Tender-Sycamore — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.24K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

2,580

lifetime

Volume

$1.46M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$567

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-14 07:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

60% 100% +$457

Politics

24% 100% +$780

Tech

8% — —

Crypto

8% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

22 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	272	$493.0K	275,964	234,040	+41,924	open	—	01-28 15:08
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	178	$158.3K	84,779	74,891	+9,887	open	—	03-25 00:32
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	114	$98.7K	47,121	52,659	-5,538	open	—	03-04 16:24
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?	72	$75.3K	37,418	39,842	-2,424	open	—	03-06 20:13
will google have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	400	$74.5K	43,056	31,671	+11,385	open	—	01-31 17:43
will alphabet be the second largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	117	$49.5K	25,804	24,844	+960	open	—	01-29 01:26
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 985	81	$44.0K	22,465	21,639	+827	open	—	01-29 14:10
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	25	$41.9K	17,971	25,635	-7,664	Yes	+$457	04-24 14:14
us x venezuela military engagement by december 31 391 819 722 945 174 285 817 971 353 859 836 598 255 382 192 983	4	$38.3K	38,365	0	+38,365	open	—	01-03 05:50
will trump visit china by march 31	13	$32.2K	7,076	25,280	-18,204	open	—	03-26 01:16
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	131	$31.6K	15,280	17,276	-1,997	open	—	03-21 04:42
US strike on Cuba by March 31?	42	$30.1K	15,130	15,130	+0	open	—	03-31 01:46
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	128	$29.9K	10,554	20,527	-9,974	open	—	05-11 06:00
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	303	$28.3K	13,986	14,494	-508	open	—	03-30 11:56
Starmer out by March 31, 2026?	15	$26.5K	13,323	13,339	-15	open	—	03-29 18:41
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?	35	$24.7K	11,926	13,214	-1,289	open	—	03-06 14:24
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	40	$23.5K	11,719	13,451	-1,732	open	—	03-15 16:04
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	14	$22.4K	12,233	12,233	+0	open	—	04-12 19:23
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	43	$21.5K	11,987	11,987	+0	open	—	03-15 15:59
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	1	$20.9K	20,967	0	+20,967	open	—	03-16 08:05
Cerebras IPO before 2027?	81	$18.4K	12,629	6,339	+6,289	open	—	05-08 14:26
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?	42	$17.6K	7,209	10,617	-3,408	open	—	06-12 14:25
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	52	$14.6K	11,256	7,244	+4,012	open	—	05-09 13:42
israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	3	$9.6K	9,756	0	+9,756	open	—	07-31 18:10
megaeth market cap fdv 1b one day after launch gj9e 189 291 824 352	5	$9.2K	4,600	4,600	+0	open	—	04-30 23:20
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	11	$7.0K	12,560	0	+12,560	open	—	08-06 06:19
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?	6	$4.7K	2,372	2,372	+0	open	—	04-30 23:28
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	9	$3.9K	4,024	0	+4,024	open	—	04-28 07:38
SHEIN IPO before 2027?	38	$3.8K	3,508	422	+3,087	open	—	08-16 02:04
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	8	$3.5K	4,000	5,000	-1,000	Yes	+$780	05-08 18:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-16 02:04:15	SHEIN IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xadcf17…
08-16 02:03:49	SHEIN IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	80	99¢	$79	0xff6095…
08-16 02:03:01	SHEIN IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	221	99¢	$219	0x71a382…
08-16 02:02:18	SHEIN IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x0cf5e5…
08-16 01:20:36	SHEIN IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	118	99¢	$117	0x46b695…
08-16 01:20:22	SHEIN IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	382	99¢	$379	0x506459…
08-16 01:19:25	SHEIN IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	60	99¢	$60	0x664e9b…
08-14 07:41:04	SHEIN IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	33	96¢	$32	0x06610e…
08-13 00:27:00	SHEIN IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,000	95¢	$947	0x1d7eb7…
08-12 19:02:55	SHEIN IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	56	98¢	$55	0x0a8cbb…
08-12 09:17:07	SHEIN IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	36	100¢	$36	0xdb6bea…
08-12 08:31:28	SHEIN IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0x394792…
08-12 08:29:33	SHEIN IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	150	97¢	$145	0xf8367d…
08-12 08:28:43	SHEIN IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	230	97¢	$222	0x6d2c68…
08-12 08:28:13	SHEIN IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	60	97¢	$58	0x415c91…
08-12 08:27:54	SHEIN IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	178	97¢	$172	0x538dff…
08-12 08:27:42	SHEIN IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	63	96¢	$61	0x2f4a37…
08-12 08:27:37	SHEIN IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x6346a7…
08-11 06:38:49	SHEIN IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x48e273…
08-11 06:20:07	SHEIN IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	141	95¢	$134	0x5475f4…
08-11 06:20:03	SHEIN IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	6	95¢	$5	0x8d1790…
08-10 17:05:10	SHEIN IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x750c76…
08-10 14:45:36	SHEIN IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0xeff820…
08-10 07:33:48	SHEIN IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	58	94¢	$54	0xb3369b…
08-10 07:33:39	SHEIN IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	176	94¢	$166	0x38ba84…
08-09 02:12:19	SHEIN IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	50	93¢	$46	0x0b3e5c…
08-09 01:31:52	SHEIN IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	73	93¢	$68	0x781f74…
08-07 03:00:40	SHEIN IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	89	93¢	$82	0x51449a…
08-07 03:00:22	SHEIN IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	19	93¢	$17	0xb4bad8…
08-07 03:00:10	SHEIN IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	16	92¢	$14	0xd8787a…
08-07 03:00:04	SHEIN IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x341a45…
08-07 02:59:22	SHEIN IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	99	92¢	$91	0xd4ba12…
08-07 02:59:01	SHEIN IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	30	92¢	$28	0xde8f64…
08-07 02:58:55	SHEIN IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	65	92¢	$60	0x4a478a…
08-07 02:58:37	SHEIN IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	21	92¢	$20	0x60369c…
08-07 02:57:48	SHEIN IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	202	92¢	$185	0xc454fd…
08-07 02:57:40	SHEIN IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	29	92¢	$26	0x4c7e8c…
08-07 02:57:31	SHEIN IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	52	92¢	$48	0x72b70b…
08-06 06:19:57	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	54¢	$6	0xf6ebe5…
08-05 16:41:29	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	48	54¢	$26	0xee99e5…
08-05 06:25:15	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	54¢	$4	0x06b5e6…
08-04 10:48:15	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	56¢	$15	0x018adb…
08-03 14:38:51	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	274	57¢	$156	0x677972…
08-03 14:28:02	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	499	57¢	$285	0x7cc33a…
07-31 18:10:06	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	No	BUY	2,110	99¢	$2,087	0x3d2a23…
07-31 16:45:57	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	No	BUY	4,446	99¢	$4,388	0x2019ac…
06-12 14:25:19	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?	Yes	SELL	8,024	99¢	$7,976	0xb55dda…
06-08 14:03:43	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?	Yes	SELL	2,593	98¢	$2,546	0x8592c2…
06-08 00:30:12	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?	Yes	BUY	108	98¢	$106	0x3e6e32…
06-08 00:30:06	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?	Yes	BUY	108	98¢	$106	0x430ace…
06-08 00:29:42	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?	Yes	BUY	268	98¢	$262	0xf604d3…
06-08 00:29:34	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?	Yes	BUY	280	98¢	$274	0xb34309…
06-08 00:26:49	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?	Yes	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x9aba21…
06-08 00:26:43	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?	Yes	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x236745…
06-07 21:36:52	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?	Yes	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0x455828…
06-07 00:25:49	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?	Yes	BUY	251	98¢	$246	0xdb171d…
06-06 20:42:34	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?	Yes	BUY	55	98¢	$54	0x929006…
06-06 20:42:25	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?	Yes	BUY	823	98¢	$808	0x8121eb…
06-06 20:41:16	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?	Yes	BUY	1,130	98¢	$1,109	0x3cbc14…
06-06 20:39:39	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?	Yes	BUY	600	98¢	$588	0x40fa4d…
06-06 20:39:31	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?	Yes	BUY	25	98¢	$24	0x5a4148…
06-06 20:39:25	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?	Yes	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x40376e…
06-06 20:39:07	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?	Yes	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x7397c3…
06-06 20:38:43	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?	Yes	BUY	126	98¢	$124	0x672f4d…
06-06 20:38:34	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?	Yes	BUY	95	98¢	$93	0x28703a…
06-06 20:38:18	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?	Yes	BUY	875	98¢	$855	0x194859…
06-06 20:38:06	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?	Yes	BUY	41	98¢	$40	0xa0e2b3…
06-05 07:23:18	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?	Yes	BUY	36	98¢	$35	0x58ea86…
06-05 07:22:19	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?	Yes	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0xc8e6ea…
06-05 07:07:06	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?	Yes	BUY	219	98¢	$215	0x80fb61…
06-05 07:04:18	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?	Yes	BUY	426	98¢	$418	0x3b25b1…
06-05 02:08:45	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?	Yes	BUY	33	98¢	$32	0x5bac12…
06-05 02:06:55	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?	Yes	BUY	47	98¢	$46	0x7f7de6…
06-05 02:03:55	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?	Yes	BUY	49	98¢	$48	0x726b34…
06-05 01:37:37	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?	Yes	BUY	101	98¢	$99	0xd990b8…
06-05 01:35:13	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?	Yes	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x74cfd1…
06-05 01:35:03	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?	Yes	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x973495…
06-05 01:34:57	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?	Yes	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xc8c73a…
06-05 01:34:37	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?	Yes	BUY	220	98¢	$216	0x27255c…
06-04 20:33:33	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?	Yes	BUY	52	98¢	$52	0x98071f…
06-04 18:21:04	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?	Yes	BUY	33	98¢	$32	0xa062b5…
06-04 06:41:24	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?	Yes	BUY	25	98¢	$25	0xe29ffa…
06-04 06:41:06	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?	Yes	BUY	130	98¢	$128	0x4e37fe…
06-04 06:40:43	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x2a7b2a…
06-04 06:40:36	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x34c0ba…
06-04 06:40:30	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?	Yes	BUY	300	98¢	$293	0x824e9d…
06-04 03:04:21	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?	Yes	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x8478e3…
06-03 13:01:11	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?	Yes	BUY	220	98¢	$215	0x0c6fff…
05-31 11:27:03	Will SpaceX IPO by August 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xbd74ec…
05-31 11:26:54	Will SpaceX IPO by August 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	619	99¢	$611	0x9349f2…
05-31 11:19:21	Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,139	98¢	$1,121	0xdd209b…
05-31 11:18:54	Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	170	98¢	$168	0xe6c4f3…
05-29 14:49:13	Will SpaceX IPO by August 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x64ed9f…
05-29 14:28:57	Will SpaceX IPO by August 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0x31dd98…
05-11 06:00:46	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	SELL	8,808	99¢	$8,729	0x18fe8b…
05-11 05:54:00	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x7d44a7…
05-11 05:50:30	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	SELL	192	99¢	$190	0x2dea02…
05-11 05:47:47	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	SELL	32	99¢	$32	0xcc1be5…
05-11 05:45:43	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	SELL	3,317	99¢	$3,287	0xd4d22a…
05-11 05:45:18	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0xe14b46…