Realized P&L (90d)
-$29.0K
Unrealized P&L
-$1.51K
Hit rate
24.3%
Resolved (90d)
14
Trades (90d)
366
1,464 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$72.6K
$348.0K lifetime
Avg / trade
$238
Open exposure
$5.70K
7 positions
First seen
2026-01-12
last 11-13 21:18
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 33 days
Categories
Politics
81% 27% -$29,984
Other
19% 55% +$4,079
Tech
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
46 active days in 12wk • peak 37 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will John McEntee win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +60,172 $240 2¢ $1.4K +$1,174 11-05 00:14
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +59,170 $910 2¢ $1.4K +$451 10-10 09:14
Will there be no new be CEO of NVIDIA by December 31, 2028? Yes +9,480 $1,210 10¢ $948 -$262 11-13 21:18
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +7,676 $2,062 12¢ $883 -$1,179 11-02 17:26
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +3,200 $304 15¢ $467 +$163 06-26 09:14
Will Tim Cook be the next CEO of NVIDIA? Yes +15,087 $954 3¢ $430 -$524 11-13 05:30
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? Yes -5,613 $1,137 4¢ $-199 -$1,336 10-24 11:53