Blue-Bagpipe — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$298

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

19.4%

Resolved

Trades

3,980

lifetime

Volume

$3.02M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$759

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 07-17 12:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

53% 60% +$16

Politics

37% 0% $-315

Crypto

7% — —

Tech

2% — —

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

27 active days in 12wk • peak 55 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	38	$547.1K	296,497	251,497	+45,000	open	—	03-04 19:22
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	19	$181.3K	112,336	69,169	+43,167	open	—	03-04 19:25
will hyperliquid be accused of insider trading	113	$154.2K	92,117	62,741	+29,375	open	—	02-26 13:45
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	78	$110.9K	80,386	30,704	+49,681	open	—	02-28 09:04
will paradex launch a token on march 5	25	$105.0K	48,593	56,579	-7,987	open	—	03-05 18:34
elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 240 259	70	$98.3K	98,436	103	+98,333	open	—	02-17 20:59
will axiom be accused of insider trading	44	$92.7K	62,865	30,000	+32,865	open	—	02-26 13:48
elon musk of tweets january 6 january 13 560 579	26	$86.3K	86,388	0	+86,388	open	—	01-13 17:05
elon musk of tweets december 30 january 6 520 539	1	$80.7K	80,802	0	+80,802	open	—	01-06 17:00
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	41	$78.9K	139,437	134,437	+5,000	open	—	04-09 20:53
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	30	$74.2K	59,200	15,700	+43,500	open	—	04-08 12:37
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 360 379	12	$60.4K	59,807	724	+59,084	open	—	03-10 16:35
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	14	$59.9K	30,000	30,000	+0	open	—	06-01 12:24
over 50m committed to the ranger public sale nd7b 655	60	$56.0K	47,505	16,548	+30,958	open	—	01-10 15:44
elon musk of tweets february 2 february 4 65 89	75	$54.6K	54,702	153	+54,549	open	—	02-04 18:16
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 340 359	74	$49.2K	24,951	24,412	+540	open	—	03-10 17:05
Will MegaETH launch a token by May 31, 2026?	42	$44.1K	23,409	21,424	+1,984	open	—	04-30 09:33
Trove FDV above $80M one day after launch?	9	$39.3K	19,709	19,708	+0	open	—	01-20 16:27
elon musk of tweets january 13 january 20 460 479	30	$37.6K	37,645	0	+37,645	open	—	01-20 06:50
will zachxbt release his investigation on february 26	161	$35.8K	18,732	18,539	+193	open	—	02-26 10:46
will zachxbt release his investigation on february 27	174	$34.6K	19,123	15,997	+3,126	open	—	02-26 13:42
Over $6M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	33	$34.3K	34,524	0	+34,524	open	—	03-27 22:54
andrew tate of tweets march 6 march 13 2026 0 99	293	$32.0K	21,719	15,514	+6,205	open	—	03-13 10:04
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	8	$32.0K	32,000	0	+32,000	open	—	06-17 15:58
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	75	$31.7K	163,950	132,250	+31,700	open	—	06-03 19:58
over 25m committed to the laso finance public sale 663 611 164	8	$27.9K	27,909	0	+27,909	open	—	07-04 17:43
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	9	$27.8K	14,063	13,863	+200	open	—	03-01 01:33
Over $2M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	14	$25.0K	12,892	12,892	+0	open	—	02-07 18:34
Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?	11	$24.1K	24,090	0	+24,090	open	—	03-24 21:19
will megaeth perform an airdrop by january 31 933 879 443	22	$23.5K	15,367	8,353	+7,013	open	—	01-30 20:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-17 12:28:27	over 30m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325652	Yes	BUY	76	97¢	$74	0x6c90e9…
07-16 18:31:22	over 30m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325652	Yes	BUY	917	90¢	$826	0xc6f9c6…
07-16 18:27:07	over 30m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325652	Yes	BUY	40	90¢	$36	0x351f74…
07-16 18:22:13	over 30m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325652	Yes	BUY	43	90¢	$38	0x1620ed…
07-16 12:43:53	over 30m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325652	Yes	BUY	915	88¢	$806	0xe4df6f…
07-16 12:42:59	over 30m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325652	Yes	BUY	1,000	88¢	$880	0x4a4d0e…
07-16 12:20:50	over 30m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325652	Yes	BUY	85	88¢	$74	0xccffeb…
07-15 21:25:37	over 30m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325652	Yes	BUY	450	88¢	$396	0x10c143…
07-15 21:22:25	over 30m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325652	Yes	BUY	50	88¢	$44	0x33c94d…
07-15 21:01:25	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	620	99¢	$615	0x30509c…
07-15 21:01:25	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	380	99¢	$377	0x08cfef…
07-15 18:22:05	over 30m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325652	Yes	BUY	883	89¢	$786	0x116d26…
07-15 18:21:11	over 30m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325652	Yes	BUY	43	89¢	$38	0xe19c50…
07-15 18:21:10	over 30m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325652	Yes	BUY	182	89¢	$162	0x6d0c31…
07-15 18:02:53	over 30m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325652	Yes	BUY	371	89¢	$330	0x5cdd7a…
07-15 18:02:53	over 30m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325652	Yes	BUY	22	89¢	$20	0x46764d…
07-04 17:43:38	over 25m committed to the laso finance public sale 663 611 164	Yes	BUY	113	100¢	$113	0xb1c352…
07-04 17:32:11	over 25m committed to the laso finance public sale 663 611 164	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x0111c5…
07-04 17:31:44	over 25m committed to the laso finance public sale 663 611 164	Yes	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0x9ceaf1…
07-04 17:30:49	over 25m committed to the laso finance public sale 663 611 164	Yes	BUY	1,300	100¢	$1,299	0xc2d424…
07-04 17:30:10	over 25m committed to the laso finance public sale 663 611 164	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x5687d2…
07-04 17:03:25	over 25m committed to the laso finance public sale 663 611 164	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x98754a…
07-04 16:52:02	over 25m committed to the laso finance public sale 663 611 164	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x5ee284…
07-04 16:51:56	over 25m committed to the laso finance public sale 663 611 164	Yes	BUY	23,194	100¢	$23,171	0xb8b91f…
07-04 16:18:41	over 50m committed to the laso finance public sale	Yes	SELL	126	2¢	$3	0x890882…
07-04 16:18:31	over 50m committed to the laso finance public sale	Yes	SELL	175	2¢	$4	0xeb69b9…
07-04 16:15:47	over 50m committed to the laso finance public sale	Yes	SELL	59	5¢	$3	0xb89b58…
07-04 16:03:32	over 50m committed to the laso finance public sale	Yes	SELL	100	5¢	$5	0x92c3fe…
07-04 16:01:41	over 50m committed to the laso finance public sale	Yes	SELL	25	5¢	$1	0xcc5c72…
07-04 15:51:08	over 50m committed to the laso finance public sale	Yes	SELL	250	4¢	$10	0xfdb108…
07-01 10:32:14	over 10m committed to the laso finance public sale 755 669	Yes	SELL	1,221	100¢	$1,220	0x5fb59c…
07-01 08:25:43	over 15m committed to the laso finance public sale 569 797 552 477 859	Yes	SELL	421	94¢	$396	0xfc9e0d…
06-30 20:49:47	over 50m committed to the laso finance public sale	Yes	BUY	735	5¢	$37	0x72c804…
06-30 19:17:41	over 15m committed to the laso finance public sale	Yes	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0x06632c…
06-30 18:13:23	over 15m committed to the laso finance public sale	Yes	BUY	9	20¢	$2	0xc0c9c9…
06-30 18:12:25	over 15m committed to the laso finance public sale	Yes	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0xf26c2d…
06-30 17:32:37	over 15m committed to the laso finance public sale	Yes	BUY	400	20¢	$80	0x469662…
06-30 17:28:58	over 3m committed to the laso finance public sale	Yes	BUY	1,801	77¢	$1,381	0x0a0d32…
06-30 17:28:43	over 1m committed to the laso finance public sale	Yes	BUY	2,269	95¢	$2,156	0xfb82aa…
06-30 17:25:19	over 10m committed to the laso finance public sale	Yes	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0xe5fe9b…
06-30 17:25:17	over 10m committed to the laso finance public sale	Yes	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x4696e0…
06-30 17:25:14	over 10m committed to the laso finance public sale	Yes	BUY	15	29¢	$4	0xe7c529…
06-30 17:25:14	over 10m committed to the laso finance public sale	Yes	BUY	28	29¢	$8	0x36be96…
06-30 17:25:13	over 10m committed to the laso finance public sale	Yes	BUY	84	29¢	$24	0xc9eef1…
06-30 17:25:13	over 10m committed to the laso finance public sale	Yes	BUY	423	29¢	$123	0x222b7f…
06-30 17:24:01	over 10m committed to the laso finance public sale	Yes	BUY	8	29¢	$2	0x88e924…
06-30 17:23:55	over 10m committed to the laso finance public sale	Yes	BUY	352	29¢	$102	0x54f71d…
06-30 17:05:47	over 10m committed to the laso finance public sale	Yes	BUY	25	30¢	$8	0x575c4b…
06-30 14:56:35	over 10m committed to the laso finance public sale	Yes	BUY	30	30¢	$9	0xac246f…
06-30 14:45:29	over 10m committed to the laso finance public sale	Yes	BUY	13	30¢	$4	0x7f2073…
06-30 14:45:29	over 10m committed to the laso finance public sale	Yes	BUY	132	30¢	$40	0x384c49…
06-30 08:38:23	over 10m committed to the laso finance public sale	Yes	BUY	60	30¢	$18	0x2a5d55…
06-30 08:22:56	over 10m committed to the laso finance public sale	Yes	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x359e2d…
06-17 22:55:22	will arcium launch a token by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	57	70¢	$40	0xc7eec9…
06-17 22:47:08	will arcium launch a token by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	16	69¢	$11	0x95a78f…
06-17 15:58:47	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,476	100¢	$3,472	0xb25ac9…
06-17 15:47:28	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x1b8ab9…
06-17 15:46:35	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5,000	100¢	$4,995	0xfa2a33…
06-17 15:46:28	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x850f4a…
06-17 15:46:20	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10,000	100¢	$9,990	0x3778e8…
06-17 15:46:11	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5,000	100¢	$4,995	0xf8e419…
06-17 15:46:04	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5,000	100¢	$4,995	0x3614ca…
06-17 15:45:56	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,522	100¢	$3,519	0x4fdc8f…
06-17 11:20:26	will arcium launch a token by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0xa00f56…
06-17 10:05:10	will arcium launch a token by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	100	77¢	$77	0xc0e6d4…
06-17 09:58:41	will arcium launch a token by december 31 2027	Yes	BUY	240	97¢	$234	0x663a06…
06-15 19:12:28	will arcium launch a token by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	40	60¢	$24	0x37e43a…
06-14 22:03:57	us x iran permanent peace deal by august 31 2026	Yes	SELL	267	91¢	$243	0x83e9e9…
06-14 22:02:57	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	120	84¢	$100	0x246cc8…
06-14 22:02:54	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	80	84¢	$68	0x7b8736…
06-14 22:00:25	us x iran permanent peace deal by august 31 2026	Yes	SELL	7	91¢	$6	0x495662…
06-14 21:58:01	us x iran permanent peace deal by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	400	89¢	$356	0x1e8357…
06-14 21:42:52	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	83¢	$166	0x257a1a…
06-14 21:28:55	us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	Yes	SELL	50	31¢	$16	0x1d192c…
06-14 21:26:03	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	119	58¢	$69	0xf701a4…
06-14 21:21:33	us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	Yes	BUY	50	64¢	$32	0xe95371…
06-14 21:18:39	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0x609b2c…
06-14 21:18:37	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	40	54¢	$22	0x25a154…
06-14 21:18:22	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0x218034…
06-14 21:18:04	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xec1bdf…
06-13 19:28:34	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	778	26¢	$200	0xcad3dc…
06-13 19:27:54	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	149	26¢	$38	0x090dfd…
06-13 19:26:03	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	6	26¢	$2	0x2224bc…
06-13 19:26:01	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	4	26¢	$1	0xc03a59…
06-13 19:26:01	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	409	26¢	$105	0x2fd1b0…
06-13 17:20:33	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	400	33¢	$132	0x140d17…
06-13 17:15:42	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	1,000	35¢	$354	0x3babab…
06-13 17:14:15	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	500	36¢	$180	0xf0f838…
06-10 05:25:00	Will the DFM Real Estate Index hit 14,000 in 2026?	No	SELL	13	70¢	$9	0x3541c0…
06-09 22:02:07	will arcium launch a token by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	100	72¢	$72	0x638d9f…
06-09 17:17:36	will a claude mythos model be released by june 15 2026	Yes	BUY	8,788	100¢	$8,771	0x91b108…
06-09 17:12:15	will a claude mythos model be released by june 15 2026	Yes	BUY	62	100¢	$61	0x4567bb…
06-09 17:11:58	will a claude mythos model be released by june 15 2026	Yes	BUY	1,150	100¢	$1,148	0xc33a79…
06-09 17:07:24	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20,000	100¢	$19,980	0xcfdd82…
06-09 17:02:01	will a claude mythos model be released by june 10 2026 989	Yes	BUY	0	97¢	$0	0xae24b6…
06-09 17:02:01	will a claude mythos model be released by june 10 2026 989	Yes	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x653325…
06-09 15:35:57	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	Yes	SELL	67	84¢	$56	0xf8c448…
06-09 15:35:07	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	Yes	SELL	4	84¢	$3	0x2ff911…
06-09 15:33:48	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	Yes	SELL	4	84¢	$4	0x28cfc8…
06-09 15:33:31	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	Yes	SELL	4	84¢	$3	0x8383eb…