Whirlwind-Assurance — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$164

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

66.1%

Resolved

Trades

1,664

lifetime

Volume

$36.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$22

Open exposure

$9.98K

1 position

First seen

2026-02-02

last 07-24 11:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

94% 57% +$467

Sports

4% 50% $-303

Politics

1% — —

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 212 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+21,473	$9,983	46¢	$10.0K	+$2	07-24 11:29

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	8	$10.0K	21,473	0	+21,473	open	—	07-24 11:29
ethereum up or down march 6 8am et	30	$1.1K	900	897	+3	open	—	03-06 13:54
UFC 328: Alexander Volkov vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)	2	$829	530	530	+0	Alexander Volkov	+$224	05-10 03:33
bitcoin up or down on february 9	4	$784	1,600	0	+1,600	open	—	02-08 09:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	2	$718	1,280	1,280	+0	open	—	05-14 22:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	20	$711	589	600	-11	open	—	05-15 12:10
btc updown 15m 1770477300	7	$603	450	447	+3	open	—	02-07 15:24
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 6PM ET	19	$554	1,318	0	+1,318	open	—	05-16 22:11
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	2	$527	667	0	+667	Sean Strickland	$-527	05-10 03:47
xrp updown 15m 1770055200	20	$506	369	399	-29	open	—	02-02 18:15
ethereum up or down march 15 2026 8am et	32	$473	700	700	+0	open	—	03-15 12:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	16	$444	320	320	+0	open	—	05-14 19:27
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	40	$435	870	0	+870	open	—	05-16 21:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	32	$402	588	600	-12	open	—	05-15 15:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	5	$400	754	0	+754	open	—	05-15 14:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	38	$396	800	0	+800	open	—	05-15 12:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	6	$379	361	361	+0	open	—	05-16 16:05
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	9	$376	280	280	+0	open	—	05-03 17:54
ethereum up or down april 5 2026 10am et	16	$332	724	0	+724	open	—	04-05 14:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	19	$320	640	0	+640	open	—	05-14 22:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	19	$316	736	0	+736	open	—	05-16 21:16
sol updown 15m 1772981100	50	$312	701	0	+701	open	—	03-08 14:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	15	$298	600	0	+600	open	—	05-15 12:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	10	$288	744	40	+704	open	—	05-16 16:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	2	$271	200	200	+0	open	—	05-16 21:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	15	$264	400	400	+0	open	—	05-15 11:56
ethereum up or down april 5 2026 11am et	7	$263	526	0	+526	open	—	04-05 15:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	16	$246	500	0	+500	open	—	05-16 21:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	11	$242	484	0	+484	open	—	05-14 23:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	9	$231	200	200	+0	open	—	05-15 01:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-24 11:29:52	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	383	47¢	$180	0x14a497…
07-21 15:28:25	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	45¢	$3	0xf048fa…
07-21 15:26:39	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	45¢	$7	0xb91ed3…
07-21 15:18:36	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	45¢	$8	0xdf0f44…
07-21 14:16:06	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6,600	45¢	$2,970	0x385bc5…
07-21 14:15:21	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4,040	45¢	$1,818	0x60e251…
07-20 01:15:01	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	995	48¢	$478	0x28a549…
07-20 01:14:10	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9,415	48¢	$4,519	0x5c231a…
06-14 22:21:40	ufc cir ale30 2026 06 14	Ciryl Gane	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x6ce8e7…
06-14 22:21:19	ufc cir ale30 2026 06 14	Ciryl Gane	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x660487…
05-19 19:59:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	14	50¢	$7	0x292066…
05-19 19:32:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x8e1500…
05-19 19:32:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x83a884…
05-19 19:32:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x2ca194…
05-19 19:15:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x2e86c2…
05-19 19:00:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	160	50¢	$80	0x0b1ab5…
05-19 18:45:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	80	50¢	$40	0x23d78c…
05-19 18:30:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x871d5e…
05-19 18:29:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xfe9950…
05-19 18:29:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xd78e04…
05-19 18:29:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x868726…
05-19 18:29:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x5ca5e5…
05-19 18:29:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x49f8eb…
05-19 18:29:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x44dc91…
05-19 18:29:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x2fefa0…
05-19 18:29:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x14cefb…
05-19 18:15:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x733863…
05-19 13:29:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	40	48¢	$19	0x4d598f…
05-19 10:45:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xe55564…
05-19 10:45:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x9f829b…
05-19 10:45:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x5f1178…
05-19 10:45:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0xbdaaf3…
05-16 22:32:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x82925a…
05-16 22:32:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	14	50¢	$7	0x35a97b…
05-16 22:32:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	34	50¢	$17	0x061202…
05-16 22:32:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0xb4f50f…
05-16 22:32:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x94d294…
05-16 22:32:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x8a42dd…
05-16 22:32:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x6ac688…
05-16 22:32:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x3f66ed…
05-16 22:32:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	17	50¢	$8	0x14ee0b…
05-16 22:32:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	15	50¢	$8	0x96aa3a…
05-16 22:31:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x8730cb…
05-16 22:31:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	13	50¢	$6	0xa443b8…
05-16 22:31:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xae4696…
05-16 22:30:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	361	50¢	$180	0x78cbe5…
05-16 22:30:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x72fe16…
05-16 22:30:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x0463e1…
05-16 22:30:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x00dd9a…
05-16 22:30:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	27	50¢	$13	0x5a9393…
05-16 22:11:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	259	39¢	$100	0x7df299…
05-16 22:05:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	259	39¢	$100	0xf9c477…
05-16 22:04:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	55	40¢	$22	0xa3bdd3…
05-16 22:04:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0xf36fb3…
05-16 22:04:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	46	40¢	$18	0x7f766d…
05-16 22:04:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x7153b1…
05-16 22:04:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	33	40¢	$13	0x31c3c2…
05-16 22:04:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x23d19c…
05-16 22:04:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x019bd2…
05-16 22:03:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xd91551…
05-16 22:03:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x1b34b7…
05-16 22:03:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	4	40¢	$2	0x58f79e…
05-16 22:03:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	148	42¢	$62	0xcb4ebf…
05-16 22:03:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	29	42¢	$12	0x100d04…
05-16 22:02:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	23	42¢	$10	0x007a9c…
05-16 22:02:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	154	47¢	$72	0x9c36c3…
05-16 22:02:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	200	48¢	$96	0x57b4b4…
05-16 22:02:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xe764e3…
05-16 22:02:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	44	47¢	$21	0x160256…
05-16 21:52:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	133	30¢	$40	0x44da19…
05-16 21:51:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	141	28¢	$40	0x4274bc…
05-16 21:48:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	0	50¢	$0	0x09feb0…
05-16 21:48:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xde0b0d…
05-16 21:48:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xc2e4a9…
05-16 21:47:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x735477…
05-16 21:47:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	118	34¢	$40	0xc07711…
05-16 21:47:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	18	50¢	$9	0x29c3de…
05-16 21:47:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x6e7f60…
05-16 21:47:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xe3fad0…
05-16 21:47:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x31f83f…
05-16 21:46:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x0fb7be…
05-16 21:46:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	166	50¢	$83	0x4b3e2e…
05-16 21:46:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x0a1d82…
05-16 21:46:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x6444d4…
05-16 21:46:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x9cbbe2…
05-16 21:46:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	0	50¢	$0	0x80f3cc…
05-16 21:46:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x159cda…
05-16 21:46:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x3d9e98…
05-16 21:46:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xb7e052…
05-16 21:46:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x060996…
05-16 21:46:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	50¢	$1	0x42d34c…
05-16 21:46:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x81a297…
05-16 21:46:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x489e48…
05-16 21:46:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x2160b8…
05-16 21:46:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x334212…
05-16 21:45:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x3cc274…
05-16 21:45:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	11	50¢	$5	0x1f0289…
05-16 21:45:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x1c4d12…
05-16 21:45:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	50¢	$3	0x618eaa…
05-16 21:45:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x261434…