	$208	231	0	+231	open	—	04-19 21:20
highest temperature in nyc on march 27 2026 66 67f	20	$208	119	119	+0	open	—	03-27 19:59
highest temperature in nyc on april 13 2026 78 79f	42	$206	262	91	+172	open	—	04-13 22:47
Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch?	31	$204	211	2,379	-2,169	open	—	07-05 23:12
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	24	$200	140	150	-10	open	—	01-30 15:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-08 12:55:25	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0x4819b6…
08-08 09:58:46	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	16¢	$16	0x528667…
08-08 09:58:19	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	16¢	$8	0x130145…
08-08 09:58:10	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	16¢	$16	0x89393b…
08-07 20:00:21	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	14¢	$6	0x91d8fb…
08-07 18:22:00	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	14¢	$7	0x769e5f…
08-07 12:16:09	will ethereum reach 2000 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	9	74¢	$7	0x71c655…
08-07 09:55:00	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	13¢	$2	0xf1ba37…
08-07 09:49:43	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	13¢	$3	0x37371b…
08-06 15:37:27	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0xa069c8…
08-05 23:42:41	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0xc58423…
08-05 23:29:36	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0xe76273…
08-05 17:29:35	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x0aa199…
08-05 15:39:30	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	15¢	$4	0x858514…
08-05 10:20:15	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0xb6c7f2…
08-05 01:59:14	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	22¢	$7	0x9cb6d8…
08-05 00:31:54	Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	155	5¢	$8	0xe6c8a0…
08-04 22:08:18	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	22¢	$7	0x1025d3…
08-04 22:07:32	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	65	22¢	$14	0x409fe0…
08-04 21:38:39	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x289c41…
08-03 07:53:42	Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	346	6¢	$21	0x9334ed…
08-03 01:22:06	will ethereum reach 3000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	Yes	SELL	2	17¢	$0	0xc0d1f2…
08-02 09:55:32	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x5048d2…
08-01 23:31:12	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	38¢	$6	0xa20438…
08-01 23:13:48	Abstract FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	0	16¢	$0	0x85043f…
08-01 23:09:11	Abstract FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	52	13¢	$7	0x03098f…
08-01 23:08:48	Abstract FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	50	17¢	$8	0x1956e8…
08-01 23:08:44	Abstract FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	39	15¢	$6	0x124898…
08-01 19:01:29	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x438160…
08-01 14:44:56	will ethereum reach 2000 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x341002…
08-01 14:44:02	will ethereum reach 2000 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x788c35…
08-01 14:30:24	will ethereum reach 2000 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	9	50¢	$4	0xc85e25…
08-01 07:45:03	will ethereum reach 3000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	Yes	BUY	2	13¢	$0	0x20092c…
08-01 06:52:24	will ethereum reach 2750 by december 31 2026 from june 8	Yes	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0xad2f7d…
07-31 17:42:12	will ethereum reach 3000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	Yes	BUY	30	15¢	$4	0x354130…
07-31 11:17:06	will hood dip to 80 by july 27 2026	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xfdad1f…
07-31 08:23:18	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x3c757b…
07-31 00:27:02	amzn up or down on july 31 2026	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x445d57…
07-31 00:26:56	amzn up or down on july 31 2026	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x69a8ab…
07-31 00:25:02	amzn up or down on july 31 2026	Up	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x1b9a93…
07-31 00:25:00	amzn up or down on july 31 2026	Up	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0x0ba6ec…
07-31 00:24:29	amzn up or down on july 31 2026	Up	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xe37813…
07-30 18:56:50	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	26¢	$0	0x213918…
07-30 18:54:44	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	26¢	$1	0x6f26b1…
07-30 12:50:33	Abstract FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	5	15¢	$1	0xa9a227…
07-30 11:29:38	will gpt 6 be released by august 7 2026	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0xb06121…
07-30 11:18:05	Abstract FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	17	13¢	$2	0xc5db3d…
07-30 08:21:26	Abstract FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	31	13¢	$4	0xaf8049…
07-30 03:10:50	will hood dip to 80 by july 27 2026	No	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0xe98d00…
07-30 01:35:51	will tsla dip to 285 in july 2026	No	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0xdba0b7…
07-30 01:35:06	will hood dip to 80 by july 27 2026	No	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0x89e20c…
07-29 22:43:42	Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	90	10¢	$9	0xdbb8e4…
07-29 22:41:27	Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	40	15¢	$6	0xfbff5e…
07-29 19:48:24	qcom quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 29 2026 2pt23	Yes	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0xc68b72…
07-29 19:36:59	qcom quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 29 2026 2pt23	Yes	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x4636c6…
07-29 18:49:06	will warsh say groupthink or group think during july press conference 20260720204109032	No	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x368bd6…
07-29 14:03:11	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x56f53b…
07-29 13:10:45	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x750123…
07-28 21:12:26	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xe3f6c8…
07-28 14:37:22	Abstract FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	6	15¢	$1	0x8ddba3…
07-28 07:35:21	Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	5	14¢	$1	0xf4fc10…
07-28 07:31:24	Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	15	14¢	$2	0xeb8157…
07-27 19:39:52	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x7963ef…
07-27 12:57:27	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	11¢	$6	0xef9745…
07-27 09:11:33	will ethereum reach 3000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	Yes	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0x471303…
07-26 22:27:24	Abstract FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	85	12¢	$10	0x31acca…
07-26 22:27:04	Abstract FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	2	11¢	$0	0x51765d…
07-26 22:26:49	Abstract FDV above $600M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	30	22¢	$7	0x1685ee…
07-26 22:26:15	Abstract FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	80	14¢	$11	0x5cdbbc…
07-26 20:01:30	will ethereum reach 3000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	Yes	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0x87e31a…
07-25 06:40:10	Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	0	14¢	$0	0x8b5fde…
07-25 01:36:51	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x3326f9…
07-24 19:10:57	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x9c622f…
07-24 13:26:12	Cambria FDV above $20M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	5	58¢	$3	0x07c8bb…
07-24 02:51:42	Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	6¢	$1	0x7b2bed…
07-23 14:47:49	will amzn dip to 216 in july 2026	No	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0xefdae7…
07-23 13:56:40	will tsla dip to 300 in july 2026	No	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x37e764…
07-23 02:40:27	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xa5b863…
07-23 02:40:16	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	37¢	$1	0x57ed63…
07-23 01:22:46	will gpt 6 be released by august 14 2026	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xc94cb9…
07-22 23:27:28	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	38¢	$4	0x86dbf7…
07-22 21:38:13	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	38¢	$2	0xf1010f…
07-22 21:15:22	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0xa596da…
07-22 20:39:33	will tsla dip to 360 in july 2026	No	SELL	10	19¢	$2	0xdba9c2…
07-22 20:18:16	will tsla dip to 330 in july 2026	No	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0x2aa904…
07-22 20:07:30	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0xc8ee83…
07-22 20:05:37	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0x6e6632…
07-22 20:04:19	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0x275af1…
07-22 19:01:18	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x796460…
07-22 16:14:52	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xd66070…
07-22 11:37:52	Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	17	6¢	$1	0xc9b31b…
07-22 10:01:57	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x465ef7…
07-22 10:01:46	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x2b267d…
07-22 08:49:58	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x6f2791…
07-22 01:42:25	Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	32	6¢	$2	0xb4f3c7…
07-21 16:49:25	will ethereum reach 2250 by december 31 2026 from june 8	Yes	SELL	30	89¢	$27	0xda8ead…
07-21 11:12:43	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x790f51…
07-21 09:31:54	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xe27d18…
07-20 09:52:24	Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	10	14¢	$1	0xdd186e…
07-19 18:46:27	Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	300	7¢	$21	0xe3c1dc…