Perfect-Licence — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$657

Unrealized P&L

-$214

Hit rate

66.1%

Resolved

515

Trades

1,681

lifetime

Volume

$42.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$25

Open exposure

$2.09K

16 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-25 23:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 145 days

Categories

Other

37% 55% +$268

Sports

36% 55% +$696

Crypto

21% 36% -$390

Politics

5% 54% -$42

Pop-Culture

1% 83% +$36

Tech

1% 100% +$91

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

49 active days in 12wk • peak 37 trades/day

Open positions (16) Resolved markets (22) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026?	No	-495	-$272	90¢	$-445	-$173	08-29 00:21
Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026?	No	-400	-$356	96¢	$-382	-$26	08-19 14:56
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	-400	-$358	88¢	$-350	+$8	08-30 17:28
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	-200	-$184	97¢	$-195	-$11	08-28 20:19
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	+200	$161	84¢	$168	+$7	08-18 19:54
Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first?	$140	+178	$70	59¢	$106	+$36	09-25 12:00
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	-100	-$89	96¢	$-96	-$7	08-28 20:19
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?	No	+100	$69	92¢	$92	+$22	08-25 01:09
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	+200	$103	38¢	$77	-$26	09-16 23:42
Will Monero hit $1000 in 2026?	No	-77	-$62	80¢	$-62	+$0	05-06 16:04
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	+200	$31	16¢	$32	+$1	08-18 16:17
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	+157	$13	14¢	$22	+$9	09-25 00:27
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	+160	$18	12¢	$19	+$1	08-18 02:04
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	+100	$22	16¢	$16	-$6	07-28 01:24
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+60	$67	28¢	$16	-$50	10-07 13:25
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026?	Yes	-100	-$13	13¢	$-13	$0	05-11 19:39

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	8	$890	400	800	-400	open	—	08-30 17:28
nfl la sea 2026 01 25	15	$654	470	470	+0	Seahawks	+$51	01-26 02:33
Will Zcash dip to $100 by December 31, 2026?	6	$514	0	582	-582	open	—	07-04 04:41
nfl sf sea 2026 01 17 spread home 7pt5	11	$474	400	246	+154	Seahawks	+$83	01-18 02:46
nfl hou ne 2026 01 18	15	$462	496	446	+50	Patriots	+$60	01-18 22:41
Will France win on 2026-07-09?	4	$457	325	325	+0	Yes	+$57	07-09 21:37
Will Solana reach $110 in August?	17	$412	403	303	+100	Yes	+$80	08-27 20:21
Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first?	15	$405	410	232	+178	open	—	09-25 12:00
will silver si hit high 140 by end of february 384 774 953 735 356	8	$405	250	250	+0	No	+$72	02-13 19:35
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?	11	$360	300	284	+16	Yes	+$16	06-19 23:57
Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026?	1	$356	0	400	-400	open	—	08-19 14:56
will bitcoin dip to 65000 by december 31 2026 from august 24	7	$347	300	300	+0	open	—	08-28 20:16
will argentina reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134503	12	$346	300	150	+150	Yes	+$10	07-07 16:29
Will Solana reach $120 by December 31, 2026?	5	$324	200	200	+0	Yes	+$48	09-21 19:59
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	6	$320	200	200	+0	No	+$40	08-18 16:22
49ers vs. Seahawks	14	$318	330	330	+0	49ers	+$71	10-11 23:19
Spread: Chiefs (-7.5)	13	$317	209	209	+0	Chiefs	+$49	09-27 19:49
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	6	$315	200	200	+0	Yes	+$33	07-19 21:47
will the broncos win the afc championship 1	6	$308	250	250	+0	No	+$44	01-25 22:59
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	5	$306	200	300	-100	Yes	+$148	07-19 21:52
nfl lac ne 2026 01 11	4	$301	250	200	+50	Patriots	+$11	01-12 03:51
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	6	$297	200	200	+0	No	-$5	04-12 04:12
will silver si hit high 150 by end of february 397 652 494 395 172	5	$291	180	180	+0	No	+$35	02-02 07:58
Will Solana dip to $90 by December 31, 2026?	2	$278	400	0	+400	open	—	09-28 01:49
Will the final be ESP vs ARG at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$276	200	200	+0	Yes	-$12	07-15 20:15
Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026?	9	$272	0	495	-495	open	—	08-29 00:21
nfl sf sea 2026 01 17	5	$270	468	151	+317	Seahawks	-$28	01-18 02:41
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	8	$267	260	200	+60	open	—	10-07 13:25
Will Germany win on 2026-06-06?	11	$264	253	153	+100	Yes	-$10	06-06 20:28
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	3	$251	400	0	+400	No	-$251	07-12 01:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 23:47:00	Chiefs vs. Seahawks	Chiefs	BUY	100	42¢	$42	0x3b4914…
10-25 23:27:24	Packers vs. Lions	Lions	SELL	38	89¢	$33	0x4dd8f8…
10-25 23:22:24	Packers vs. Lions	Lions	SELL	38	80¢	$30	0xb8eb7d…
10-25 23:20:59	Packers vs. Lions	Lions	SELL	25	81¢	$20	0x6b1fb8…
10-25 22:39:35	Spread: Broncos (-5.5)	Broncos	SELL	30	90¢	$27	0x403832…
10-25 22:29:00	Spread: Broncos (-5.5)	Broncos	SELL	6	90¢	$5	0xe5d7ba…
10-25 22:27:39	Spread: Broncos (-5.5)	Broncos	SELL	35	85¢	$30	0x481b56…
10-25 22:27:03	Spread: Broncos (-3.5)	Broncos	SELL	60	85¢	$51	0x7e9978…
10-25 22:09:26	Packers vs. Lions	Lions	BUY	50	55¢	$28	0x23e8b6…
10-25 22:04:47	Broncos vs. Cardinals	Cardinals	BUY	30	15¢	$4	0x2f0d40…
10-25 21:43:39	Spread: Lions (-2.5)	Packers	SELL	40	19¢	$8	0xa57a60…
10-25 21:37:03	Packers vs. Lions	Lions	BUY	50	75¢	$38	0xabf5af…
10-25 21:33:41	Packers vs. Lions	Packers	SELL	50	25¢	$12	0x264514…
10-25 20:50:50	Spread: Rams (-3.5)	Rams	BUY	60	65¢	$39	0xc37c67…
10-25 20:48:50	Spread: Lions (-2.5)	Packers	BUY	40	27¢	$11	0xb3dd1f…
10-25 20:47:42	Spread: Broncos (-3.5)	Broncos	BUY	60	62¢	$37	0x1433b2…
10-25 20:32:39	Rams vs. Raiders	Rams	BUY	50	61¢	$30	0x380b90…
10-25 20:28:45	Packers vs. Lions	Packers	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0x2d9c4d…
10-25 20:11:30	Spread: Broncos (-5.5)	Broncos	BUY	1	54¢	$1	0x3bb3da…
10-25 20:11:17	Spread: Broncos (-5.5)	Broncos	BUY	56	54¢	$30	0x6e7f19…
10-25 20:11:15	Spread: Broncos (-5.5)	Broncos	BUY	13	54¢	$7	0x9d01c4…
10-25 19:52:05	49ers vs. Falcons	49ers	SELL	50	36¢	$18	0xf2272d…
10-25 19:14:12	Bengals vs. Ravens	Ravens	SELL	100	27¢	$27	0x33ddb4…
10-25 18:51:57	Bengals vs. Ravens	Ravens	BUY	75	45¢	$34	0xb1626a…
10-25 18:51:57	Bengals vs. Ravens	Ravens	BUY	25	45¢	$11	0x7a66d3…
10-25 18:10:33	49ers vs. Falcons	49ers	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0xd712d7…
10-25 18:10:33	49ers vs. Falcons	49ers	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x7c7866…
10-25 18:09:29	49ers vs. Falcons	49ers	BUY	30	60¢	$18	0xf575b8…
10-25 17:54:12	Bengals vs. Ravens	Ravens	SELL	70	62¢	$43	0x7eff04…
10-25 17:42:20	49ers vs. Falcons	49ers	SELL	100	78¢	$78	0x5d6d90…
10-25 16:23:03	Steelers vs. Saints	Steelers	SELL	40	92¢	$37	0xf844f9…
10-25 16:14:32	Buccaneers vs. Panthers	Panthers	BUY	100	60¢	$60	0xcb8bd3…
10-25 16:10:50	Steelers vs. Saints	Steelers	SELL	40	71¢	$28	0xf28565…
10-25 16:08:35	Bengals vs. Ravens	Ravens	BUY	70	42¢	$29	0xa898eb…
10-25 16:07:38	49ers vs. Falcons	49ers	BUY	100	59¢	$59	0x7add7e…
10-25 13:35:06	Steelers vs. Saints	Steelers	BUY	80	65¢	$52	0xfd19a9…
10-23 03:39:38	Will Kansas City Chiefs advance to the AFC Championship Game in the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	Yes	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0x4bbfc3…
10-20 20:49:21	Will VfB Stuttgart vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	15	91¢	$14	0x3459d9…
10-20 20:46:29	Will VfB Stuttgart vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	15	82¢	$12	0x308777…
10-20 20:25:54	Will VfB Stuttgart vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	30	44¢	$13	0x467562…
10-20 19:39:29	Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	SELL	50	59¢	$30	0xe3b1cb…
10-20 18:32:00	Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	50	31¢	$16	0x2ef90a…
10-20 18:31:11	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	30	39¢	$12	0xb4ce12…
10-20 18:30:06	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Barcelona: Draw at halftime?	Yes	BUY	40	32¢	$13	0x8fbc83…
10-20 03:01:02	Commanders vs. 49ers	Commanders	SELL	50	16¢	$8	0x02e1a2…
10-20 02:45:09	Spread: 49ers (-10.5)	49ers	SELL	50	25¢	$12	0x0981db…
10-20 02:37:48	Spread: 49ers (-9.5)	49ers	SELL	49	64¢	$31	0x591a16…
10-20 02:37:48	Spread: 49ers (-9.5)	49ers	SELL	1	64¢	$1	0x429bd7…
10-20 02:30:59	Spread: 49ers (-5.5)	49ers	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0xfaaa70…
10-20 02:30:57	Spread: 49ers (-5.5)	49ers	SELL	64	88¢	$56	0xe55030…
10-20 02:23:32	Spread: 49ers (-9.5)	49ers	SELL	50	74¢	$37	0x223b22…
10-20 02:22:27	Spread: 49ers (-10.5)	49ers	SELL	50	73¢	$36	0x720a6c…
10-20 02:11:17	Spread: 49ers (-5.5)	49ers	SELL	35	95¢	$33	0x9951c1…
10-20 01:30:02	Commanders vs. 49ers	Commanders	BUY	50	5¢	$2	0xc21006…
10-20 01:29:45	Commanders vs. 49ers	49ers	SELL	50	94¢	$47	0xe62ed7…
10-20 01:27:27	Commanders vs. 49ers	49ers	SELL	50	93¢	$46	0xd45566…
10-20 01:09:53	Spread: 49ers (-14.5)	49ers	BUY	50	51¢	$26	0x192d35…
10-20 01:08:48	Spread: 49ers (-10.5)	49ers	BUY	50	65¢	$32	0xc056ea…
10-20 00:34:45	Spread: 49ers (-9.5)	49ers	BUY	50	56¢	$28	0xc4aa6d…
10-20 00:24:26	Spread: 49ers (-5.5)	49ers	BUY	50	68¢	$34	0xc28345…
10-20 00:22:59	Spread: 49ers (-9.5)	49ers	BUY	50	55¢	$28	0x34c7c9…
10-20 00:20:50	Spread: 49ers (-10.5)	49ers	BUY	50	45¢	$22	0x80866c…
10-20 00:17:42	Spread: 49ers (-5.5)	49ers	BUY	50	58¢	$29	0xc9be37…
10-20 00:17:00	Commanders vs. 49ers	49ers	BUY	100	77¢	$77	0x79e37d…
10-18 23:15:03	Will Kansas City Chiefs advance to the AFC Championship Game in the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	Yes	BUY	60	33¢	$20	0xcacdf7…
10-18 22:59:51	Spread: Bills (-7.5)	Raiders	SELL	30	90¢	$27	0x68bf07…
10-18 22:42:09	Bills vs. Raiders	Bills	SELL	100	78¢	$78	0xbbe19c…
10-18 22:34:39	Spread: Bills (-7.5)	Raiders	BUY	30	55¢	$16	0xf7faed…
10-18 22:15:56	Cardinals vs. Rams	Rams	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0x74eba6…
10-18 21:45:53	Bills vs. Raiders	Bills	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0x896555…
10-18 21:44:42	Spread: Rams (-13.5)	Cardinals	SELL	30	90¢	$27	0x95acee…
10-18 21:15:12	Spread: Rams (-13.5)	Cardinals	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0xad56de…
10-18 21:15:12	Spread: Rams (-13.5)	Cardinals	SELL	29	79¢	$23	0x159cc8…
10-18 20:49:36	Chargers vs. Chiefs	Chargers	BUY	50	18¢	$9	0x21f131…
10-18 20:46:42	Bills vs. Raiders	Bills	BUY	22	61¢	$13	0x17d98b…
10-18 20:46:33	Bills vs. Raiders	Bills	BUY	28	61¢	$17	0x613c7e…
10-18 20:36:27	Spread: Chiefs (-7.5)	Chiefs	BUY	70	55¢	$38	0x16d6b6…
10-18 20:22:53	Spread: Rams (-13.5)	Cardinals	BUY	60	62¢	$37	0x17a399…
10-18 20:04:41	Spread: Patriots (-7.5)	Patriots	SELL	50	73¢	$36	0xd9bc1f…
10-18 18:56:36	Saints vs. Giants	Giants	BUY	50	25¢	$12	0xea5a0b…
10-18 18:20:02	Panthers vs. Eagles	Eagles	SELL	100	15¢	$15	0x807df0…
10-18 16:57:32	Spread: Patriots (-14.5)	Patriots	BUY	70	28¢	$20	0x4dc049…
10-18 16:56:38	Spread: Patriots (-7.5)	Patriots	BUY	100	47¢	$47	0xe23399…
10-18 16:42:20	Texans vs. Jaguars	Jaguars	SELL	50	22¢	$11	0x838577…
10-18 16:40:39	Texans vs. Jaguars	Jaguars	SELL	50	41¢	$20	0xc74c66…
10-18 16:37:15	Ravens vs. Browns	Ravens	BUY	50	62¢	$31	0xd4beb2…
10-18 16:36:53	Panthers vs. Eagles	Eagles	BUY	100	41¢	$41	0x07fa90…
10-18 13:35:08	Texans vs. Jaguars	Jaguars	BUY	100	58¢	$58	0xcfdadf…
10-17 15:12:53	Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	SELL	60	24¢	$14	0x26334d…
10-17 13:48:26	Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	BUY	60	64¢	$38	0xd97fb8…
10-17 13:24:24	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	BUY	60	65¢	$39	0xa5f470…
10-17 13:24:03	Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	BUY	60	56¢	$34	0xc280ed…
10-16 03:19:46	Seahawks vs. Broncos	Broncos	SELL	30	45¢	$14	0x139c26…
10-16 03:16:30	Seahawks vs. Broncos	Broncos	BUY	30	53¢	$16	0x040fd3…
10-16 03:14:52	Spread: Broncos (-9.5)	Seahawks	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x386a49…
10-16 03:11:28	Seahawks vs. Broncos	Seahawks	SELL	45	15¢	$7	0x58ea8f…
10-16 03:07:58	Spread: Broncos (-9.5)	Seahawks	SELL	49	98¢	$48	0x304d60…
10-16 03:03:39	Will San Francisco 49ers advance to the NFC Championship Game in the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	Yes	BUY	40	38¢	$15	0x779d36…
10-16 02:58:30	Spread: Broncos (-10.5)	Seahawks	SELL	60	98¢	$59	0xca79bc…
10-16 02:43:06	Spread: Broncos (-13.5)	Broncos	BUY	50	22¢	$11	0x1a353c…