Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$20

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

77.7%

Resolved

186

Trades

4,523

lifetime

Volume

$20.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-05-29

last 09-15 03:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 73 days

Categories

Politics

44% 70% -$15

Other

43% 74% -$16

Crypto

10% 77% +$2

Tech

3% 83% +$8

Sports

0% 100% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 134 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+0	$1	4¢	$0	-$1	08-29 19:48

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	205	$1.2K	1,643	1,643	+0	No	+$2	08-07 23:07
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?	234	$931	1,222	1,222	+0	Yes	+$15	06-20 13:24
will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	132	$812	886	875	+11	Yes	+$7	07-23 06:29
will wti reach 95 in july 2026	123	$744	881	872	+8	No	+$4	07-26 22:47
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	149	$618	709	709	+0	Yes	+$9	06-26 16:15
israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	148	$594	976	976	+0	No	+$12	06-26 16:54
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	144	$444	695	700	-5	Yes	+$11	06-07 16:34
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	101	$442	535	521	+14	No	-$1	06-20 13:30
will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by july 31 2026 20260716215104507	75	$432	447	447	+0	Yes	+$7	07-21 18:35
will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	106	$387	517	517	+0	No	+$8	06-29 15:01
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	51	$350	361	361	+0	No	+$4	08-06 18:53
will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	57	$317	466	449	+17	No	-$2	07-25 20:04
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	96	$316	632	632	+0	Yes	+$4	07-27 14:11
iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	52	$298	440	440	+0	No	-$1	07-15 23:27
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	101	$289	542	542	+0	No	+$5	06-01 05:21
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	48	$286	385	385	+0	No	-$10	07-17 23:12
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?	47	$271	278	278	+0	Yes	-$3	07-20 01:17
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	66	$235	268	268	+0	No	+$2	06-06 23:07
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	51	$223	252	252	+0	Yes	+$5	06-20 14:09
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	32	$221	304	304	+0	Yes	+$3	08-03 23:02
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	55	$216	501	501	+0	No	+$3	07-27 13:42
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	51	$211	410	410	+0	Yes	+$4	07-30 22:48
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	53	$210	459	459	+0	open	—	08-28 17:04
uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	44	$209	240	240	+0	No	+$1	07-31 11:01
will wti reach 90 in july 2026 from july 27	39	$208	291	291	+0	No	+$5	07-30 08:41
iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	29	$202	339	339	+0	No	+$4	07-24 06:13
will bitcoin dip to 62pt5k in july 2026 from july 14	37	$199	206	206	+0	Yes	+$4	07-29 21:02
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	47	$196	256	256	+0	No	+$3	07-03 20:38
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	33	$181	260	260	+0	Yes	+$3	08-05 20:06
us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157	34	$172	374	374	+0	open	—	08-18 13:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-15 03:56:39	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0x5e5e03…
08-29 19:48:15	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	9¢	$1	0x6ffa91…
08-29 18:25:03	Will Ethereum dip to $1,750 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	20¢	$2	0xb76ea7…
08-29 14:20:24	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	17	34¢	$6	0xc9352d…
08-29 14:08:13	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	34¢	$0	0x4d5cc2…
08-28 17:04:39	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	SELL	14	18¢	$3	0x866d2d…
08-28 17:00:54	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	SELL	14	18¢	$2	0x8f8ba6…
08-28 16:52:52	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	SELL	2	18¢	$0	0x705673…
08-27 16:34:12	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	25	30¢	$8	0x679f0a…
08-26 08:52:42	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	26	29¢	$8	0x096c31…
08-24 08:55:39	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	35	14¢	$5	0xd09c18…
08-23 13:32:31	Will Ethereum dip to $1,750 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	9	80¢	$7	0x228920…
08-22 19:53:39	will ethereum reach 2600 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	6	49¢	$3	0xffcb92…
08-22 19:51:28	will ethereum reach 2600 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	10	49¢	$5	0x959669…
08-22 18:25:04	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0xfba54c…
08-22 18:23:37	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	7	22¢	$1	0x5e3c98…
08-22 18:23:25	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	7	22¢	$1	0x681cc1…
08-22 18:23:24	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	2	22¢	$0	0xc732cf…
08-22 18:19:39	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	7	21¢	$2	0x420cab…
08-22 18:19:33	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	7	21¢	$2	0x67aad2…
08-22 18:19:24	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	6	21¢	$1	0xc501ba…
08-22 17:26:18	will bitcoin reach 85k in august 2026	Yes	SELL	35	21¢	$7	0x36896e…
08-22 17:25:46	will bitcoin reach 85k in august 2026	Yes	BUY	35	20¢	$7	0xac1cb9…
08-22 17:09:33	will bitcoin reach 85k in august 2026	Yes	SELL	36	20¢	$7	0x034223…
08-22 16:45:15	will ethereum reach 2600 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	16	46¢	$7	0x4199ec…
08-22 16:44:03	will bitcoin reach 80k in august 2026	Yes	SELL	6	63¢	$4	0xe6688a…
08-22 12:12:09	will xrp reach 1pt8 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	17	17¢	$3	0x3defb4…
08-22 12:04:54	will xrp reach 1pt8 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	11	17¢	$2	0xf0c619…
08-22 11:47:57	will xrp reach 1pt8 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	7	16¢	$1	0xc3839c…
08-22 11:28:45	will xrp reach 1pt8 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	36	15¢	$5	0x58f13b…
08-22 09:37:34	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	27	28¢	$8	0xca2ce8…
08-22 08:36:13	will bitcoin reach 85000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	No	BUY	19	39¢	$7	0x50daee…
08-22 08:29:28	will bitcoin reach 80k in august 2026	Yes	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xb7f735…
08-22 08:27:37	will bitcoin reach 80k in august 2026	No	SELL	17	38¢	$6	0xe31028…
08-22 08:24:12	will bitcoin reach 80k in august 2026	No	SELL	3	39¢	$1	0x8b34db…
08-22 08:22:48	will bitcoin reach 80k in august 2026	No	BUY	19	38¢	$7	0xafaf43…
08-22 08:07:16	will bitcoin reach 80k in august 2026	Yes	BUY	1	61¢	$1	0x9dc67e…
08-22 07:38:24	will ethereum dip to 1750 by december 31 2026 20260806184731889	No	BUY	9	78¢	$7	0xe114a0…
08-22 07:27:01	will bitcoin reach 85k in august 2026	Yes	BUY	27	20¢	$5	0xe55050…
08-22 07:26:58	will bitcoin reach 85k in august 2026	Yes	BUY	9	20¢	$2	0xa7da5b…
08-22 06:55:31	will wti reach 95 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	30	25¢	$8	0x98cc21…
08-22 00:27:37	will wti reach 95 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	30	24¢	$7	0x5e3e1b…
08-21 21:33:18	will bitcoin reach 82pt5k in august 2026	Yes	SELL	20	45¢	$9	0xda4766…
08-21 18:45:48	will bitcoin reach 80000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	No	SELL	17	15¢	$2	0x76e156…
08-21 18:08:54	will bitcoin reach 82pt5k in august 2026	Yes	BUY	18	37¢	$7	0xbe235b…
08-21 18:08:18	will bitcoin reach 82pt5k in august 2026	Yes	BUY	2	37¢	$1	0x564645…
08-21 16:48:06	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	27¢	$7	0x88e063…
08-21 15:24:51	Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	8	84¢	$7	0xa61c1a…
08-21 15:03:52	will bitcoin reach 80000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	No	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x2002ca…
08-21 15:02:04	will bitcoin reach 80000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	No	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xa7494e…
08-21 14:48:21	Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	17¢	$3	0x1a544d…
08-21 14:28:22	will bitcoin reach 80000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	No	BUY	1	18¢	$0	0x23c7db…
08-21 13:57:19	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	32	24¢	$8	0x3d3810…
08-21 13:38:16	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	32	23¢	$7	0x1afc9d…
08-21 13:31:36	Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	18¢	$1	0xda451a…
08-21 13:30:42	Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	15¢	$4	0x688894…
08-21 12:28:19	Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	85¢	$0	0x15253e…
08-21 11:45:43	Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	9	82¢	$7	0x0496ab…
08-21 11:24:30	will wti reach 95 in august 2026	No	SELL	9	73¢	$6	0x3a0dd6…
08-21 11:16:04	will wti reach 95 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	6	32¢	$2	0xe36140…
08-21 11:15:57	will wti reach 95 in august 2026	No	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xae6b97…
08-21 11:10:42	will wti reach 95 in august 2026	No	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0x39635c…
08-21 10:15:30	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	28¢	$4	0x555f3c…
08-21 09:38:42	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x264a43…
08-21 09:38:28	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x7cea2f…
08-21 06:15:18	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	23	27¢	$6	0xc8b39d…
08-21 06:02:52	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	26¢	$7	0x7b6bf2…
08-21 04:56:31	will bitcoin reach 82pt5k in august 2026	Yes	SELL	45	17¢	$7	0x1f92d1…
08-21 02:52:36	will bitcoin reach 82pt5k in august 2026	Yes	BUY	0	16¢	$0	0xba8793…
08-21 02:52:34	will bitcoin reach 82pt5k in august 2026	Yes	BUY	45	16¢	$7	0xcf443a…
08-21 02:22:40	will ethereum reach 2700 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	33	18¢	$6	0xda8c8b…
08-21 01:49:30	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	28¢	$7	0x447705…
08-21 00:19:12	will ethereum reach 2500 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	6	46¢	$3	0x3b1ea2…
08-21 00:19:10	will ethereum reach 2500 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	10	46¢	$5	0xd389f0…
08-21 00:16:22	will ethereum reach 2400 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	8	74¢	$6	0x628a7b…
08-21 00:10:03	will ethereum reach 2400 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	2	72¢	$2	0xc09521…
08-20 23:25:27	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	Yes	SELL	19	39¢	$7	0xdcf149…
08-20 23:25:13	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	No	SELL	12	62¢	$7	0x4c84a5…
08-20 23:24:07	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	19	38¢	$7	0x9e7f9a…
08-20 23:23:45	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	No	BUY	12	60¢	$7	0x6754fe…
08-20 23:22:30	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	Yes	SELL	19	39¢	$7	0x2ddba4…
08-20 23:22:25	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	19	38¢	$7	0x518a79…
08-20 22:50:04	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	Yes	SELL	26	30¢	$8	0x467e1b…
08-20 22:48:04	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	26	28¢	$7	0xf78791…
08-20 22:35:16	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	29	51¢	$15	0x8bff5f…
08-20 22:11:24	will bitcoin reach 74k august 17 23 2026	No	BUY	16	46¢	$7	0xccf261…
08-20 21:58:33	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	14	50¢	$7	0x5148b4…
08-20 21:58:24	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	Yes	SELL	22	34¢	$7	0xd5a4fe…
08-20 21:58:24	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	14	50¢	$7	0xd3b40c…
08-20 21:58:24	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	49¢	$7	0x62da39…
08-20 21:57:34	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	48¢	$7	0x2b4883…
08-20 21:55:36	will ethereum reach 2400 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x1b81cd…
08-20 21:16:24	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	50¢	$8	0x88c6af…
08-20 21:15:40	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	46¢	$5	0x0949ef…
08-20 21:15:36	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	46¢	$2	0xcda769…
08-20 21:10:49	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	45¢	$7	0x8c79b1…
08-20 21:07:09	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	45¢	$7	0xa5eafb…
08-20 21:06:39	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	22	33¢	$7	0xe3d15c…
08-20 20:56:25	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	No	SELL	17	44¢	$7	0xbbb21d…
08-20 20:47:34	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	Yes	SELL	23	33¢	$8	0x93913d…