Realized P&L
+$266
Unrealized P&L
+$428
Hit rate
41.0%
Resolved
8
Trades
221
lifetime
Volume
$5.71K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$26
Open exposure
$1.20K
5 positions
First seen
2026-01-11
last 10-21 14:37
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 7 days
Categories
Politics
80% 40% +$428
Tech
10% — —
Other
9% 0% -$163
Crypto
1% 100% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
20 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +800 $456 99¢ $795 +$339 09-13 10:19
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +370 $199 86¢ $316 +$117 09-04 20:39
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027? No +100 $61 66¢ $66 +$6 09-27 06:07
Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31? OpenAI +199 $24 10¢ $19 -$5 10-15 22:03
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes +300 $34 2¢ $6 -$29 10-09 06:30