Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$3
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
31
lifetime
Volume
$767
lifetime
Avg / trade
$25
Open exposure
$251
14 positions
First seen
2026-05-13
last 06-17 21:06
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
66%
Other
33%
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
6 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No -55 $-52 96¢ $-52 $-1 06-10 13:29
Starmer out by December 31, 2026? Yes -62 $-46 85¢ $-52 $-6 06-10 13:31
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes -158 $-44 29¢ $-45 $-1 06-17 21:06
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026? Yes -249 $-26 11¢ $-27 $-1 06-17 21:05
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? Yes -185 $-24 14¢ $-25 $-1 06-17 21:05
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -126 $-15 12¢ $-16 $-1 06-17 21:05
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? Yes -115 $-8 $-9 $-1 06-17 21:04
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? Yes -149 $-7 $-8 $-0 06-17 21:04
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? Yes -1,200 $-18 $-4 +$14 06-10 13:30
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? Yes -289 $-3 $-4 $-1 06-17 21:04
Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season? Yes -67 $-3 $-4 $-1 06-17 21:04
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? Yes -385 $-3 $-2 +$1 06-17 21:03
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? Yes -250 $-2 $-2 +$0 06-17 21:04
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? Yes -455 $-3 $-2 +$2 06-10 13:30