Realized P&L
-$1.78K
Unrealized P&L
-$1.21K
Hit rate
40.0%
Resolved
2
Trades
4,004
lifetime
Volume
$234.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$59
Open exposure
$3.52K
23 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-01 20:22
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Other
35%
Politics
26% 0% $-2,146
Crypto
23%
Sports
12% 100% +$364
Pop-Culture
3%
Tech
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
41 active days in 12wk • peak 31 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? No +4,881 $1,798 24¢ $1.2K $-602 06-02 15:35
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? No +513 $503 98¢ $504 +$1 06-05 20:56
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? Yes +2,119 $1,032 24¢ $498 $-534 06-25 21:50
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? No +377 $234 94¢ $353 +$120 06-07 23:47
OpenAI IPO before 2027? Yes +1,104 $514 26¢ $282 $-232 06-10 21:23
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? No +321 $231 86¢ $278 +$47 06-05 15:36
Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch? No +216 $79 46¢ $99 +$21 05-31 10:16
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? No +203 $104 36¢ $74 $-29 06-10 22:14
Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch? Yes +97 $53 54¢ $52 $-1 07-01 20:22
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch? No +45 $34 84¢ $38 +$4 06-24 09:56
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? Yes +501 $37 $31 $-6 06-23 22:51
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? Yes +1,408 $30 $26 $-4 06-03 09:01
Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027? No +37 $22 66¢ $24 +$2 06-18 16:50
Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027? No +20 $16 94¢ $19 +$3 06-09 13:29
Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch? Yes +55 $8 16¢ $9 +$1 06-30 00:45
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +32 $9 26¢ $8 $-0 07-01 09:24
US strike on Mexico by December 31? No +9 $5 83¢ $7 +$2 06-26 17:10
Will Perena launch a token by September 30, 2026? Yes +17 $6 30¢ $5 $-1 06-11 14:07
Will Loopscale launch a token by September 30, 2026? No +5 $2 88¢ $4 +$2 06-01 19:27
Andy Jassy out as Amazon CEO before 2027? Yes +53 $2 $2 +$1 06-09 07:57
Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026 Yes +12 $3 20¢ $2 $-1 05-31 10:36
Will Loopscale launch a token by September 30, 2026? Yes +16 $1 12¢ $2 +$1 06-24 08:42
Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027? Yes +12 $3 12¢ $1 $-1 06-09 14:55