Outstanding-Assassination — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$212

Unrealized P&L

-$144

Hit rate

83.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$13.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$326

Open exposure

$614

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 09-24 17:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 12 days

Categories

Crypto

91% 82% +$106

Politics

9% 75% +$115

Other

0% 50% -$8

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (17) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	No		-580	-$487	98¢	$-565	-$79	05-20 00:41
Will Zcash reach $2000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+200	$114	24¢	$48	-$66	09-24 17:34

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	4	$1.8K	1,428	1,428	+0	open	—	08-21 12:19
will bitcoin dip to 55k in february 2026 644 513 935	2	$1.4K	718	718	+0	No	+$37	02-25 07:05
USD.AI FDV above $2B one day after launch?	2	$1.3K	673	673	+0	No	-$5	02-16 23:52
will bitcoin dip to 80k in january 2026	2	$1.2K	688	688	+0	Yes	+$80	01-30 23:41
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	3	$1.2K	671	667	+4	No	+$12	04-27 04:52
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?	2	$1.2K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	08-26 00:33
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April?	2	$1.2K	640	634	+6	No	+$64	04-14 10:58
trump out as president by march 31	2	$1.0K	510	510	+0	No	+$9	04-01 02:30
will ethereum dip to 2500 december 29 january 4	1	$584	585	0	+585	No	+$1	01-03 10:33
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	3	$539	305	305	+0	No	+$57	05-20 00:42
will bitcoin dip to 60k march 30 april 5	1	$516	560	0	+560	No	+$45	04-01 02:32
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	1	$487	0	580	-580	open	—	05-20 00:41
Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?	3	$206	377	11	+366	No	-$194	03-01 00:33
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?	1	$144	247	0	+247	No	+$103	04-15 11:49
Will Zcash reach $2000 by December 31, 2026?	2	$114	200	0	+200	open	—	09-24 17:34
Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first?	2	$26	61	61	+0	80k	+$6	01-18 00:40
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?	2	$22	16	16	+0	Gold	+$2	01-18 00:40
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	1	$8	35	0	+35	Yes	-$8	01-26 04:08
will trump visit china by march 31	1	$5	0	7	-7	No	+$5	02-24 00:31
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	2	$2	77	77	+0	No	+$0	03-04 06:38
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	1	$2	74	0	+74	Yes	-$2	03-01 00:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-24 17:34:21	Will Zcash reach $2000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	128	57¢	$73	0x394a4e…
09-24 04:49:45	Will Zcash reach $2000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	72	57¢	$41	0xffee09…
08-26 00:33:21	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,000	62¢	$620	0xad4801…
08-25 01:02:42	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	61¢	$610	0xa84775…
08-21 12:19:51	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,428	73¢	$1,042	0xd2e777…
05-22 10:07:38	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	145	53¢	$77	0x8cc736…
05-22 10:07:03	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,132	53¢	$600	0x408ddf…
05-22 10:04:45	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	151	52¢	$78	0xeb1f14…
05-20 00:42:11	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	SELL	305	98¢	$298	0x1bd1ad…
05-20 00:41:55	Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	580	84¢	$487	0x6989a1…
05-04 02:12:56	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	BUY	300	79¢	$237	0x4d4d4a…
05-04 02:12:08	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x9afa4a…
04-27 04:52:24	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	No	SELL	514	93¢	$478	0xfd71cf…
04-15 11:49:00	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?	No	BUY	247	58¢	$144	0x3e4fa6…
04-15 11:48:42	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	No	SELL	153	94¢	$144	0x1b8c10…
04-14 10:59:25	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	No	BUY	671	91¢	$614	0x7188ad…
04-14 10:58:25	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April?	No	SELL	634	97¢	$615	0xe96906…
04-07 10:06:21	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April?	No	BUY	640	87¢	$557	0xcff1e7…
04-01 02:32:43	will bitcoin dip to 60k march 30 april 5	No	BUY	560	92¢	$516	0xe6471c…
04-01 02:30:15	trump out as president by march 31	No	SELL	510	100¢	$509	0x113f97…
03-04 06:38:21	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	77	2¢	$1	0x9ccf50…
03-01 00:33:27	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	BUY	74	3¢	$2	0xafc825…
03-01 00:33:07	Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	7	54¢	$4	0x133225…
03-01 00:32:57	Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	4	54¢	$2	0x573e06…
02-25 07:15:38	trump out as president by march 31	No	BUY	510	98¢	$501	0x994763…
02-25 07:10:04	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	77	1¢	$1	0xc86b57…
02-25 07:09:08	Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	377	53¢	$200	0x0346a5…
02-25 07:05:02	will bitcoin dip to 55k in february 2026 644 513 935	No	SELL	718	97¢	$697	0x8ff0e1…
02-24 00:31:02	will trump visit china by march 31	Yes	SELL	7	71¢	$5	0x685c32…
02-16 23:53:21	will bitcoin dip to 55k in february 2026 644 513 935	No	BUY	718	92¢	$661	0xceb704…
02-16 23:52:47	USD.AI FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	SELL	673	98¢	$661	0x062f2a…
01-30 23:47:56	USD.AI FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	BUY	673	99¢	$665	0xb44a01…
01-30 23:41:36	will bitcoin dip to 80k in january 2026	No	SELL	688	97¢	$665	0x9c1430…
01-26 04:08:36	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	BUY	35	23¢	$8	0x07c8d0…
01-18 00:40:44	Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first?	150k	SELL	61	26¢	$16	0x279063…
01-18 00:40:26	First to 5k: Gold or ETH?	Gold	SELL	16	77¢	$12	0xe855c2…
01-06 00:44:41	will bitcoin dip to 80k in january 2026	No	BUY	688	85¢	$585	0xd4931e…
01-03 10:33:33	will ethereum dip to 2500 december 29 january 4	No	BUY	585	100¢	$584	0x8b1b2b…
01-01 10:55:19	Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first?	150k	BUY	61	16¢	$10	0x837c6b…
01-01 10:54:31	First to 5k: Gold or ETH?	Gold	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x801f0a…