Realized P&L
-$1.78K
Unrealized P&L
+$310
Hit rate
40.0%
Resolved
2
Trades
4,005
lifetime
Volume
$234.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$59
Open exposure
$5.04K
24 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-02 07:33
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Other
35%
Politics
26% 0% $-2,146
Crypto
23%
Sports
12% 100% +$364
Pop-Culture
3%
Tech
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
26 active days in 12wk • peak 31 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? No +4,881 $1,798 57¢ $2.8K +$1,009 06-02 15:35
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? No +513 $503 98¢ $503 +$0 06-05 20:56
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? Yes +2,119 $1,032 19¢ $403 $-630 06-25 21:50
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? No +377 $234 91¢ $343 +$110 06-07 23:47
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? No +321 $231 90¢ $291 +$60 06-05 15:36
OpenAI IPO before 2027? Yes +1,104 $514 20¢ $215 $-298 06-10 21:23
Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch? No +216 $79 60¢ $129 +$51 05-31 10:16
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? No +203 $104 48¢ $96 $-7 06-10 22:14
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? Yes +501 $37 $45 +$8 06-23 22:51
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch? No +45 $34 86¢ $39 +$5 06-24 09:56
Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch? Yes +97 $53 40¢ $39 $-14 07-01 20:22
Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027? No +37 $22 86¢ $32 +$9 06-18 16:50
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? Yes +1,408 $30 $27 $-2 06-03 09:01
Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027? No +20 $16 94¢ $19 +$3 06-09 13:29
Fannie Mae IPO before 2027? Yes +47 $5 22¢ $10 +$5 07-02 07:33
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +32 $9 32¢ $10 +$1 07-01 09:24
US strike on Mexico by December 31? No +9 $5 88¢ $8 +$3 06-26 17:10
Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch? Yes +55 $8 10¢ $6 $-3 06-30 00:45
Will Perena launch a token by September 30, 2026? Yes +17 $6 28¢ $5 $-1 06-11 14:07
Will Loopscale launch a token by September 30, 2026? No +5 $2 90¢ $4 +$2 06-01 19:27
Andy Jassy out as Amazon CEO before 2027? Yes +53 $2 $4 +$2 06-09 07:57
Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026 Yes +12 $3 16¢ $2 $-1 05-31 10:36
Will Loopscale launch a token by September 30, 2026? Yes +16 $1 10¢ $2 +$0 06-24 08:42
Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027? Yes +12 $3 12¢ $2 $-1 06-09 14:55