Realized P&L
+$13
Unrealized P&L
-$44
Hit rate
58.6%
Resolved
297
Trades
450
lifetime
Volume
$2.32K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$131
9 positions
First seen
2026-03-13
last 10-24 16:40
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 99 days
Categories
Politics
47% 45% +$176
Other
36% 46% -$72
Sports
13% 26% -$116
Tech
3% 67% +$12
Crypto
1% 100% +$12
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
21 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +146 $50 29¢ $42 -$8 10-24 16:40
Will Sal Stewart win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award? Yes +32 $28 90¢ $29 +$0 09-26 21:33
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +70 $25 29¢ $20 -$5 10-22 20:41
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +90 $16 15¢ $13 -$3 09-03 09:20
Iran leadership change by November 30? Yes +111 $10 9¢ $10 +$0 09-02 09:58
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No +60 $10 14¢ $9 -$2 07-08 20:29
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes +150 $11 6¢ $8 -$2 08-10 18:50
Iran leadership change by October 31? Yes +250 $15 0¢ $1 -$14 09-02 09:58
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? Yes +15 $10 2¢ $0 -$10 10-07 20:19