Realized P&L
-$3.09K
Unrealized P&L
+$277
Hit rate
38.7%
Resolved
15
Trades
1,927
lifetime
Volume
$301.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$156
Open exposure
$12.9K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-06
last 06-08 06:21
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 9 days
Categories
Politics
53% 25% $-3,180
Other
18% 50% $-31
Crypto
15% 89% +$123
Sports
15%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
63 active days in 12wk • peak 96 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026? No -1,849 $-1,646 90¢ $-1664 $-18 06-05 06:26
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? No -1,643 $-1,413 88¢ $-1454 $-41 06-02 16:48
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? No -1,620 $-1,410 85¢ $-1377 +$32 06-05 18:45
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026? No -1,401 $-1,387 98¢ $-1377 +$10 06-02 23:44
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,584 $665 63¢ $998 +$333 06-01 17:31
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? No -1,000 $-890 90¢ $-895 $-5 06-04 17:43
Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027? No +700 $526 80¢ $559 +$33 06-01 14:52
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? No -605 $-538 92¢ $-556 $-18 06-04 07:48
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No -641 $-567 80¢ $-513 +$54 06-03 07:52
Will Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026? No -400 $-356 88¢ $-354 +$2 06-05 18:18
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? No +389 $293 82¢ $321 +$28 06-02 21:57
Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027? No +400 $309 76¢ $303 $-6 06-01 14:23
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No -300 $-292 99¢ $-296 $-4 06-02 16:31
Will Iran Play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes -300 $-297 97¢ $-291 +$6 06-06 17:17
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No -300 $-290 96¢ $-287 +$2 06-08 06:21
Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027? No +310 $242 82¢ $256 +$14 05-31 19:29
Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027? No +286 $216 80¢ $230 +$15 06-02 16:57
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +292 $163 78¢ $226 +$63 06-01 17:31
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June? No -200 $-197 99¢ $-198 $-2 06-02 14:53
Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026? Yes -200 $-180 87¢ $-175 +$5 06-05 18:54
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by June 30, 2026? No +177 $170 97¢ $171 +$2 05-28 10:57
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,300 by end of June? No -100 $-98 99¢ $-99 $-0 06-04 13:07
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June? No -100 $-98 99¢ $-99 $-1 06-02 14:53
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? No +100 $77 74¢ $74 $-2 06-02 16:58
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30? No +50 $46 92¢ $46 $-0 06-02 21:46
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027? No -50 $-43 89¢ $-44 $-2 05-30 17:44
Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30? No -42 $-40 95¢ $-40 +$0 06-02 08:51
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,800 by end of June? Yes +400 $132 $14 $-118 05-30 19:16
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,100 by end of June? Yes +700 $63 $13 $-50 05-30 02:23
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,900 by end of June? Yes +300 $63 $8 $-55 05-30 19:15