Realized P&L (90d)
+$1
Unrealized P&L
+$10
Hit rate
54.0%
Resolved (90d)
3
Trades (90d)
37
37 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$252
$252 lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$190
15 positions
First seen
2026-05-07
last 05-14 19:27
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Crypto
57%
Politics
23% 67% +$1
Other
20%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
8 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026? Yes +69 $61 94¢ $65 +$4 05-14 19:27
Starmer out by December 31, 2026? Yes +48 $30 74¢ $36 +$6 05-11 17:13
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026? Yes +30 $22 74¢ $22 +$0 05-14 17:36
Starmer out by June 30, 2026? No +29 $18 64¢ $19 +$1 05-11 17:13
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? No +37 $18 44¢ $16 $-2 05-14 17:39
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +16 $10 64¢ $10 +$0 05-14 16:18
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +18 $8 46¢ $8 +$0 05-14 16:18
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? No +5 $3 88¢ $4 +$1 05-07 10:31
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026? No -11 $-2 26¢ $-3 $-0 05-14 19:27
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes -6 $-3 46¢ $-3 +$0 05-13 20:08
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +5 $2 34¢ $2 $-0 05-10 20:13
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? Yes -1 $-1 56¢ $-1 +$1 05-12 17:41
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? No -1 $-0 76¢ $-1 $-0 05-12 17:41
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No +1 $0 78¢ $0 +$0 05-13 20:08
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? Yes -1 $-0 55¢ $-0 +$0 05-09 18:06