Realized P&L
-$3.09K
Unrealized P&L
+$441
Hit rate
38.7%
Resolved
15
Trades
1,970
lifetime
Volume
$311.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$158
Open exposure
$17.9K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-06
last 06-30 00:51
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 9 days
Categories
Politics
52%
25%
$-3,180
Other
17%
50%
$-31
Crypto
16%
89%
+$123
Sports
14%
—
—
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
55 active days in 12wk
• peak 43 trades/day
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026 | 100 | $44.1K | 22,681 | 22,181 | +500 | open | — | 01-31 01:34 |
| russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026 | 18 | $13.7K | 7,785 | 7,885 | -100 | open | — | 02-05 16:44 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | 17 | $11.6K | 6,004 | 6,004 | +0 | open | — | 04-17 08:54 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | 124 | $10.1K | 10,480 | 5,373 | +5,106 | Yes | $-3,132 | 04-29 18:56 |
| Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by March 31, 2026? | 45 | $9.3K | 8,084 | 1,941 | +6,143 | open | — | 03-29 20:47 |
| russia x ukraine ceasefire by february 28 2026 | 24 | $8.5K | 4,635 | 4,635 | +0 | open | — | 01-29 19:13 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? | 31 | $8.2K | 4,775 | 4,775 | +0 | Yes | +$199 | 04-29 18:50 |
| will italy win the second most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics | 66 | $7.3K | 3,493 | 3,993 | -500 | open | — | 02-13 22:57 |
| nato x russia military clash by march 31 2026 | 30 | $6.5K | 3,437 | 3,203 | +234 | open | — | 03-29 22:19 |
| will poland record a medal at the 2026 winter olympics 651 | 9 | $6.0K | 3,037 | 2,962 | +75 | open | — | 02-19 19:17 |
| trump out as president by march 31 | 27 | $5.7K | 2,935 | 2,935 | +0 | open | — | 03-11 04:03 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31? | 12 | $5.6K | 2,627 | 3,150 | -524 | open | — | 04-28 17:16 |
| will italy join the board of peace | 27 | $5.4K | 2,983 | 2,915 | +68 | open | — | 03-02 06:11 |
| ukraine signs peace deal with russia by march 31 | 29 | $5.3K | 2,612 | 3,476 | -864 | open | — | 03-17 02:31 |
| khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28 | 36 | $4.9K | 5,658 | 5,658 | +0 | open | — | 02-28 23:56 |
| will bitcoin reach 85k in march 2026 | 28 | $4.8K | 2,517 | 2,517 | +0 | open | — | 03-27 14:26 |
| ukraine agrees not to join nato by march 31 | 14 | $4.6K | 2,333 | 2,333 | +0 | open | — | 03-26 07:55 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026? | 21 | $4.5K | 2,374 | 2,374 | +0 | Yes | $-34 | 05-02 08:21 |
| will the uk join the board of peace | 32 | $4.1K | 2,943 | 1,413 | +1,530 | open | — | 03-30 10:47 |
| will italy win the third most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics | 15 | $4.0K | 2,363 | 2,363 | +0 | open | — | 02-13 17:08 |
| will the iranian regime fall by march 31 | 22 | $3.9K | 2,671 | 2,541 | +130 | open | — | 03-29 19:58 |
| will bitcoin reach 80k in march 2026 | 28 | $3.8K | 2,144 | 2,144 | +0 | open | — | 03-26 20:19 |
| will italy win the most medals in the 2026 winter olympics | 16 | $3.7K | 1,946 | 1,946 | +0 | open | — | 02-12 21:09 |
| will italy win the second most medals in the 2026 winter olympics | 28 | $3.7K | 2,105 | 2,105 | +0 | open | — | 02-15 22:00 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April? | 12 | $3.6K | 1,905 | 1,902 | +3 | open | — | 04-29 16:46 |
| ukraine officially agrees to a us backed ceasefire framework by march 31 214 | 28 | $3.5K | 2,104 | 2,096 | +8 | open | — | 03-29 08:31 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April? | 15 | $3.4K | 1,762 | 1,760 | +2 | open | — | 04-24 13:56 |
| nato article 5 by march 31 | 16 | $3.3K | 3,287 | 0 | +3,287 | open | — | 03-29 19:54 |
| ukraine officially agrees to a us backed ceasefire framework by january 31 | 15 | $3.2K | 3,028 | 400 | +2,628 | open | — | 01-27 19:30 |
| will japan win the third most medals in the 2026 winter olympics | 13 | $3.0K | 1,607 | 1,607 | +0 | open | — | 02-15 15:46 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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