Ill-Wing — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.19K

Unrealized P&L

+$12.1K

Hit rate

71.1%

Resolved

Trades

1,513

lifetime

Volume

$302.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$200

Open exposure

$1.26K

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-28 08:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 39 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 54% -$2,470

Other

3% 50% +$278

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

40 active days in 12wk • peak 51 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (23) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	-25,000	-$9,105	4¢	$-1038	+$8,067	06-02 12:20
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	-2,394	-$4,782	8¢	$-180	+$4,603	08-15 03:44
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	-352	$72	12¢	$-40	-$112	08-21 16:32
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+0	$433	48¢	$0	-$433	09-30 00:52

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	157	$49.6K	57,210	59,604	-2,394	open	—	08-15 03:44
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?	55	$22.9K	35,184	35,184	+0	open	—	09-23 14:51
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?	83	$16.8K	15,113	15,113	+0	Yes	-$2,686	07-31 01:14
will bitcoin dip to 55k in august 2026	69	$16.1K	9,206	9,206	+0	No	+$989	08-19 16:10
will bitcoin dip to 60000 in july 20260706151220612 754	43	$13.7K	7,914	7,914	+0	No	+$157	07-28 20:13
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	62	$13.5K	11,732	12,084	-352	open	—	08-21 16:32
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in July?	75	$13.4K	7,757	7,757	+0	No	+$1,063	07-20 12:13
will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in august 2026	24	$13.3K	7,702	7,702	+0	No	+$980	08-19 16:07
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?	46	$12.5K	38,415	38,415	+0	open	—	08-01 18:45
will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in july 2026 618	32	$11.2K	6,149	6,149	+0	No	+$629	07-21 08:38
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	26	$10.1K	1,712	26,712	-25,000	open	—	06-02 12:20
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?	56	$9.3K	14,014	14,014	+0	open	—	08-22 05:02
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?	28	$7.5K	10,286	10,286	+0	open	—	09-30 00:52
will bitcoin dip to 60k in august 2026	8	$6.6K	5,331	5,331	+0	No	-$564	08-14 19:33
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?	15	$5.8K	5,737	5,737	+0	Yes	+$18	01-24 12:12
bitcoin above 62k on august 14 2026	18	$5.7K	3,071	3,071	+0	Yes	+$155	08-13 13:06
will bitcoin reach 67pt5k in july 2026	8	$5.6K	5,420	5,420	+0	No	+$901	07-21 07:25
will bitcoin dip to 50k in july 2026	22	$4.9K	2,800	2,800	+0	No	+$109	07-04 12:00
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	12	$4.5K	2,406	2,406	+0	Yes	+$99	10-28 08:52
will bitcoin reach 65000 by december 31 2026 from june 29	15	$4.2K	2,399	2,399	+0	Yes	-$14	07-06 12:49
will bitcoin reach 70000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	14	$3.7K	2,477	2,477	+0	Yes	+$186	07-22 17:16
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in September?	22	$3.6K	7,589	7,589	+0	No	-$500	09-20 21:02
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	7	$3.4K	1,924	1,924	+0	Yes	+$405	07-29 18:01
bitcoin above 90k on january 26	4	$2.9K	2,742	2,742	+0	No	+$20	01-21 22:03
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 July 27-August 2?	7	$2.8K	2,513	2,513	+0	No	+$364	07-31 20:38
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June?	33	$2.7K	2,904	2,904	+0	No	-$701	06-04 05:33
will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in july 2026	10	$2.7K	1,664	1,664	+0	No	+$83	07-04 15:10
will bitcoin reach 65k in july 2026	10	$2.4K	1,880	1,880	+0	Yes	+$120	07-03 18:59
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in October?	6	$2.3K	2,078	2,078	-0	Yes	-$308	10-04 17:01
will bitcoin reach 96k january 19 25	11	$2.1K	2,510	2,510	+0	No	-$714	01-20 05:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 08:52:10	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	434	95¢	$413	0x81869f…
10-26 18:06:03	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	434	92¢	$398	0xa418ae…
10-26 18:02:15	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	457	87¢	$398	0xd22eef…
10-26 10:26:08	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	457	86¢	$393	0xf4fa55…
10-26 09:44:20	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	410	96¢	$394	0xc31a28…
10-24 16:39:48	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	29	95¢	$27	0xa7868d…
10-24 16:37:50	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	861	95¢	$818	0xb823fe…
10-24 06:06:14	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	672	94¢	$632	0xc3cde8…
10-23 15:44:02	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	543	92¢	$500	0x9f123c…
10-23 15:43:44	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	337	92¢	$310	0xc9f694…
10-23 15:42:14	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	543	92¢	$500	0x80861f…
10-21 14:22:27	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0xf0cdff…
10-21 14:21:57	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	500	87¢	$435	0x3fd30a…
10-21 09:06:56	Will no listed leader be out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	47¢	$2	0x4d81a8…
10-21 09:05:30	Will no listed leader be out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	24	47¢	$11	0xc4020a…
10-21 08:04:29	Will no listed leader be out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	49	47¢	$23	0xe30b8f…
10-20 22:14:41	Will no listed leader be out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	47¢	$2	0x6ee9c7…
10-20 22:12:53	Will no listed leader be out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	47¢	$2	0x699f33…
10-20 22:12:45	Will no listed leader be out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	47¢	$2	0x298751…
10-20 22:12:39	Will no listed leader be out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	47¢	$2	0x678ef0…
10-20 21:48:30	Will no listed leader be out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	47¢	$3	0x2ce257…
10-19 06:10:12	Will no listed leader be out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	2	56¢	$1	0x660ee4…
10-18 16:19:11	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	29	87¢	$25	0x37cb7d…
10-18 12:38:45	Will no listed leader be out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	40	56¢	$22	0x6ec538…
10-16 06:03:36	Will no listed leader be out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	100	47¢	$47	0x2320fe…
10-15 18:37:05	Will no listed leader be out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	45	47¢	$21	0x55574b…
10-04 20:46:32	bitcoin up or down on october 5 2026	Down	SELL	2,001	33¢	$657	0x34da19…
10-04 19:10:53	bitcoin up or down on october 5 2026	Down	BUY	22	47¢	$10	0xba2e95…
10-04 19:04:34	bitcoin up or down on october 5 2026	Down	BUY	398	48¢	$191	0xaff0f2…
10-04 19:04:34	bitcoin up or down on october 5 2026	Down	BUY	1	48¢	$0	0x041d3b…
10-04 18:55:50	bitcoin up or down on october 5 2026	Down	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0xcb6d4d…
10-04 18:54:44	bitcoin up or down on october 5 2026	Down	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x498baf…
10-04 18:54:43	bitcoin up or down on october 5 2026	Down	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0xeb7a21…
10-04 18:53:37	bitcoin up or down on october 5 2026	Down	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0xb3e164…
10-04 18:52:35	bitcoin up or down on october 5 2026	Down	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0x6027bc…
10-04 18:52:34	bitcoin up or down on october 5 2026	Down	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0xb97da8…
10-04 18:51:32	bitcoin up or down on october 5 2026	Down	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x7e3a1b…
10-04 18:50:23	bitcoin up or down on october 5 2026	Down	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0xee34f1…
10-04 18:50:17	bitcoin up or down on october 5 2026	Down	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x662d0b…
10-04 18:49:16	bitcoin up or down on october 5 2026	Down	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x19e9b5…
10-04 18:49:11	bitcoin up or down on october 5 2026	Down	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x376b96…
10-04 18:48:20	bitcoin up or down on october 5 2026	Down	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0xd6c11d…
10-04 18:48:17	bitcoin up or down on october 5 2026	Down	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0xd33660…
10-04 18:48:13	bitcoin up or down on october 5 2026	Down	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0x885f69…
10-04 18:47:20	bitcoin up or down on october 5 2026	Down	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0xac509e…
10-04 18:47:14	bitcoin up or down on october 5 2026	Down	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0xf40d2f…
10-04 17:46:16	bitcoin up or down on october 5 2026	Down	BUY	0	46¢	$0	0xad0bc5…
10-04 17:46:16	bitcoin up or down on october 5 2026	Down	BUY	80	46¢	$37	0xa462d1…
10-04 17:46:05	bitcoin up or down on october 5 2026	Down	BUY	30	46¢	$14	0x65b7b7…
10-04 17:46:05	bitcoin up or down on october 5 2026	Down	BUY	21	46¢	$10	0x2914af…
10-04 17:46:02	bitcoin up or down on october 5 2026	Down	BUY	19	46¢	$9	0xc07907…
10-04 17:28:17	bitcoin up or down on october 5 2026	Down	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0x99401f…
10-04 17:28:16	bitcoin up or down on october 5 2026	Down	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0xc80712…
10-04 17:28:16	bitcoin up or down on october 5 2026	Down	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0x10a8f0…
10-04 17:27:22	bitcoin up or down on october 5 2026	Down	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0xc3fd7c…
10-04 17:27:19	bitcoin up or down on october 5 2026	Down	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0x742bd4…
10-04 17:26:20	bitcoin up or down on october 5 2026	Down	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0xf24234…
10-04 17:26:13	bitcoin up or down on october 5 2026	Down	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0xc9bcec…
10-04 17:26:13	bitcoin up or down on october 5 2026	Down	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0x767861…
10-04 17:24:22	bitcoin up or down on october 5 2026	Down	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0x0d4b56…
10-04 17:05:01	bitcoin up or down on october 5 2026	Down	BUY	150	47¢	$70	0x51bfba…
10-04 17:01:49	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	1,000	49¢	$490	0xcd7630…
10-04 16:47:25	bitcoin up or down on october 5 2026	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xbe2f64…
10-04 16:46:40	bitcoin up or down on october 5 2026	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x8d3b98…
10-04 16:46:26	bitcoin up or down on october 5 2026	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xb85810…
10-04 16:46:23	bitcoin up or down on october 5 2026	Down	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0x89840b…
10-04 16:45:25	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5?	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xb51e47…
10-04 16:39:20	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5?	Down	BUY	322	50¢	$161	0xc19e5f…
10-04 16:37:11	bitcoin up or down on october 5 2026	Down	BUY	35	50¢	$18	0xd87568…
10-04 16:37:11	bitcoin up or down on october 5 2026	Down	BUY	51	50¢	$26	0x37e0ca…
10-04 16:16:47	bitcoin up or down on october 5 2026	Down	BUY	37	50¢	$18	0xa26cdf…
10-04 16:16:47	bitcoin up or down on october 5 2026	Down	BUY	36	50¢	$18	0x3bcbca…
10-04 16:16:47	bitcoin up or down on october 5 2026	Down	BUY	63	50¢	$32	0x244eb6…
10-04 16:05:23	bitcoin up or down on october 5 2026	Down	BUY	12	50¢	$6	0x1205f3…
10-04 16:04:52	bitcoin up or down on october 5 2026	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xbfcd22…
10-04 16:04:08	bitcoin up or down on october 5 2026	Down	BUY	411	50¢	$206	0xf747dd…
10-04 16:00:16	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	1,078	49¢	$528	0x26e2e9…
10-02 14:21:50	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	17	42¢	$7	0xaa96b3…
10-01 10:28:51	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	59	64¢	$38	0xdffb8b…
10-01 10:21:38	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	1,961	64¢	$1,255	0x906a06…
10-01 10:20:36	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	40	64¢	$26	0x42944c…
09-30 00:52:41	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6,905	32¢	$2,210	0x143223…
09-30 00:47:32	will bitcoin dip to 70000 by december 31 2026 from august 24	Yes	SELL	5	32¢	$2	0x73d23d…
09-29 21:42:41	will bitcoin dip to 70000 by december 31 2026 from august 24	Yes	SELL	67	32¢	$21	0xd1849e…
09-29 21:34:51	will bitcoin dip to 70000 by december 31 2026 from august 24	Yes	SELL	95	32¢	$30	0xd8055a…
09-29 18:42:29	will bitcoin dip to 70000 by december 31 2026 from august 24	Yes	SELL	2,000	31¢	$620	0x0ac154…
09-25 12:47:53	will bitcoin dip to 70000 by december 31 2026 from august 24	Yes	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x638c8b…
09-25 07:43:00	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	87	32¢	$28	0x3cbe04…
09-25 00:53:59	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	33¢	$7	0x3219dc…
09-24 19:51:24	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	396	34¢	$135	0x6fc21d…
09-24 14:28:20	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	942	35¢	$330	0x982589…
09-24 14:07:40	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	120	35¢	$42	0xe3ebb8…
09-24 14:07:37	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6,000	35¢	$2,100	0xb1e56d…
09-24 07:25:57	will bitcoin dip to 70000 by december 31 2026 from august 24	Yes	BUY	11	33¢	$4	0x4c3b8c…
09-24 05:27:44	will bitcoin reach 87pt5k in september 2026	Yes	SELL	38	40¢	$15	0xb242d0…
09-24 02:06:37	will bitcoin dip to 70000 by december 31 2026 from august 24	Yes	BUY	400	33¢	$132	0x7d3389…
09-24 02:04:43	will bitcoin dip to 70000 by december 31 2026 from august 24	Yes	BUY	1,000	33¢	$330	0xea08c0…
09-24 02:00:02	will bitcoin dip to 70000 by december 31 2026 from august 24	Yes	BUY	90	33¢	$30	0x2319d7…
09-23 14:51:20	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	23,461	13¢	$3,050	0xbbd4d2…
09-23 14:41:55	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	13¢	$2	0xeee780…