Realized P&L (90d)
Unrealized P&L
+$7
Hit rate
Resolved (90d)
0
Trades (90d)
22
22 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$379
$379 lifetime
Avg / trade
$17
Open exposure
$386
22 positions
First seen
2026-05-13
last 05-13 05:18
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
63%
Politics
32%
Crypto
3%
Sports
3%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
1 active day in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? Yes +185 $50 26¢ $49 $-1 05-13 05:02
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? Yes +385 $50 12¢ $48 $-2 05-13 04:58
Starmer out by December 31, 2026? Yes +62 $40 78¢ $48 +$8 05-13 04:48
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? Yes +714 $50 $46 $-4 05-13 04:58
Iran closes its airspace by May 24? Yes +185 $50 22¢ $40 $-10 05-13 05:17
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? Yes +600 $30 $27 $-3 05-13 05:18
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026? Yes +203 $10 13¢ $26 +$16 05-13 04:51
Will Trump say "Sleepy Joe" during events with Xi Jinping? Yes +173 $20 12¢ $20 $-0 05-13 05:07
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? Yes +32 $20 62¢ $20 $-0 05-13 04:47
Will Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping? Yes +68 $10 18¢ $12 +$2 05-13 05:06
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? Yes +28 $11 40¢ $11 +$0 05-13 05:09
Iran closes its airspace by May 18? Yes +111 $10 10¢ $11 +$1 05-13 05:17
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31? Yes +29 $10 36¢ $10 +$0 05-13 04:52
Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season? Yes +67 $10 15¢ $10 $-0 05-13 05:08
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on May 14? Yes +91 $1 $2 +$1 05-13 05:16
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 14? Yes +167 $1 $1 +$0 05-13 05:16
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 14? Yes +14 $1 $1 +$0 05-13 05:16
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026? Yes +4 $1 27¢ $1 +$0 05-13 05:12
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on May 14? Yes +4 $1 29¢ $1 +$0 05-13 05:16
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on May 14? Yes +30 $1 $1 $-0 05-13 05:16
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026? Yes +17 $1 $1 $-0 05-13 05:04
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026? Yes +45 $1 $1 $-0 05-13 05:04