Realized P&L
-$10.0K
Unrealized P&L
-$5.27K
Hit rate
43.1%
Resolved
46
Trades
1,329
lifetime
Volume
$327.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$246
Open exposure
$16.3K
10 positions
First seen
2026-01-12
last 10-27 20:40
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 30 days
Categories
Politics
80% 31% -$14,103
Other
20% 55% +$4,079
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
47 active days in 12wk • peak 36 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +12,100 $5,711 32¢ $3.9K -$1,778 10-06 15:45
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? Yes +15,181 $5,234 22¢ $3.4K -$1,818 09-10 20:59
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +6,200 $1,920 44¢ $2.8K +$839 10-27 20:40
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +10,500 $2,514 16¢ $1.6K -$886 10-21 13:35
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House Yes +5,000 $1,550 28¢ $1.4K -$175 09-28 09:14
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +59,170 $910 2¢ $1.2K +$303 10-10 09:14
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +3,000 $1,323 32¢ $945 -$378 10-24 12:37
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +3,200 $304 16¢ $515 +$211 06-26 09:14
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? Yes -5,613 $1,137 8¢ $-421 -$1,558 10-24 11:53
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +666 $154 18¢ $121 -$33 08-24 21:29